Mar 6, 2015 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Mar 6 04:33:12 UTC 2015 (20150306 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20150306 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20150306 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20150306 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20150306 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20150306 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 060433

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1033 PM CST THU MAR 05 2015

   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES
   ON FRIDAY.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   A QUIESCENT PATTERN FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL PERSIST THROUGH
   THE PERIOD. A FEW LOW-TOPPED SHOWERS SHOULD FORM MID TO LATE
   AFTERNOON ALONG A COLD FRONT LINGERING OVER SOUTH FLORIDA.
   RELATIVELY WARM TEMPERATURES ABOVE 10000 FEET WILL LIKELY MITIGATE
   DEEP CONVECTION AND APPRECIABLE POTENTIAL FOR CHARGE SEPARATION.

   ..GRAMS/KERR.. 03/06/2015

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z