Nov 4, 2009 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Nov 4 16:28:17 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20091104 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20091104 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Tornado Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20091104 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20091104 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 041626
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1026 AM CST WED NOV 04 2009
   
   VALID 041630Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   TSTM POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN LOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS THROUGH THE
   PERIOD. THE EXCEPTIONS WILL BE IN SRN FL AND PORTIONS OF COASTAL
   VA/NC. 12Z MFL/EYW RAOBS BOTH SAMPLED AN INCREASE IN PW VALUES TO
   AROUND 1.50 INCHES WHICH WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUATION OF ISOLATED
   TSTM ACTIVITY. FARTHER N...A SHORT WAVE TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE
   GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST WILL AMPLIFY AS IT REACHES THE MID-ATLANTIC
   COAST BY EARLY THU. AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT STRENGTHENS...MEAGER
   INSTABILITY MAY DEVELOP ALONG COASTAL NC/VA AND COULD LEAD TO A FEW
   TSTMS INITIATING OVERLAND BEFORE THE THREAT SHIFTS OFFSHORE.
   
   ..GRAMS/EVANS.. 11/04/2009
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z