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Dec 19, 2014 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Dec 19 06:52:03 UTC 2014 (Print Version | 20141219 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20141219 0700Z Day 2 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion

   SPC AC 190652

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1252 AM CST FRI DEC 19 2014

   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   SHOWERS AND A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY
   NIGHT OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

   ...SYNOPSIS...

   PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WILL UNDERGO GRADUAL AMPLIFICATION ON
   SATURDAY WITH A FULL-LATITUDE TROUGH BECOMING ESTABLISHED OVER THE
   CNTRL U.S. BY 12Z SUNDAY. LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH INITIALLY
   OVER THE SERN STATES EARLY IN THE DAY WILL EXIT THE ATLANTIC
   SEABOARD LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. FARTHER WEST A SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH TX SATURDAY NIGHT. AT THE SFC A LARGE AREA
   OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE ERN STATES MAINTAINING
   OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE GULF.

   ...S TX...

   FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL INCREASE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE
   APPROACH OF THE SRN-STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH. WHILE RICHER LOW-LEVEL
   MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE...MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN
   WITH THE APPROACH OF THE TROUGH FOSTERING WEAK ELEVATED CAPE.
   ELEVATED CONVECTION MAY INITIATE IN THIS REGIME AS WELL AS POTENTIAL
   FOR A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO.

   ..DIAL.. 12/19/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

        
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Page last modified: December 19, 2014
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