Feb 9, 2016 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Feb 9 15:03:06 UTC 2016 (20160209 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20160209 1630Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20160209 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20160209 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20160209 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20160209 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 091503

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0903 AM CST TUE FEB 09 2016

   VALID 091630Z - 101200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES
   THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.

   ...SYNOPTIC SETUP/FORECAST...
   AMPLIFIED WRN RIDGE-ERN TROUGH PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH
   WEDNESDAY....WITH POLAR AIR / OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUING AT LWR LVLS
   OVER THE CNTRL AND ERN U.S.  AS A RESULT...ALTHOUGH WDLY SCTD STORMS
   WILL CONTINUE OVER THE GULF STREAM BENEATH CYCLONIC FLOW OFF THE
   MID-ATLANTIC CST...TSTMS ARE NOT EXPECTED OVER THE CONUS.

   ..CORFIDI/KERR.. 02/09/2016

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z