Nov 7, 2009 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Nov 7 19:37:19 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20091107 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20091107 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Tornado Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20091107 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20091107 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 071935
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0135 PM CST SAT NOV 07 2009
   
   VALID 072000Z - 081200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MOIST LOW-LEVEL WLY UPSLOPE FLOW PERSISTING ACROSS THE PAC NW WILL
   CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...WITHIN
   MINIMALLY-UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT.  EXPECT MOST WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
   THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...WITH A DECREASING TREND
   ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT.
   
   ..GOSS.. 11/07/2009
   
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1022 AM CST SAT NOV 07 2009/
   
   ...WRN PARTS OF WA/OREGON...
   STRONG WESTERLY FLOW IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FROM THE ERN PACIFIC
   ACROSS THE NRN PACIFIC COAST AS AN UPPER LOW PERSISTS OVER THE GULF
   OF AK.  A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MEAN FLOW
   ARE MOVING RAPIDLY EWD FROM THE PACIFIC ACROSS WA AND OREGON...WITH
   ONE SYSTEM MOVING INLAND ATTM AND AN UPSTREAM SYSTEM FORECAST TO
   MOVE ONSHORE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  COLD TEMPERATURES
   ALOFT AND ATTENDANT STEEP LAPSE RATES THROUGH APPROXIMATELY 400 MB
   ARE RESULTING IN WEAK INSTABILITY WITH MUCAPE AOB 400 J/KG.  SEVERAL
   PERIODS OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE TODAY
   THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE ENHANCED DYNAMIC
   FORCING FOR ASCENT ACCOMPANYING THE EWD MOVING SHORT WAVE TROUGHS.
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z