Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

    Day 2 Outlook >
Dec 2, 2016 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Dec 2 16:16:41 UTC 2016 (Print Version | 20161202 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20161202 1630Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Tornado Wind Hail
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions

 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 021616

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1016 AM CST FRI DEC 02 2016

   VALID 021630Z - 031200Z

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF SOUTH TEXAS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH
   TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

   ...SOUTH TEXAS...
   THE LATEST WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS A BROAD AND DEEP UPPER TROUGH OVER
   MOST OF THE CONUS...WHILE A MORE PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGS
   INTO THE SOUTHWEST STATES.  MID LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BACK AND
   INCREASE OVER TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH
   APPROACHES...WITH SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS ALSO STRENGTHENING. 
   THIS WILL RESULT IN ENHANCED LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION OVER PARTS OF
   SOUTH AND WEST TEXAS.  MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE SIMILAR IN THE DEPICTING
   THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
   REGION - MAINLY AFTER DARK.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE
   SUFFICIENTLY COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND VERTICAL SHEAR TO POSE
   A RISK OF HAIL IN THE STRONGEST CELLS...ALONG WITH LOCALLY GUSTY
   WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO.  THE OVERALL SEVERE RISK IS EXPECTED TO
   REMAIN MARGINAL.

   ..HART/GOSS.. 12/02/2016

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z

        
Top/Latest Day 2 Outlook/Today's Outlooks/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: December 02, 2016
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities