SPC Day 2 Thunderstorm Outlook Issued 1730Z 20040122

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ZCZC SPCSWODY2 ALL
ACUS02 KWNS 221733
SPC AC 221733

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1133 AM CST THU JAN 22 2004

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE YUM GBN 50 E
PHX 35 NNW ALM 50 N MAF 10 NE BWD 50 SW LFK 20 N BPT 30 SSW LCH.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A CLOSED OFF UPPER-LOW WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE BAJA OF CA AND BEGIN
TO MOVE EWD LATE IN THE PERIOD. A STRONG NWLY FLOW PATTERN WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE NCNTRL AND ERN US FRIDAY. AT THE SFC...A
COLD FRONT WILL ORGANIZE AND MOVE SWD ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO
THE OZARK REGION OVERNIGHT.

...SWRN STATES/WRN AND SRN TX...
LARGE-SCALE FORCING WILL INCREASE ACROSS AZ/NM AND OVER THE SRN HALF
OF TX FRIDAY AFTERNOON ASSOCIATED WITH A SWRN UPPER-LOW THAT SHOULD
BEGIN TO MOVE SLOWLY EWD. AS A RESULT...STEEPENING LAPSE RATES DUE
TO SFC HEATING AND THE SWRN UPPER-LOW...SHOULD ALLOW SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP IN THE MTNS OF SRN AZ AND SRN NM. ALTHOUGH
LAPSE RATES WILL NOT BE AS STEEP ACROSS WRN AND SRN TX...SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP THERE...WHERE SFC MOISTURE WILL BE A
LITTER BETTER WITH SFC DEWPOINTS REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 40S. THE
THUNDER POTENTIAL WILL SPREAD EWD ACROSS TX DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS

..BROYLES.. 01/22/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.

$$