| Jan 4, 2013 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook | |
| Updated: Fri Jan 4 05:24:30 UTC 2013 | |
| Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table | |
| Categorical Graphic |
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| Probabilistic Tornado Graphic |
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| Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
| Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic |
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| Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
| Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic |
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| Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
SPC AC 040521
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1121 PM CST THU JAN 03 2013
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE AS A POLAR AND SUBTROPICAL JET
REMAIN SITUATED TO THE EAST OF THE ROCKIES. DESPITE THE BOLSTERED
FORCING FOR ASCENT PROVIDED BY A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS
PROGRESSING THROUGH THE SAME REGION...GENERALLY COOL/DRY AND STABLE
CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS.
..DISPIGNA/KERR.. 01/04/2013
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z