Feb 9, 2010 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Feb 9 16:31:12 UTC 2010
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20100209 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20100209 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Tornado Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20100209 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20100209 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 091628
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1028 AM CST TUE FEB 09 2010
   
   VALID 091630Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A COLD MID LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DIG SEWD NEAR THE CENTRAL/SRN
   CA COAST THROUGH TONIGHT...WHILE AN INTENSE NRN STREAM LOW
   PROGRESSES EWD FROM THE MID MS VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. 
   THE CA SYSTEM WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND
   CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE LAPSE RATES WHICH WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR
   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  THE MAGNITUDE OF INSTABILITY WILL BE
   LIMITED BY RATHER COOL SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MODEST
   MOISTURE...THUS SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.  ALONG THE SC/NC
   COASTAL PLAIN...A CLUSTER OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST AND
   MOVE NEWD THROUGH THE DAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A DEEPENING SURFACE
   CYCLONE IN ADVANCE OF THE MID MS VALLEY LOW.  IT APPEARS THAT ANY
   SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY AND RESULTANT SEVERE STORM THREAT SHOULD
   REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE.
   
   ..THOMPSON.. 02/09/2010
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z