Jan 4, 2013 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 4 05:24:30 UTC 2013
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20130104 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20130104 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20130104 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20130104 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 040521
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1121 PM CST THU JAN 03 2013
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE AS A POLAR AND SUBTROPICAL JET
   REMAIN SITUATED TO THE EAST OF THE ROCKIES. DESPITE THE BOLSTERED
   FORCING FOR ASCENT PROVIDED BY A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS
   PROGRESSING THROUGH THE SAME REGION...GENERALLY COOL/DRY AND STABLE
   CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS.
   
   ..DISPIGNA/KERR.. 01/04/2013
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z