SPC Day 2 Thunderstorm Outlook Issued 1730Z 20040118

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ZCZC SPCSWODY2 ALL
ACUS02 KWNS 181718
SPC AC 181718

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1118 AM CST SUN JAN 18 2004

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W FMY 15 ENE VRB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SHORT WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER NRN MEXICO AND AN UPPER LOW
OVER NRN TX WILL PHASE DURING THE DAY 1 PERIOD AS THEY MOVE TOWARD
THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO REGION. THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL THEN
DEAMPLIFY ON MONDAY AS IT MOVES EWD INTO CONFLUENT FLOW ACROSS THE
SERN STATES.  A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEPENING STORM SYSTEM
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS
THE FL PENINSULA ON MONDAY.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FL...GIVEN A
RESIDUAL WARM...MOIST AIR MASS.  ALTHOUGH 70-80 KT OF WLY MID-LEVEL
FLOW WILL BE OVER THIS REGION...DEEP WLY FLOW WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR
WILL LIMIT CONVERGENCE ALONG THE COLD FRONT.  THIS COMBINED WITH
WEAK LAPSE RATES WILL MINIMIZE THE POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS
AND ANY THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS.

..PETERS.. 01/18/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.

$$