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Nov 24, 2014 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 24 05:49:23 UTC 2014 (Print Version | 20141124 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20141124 0700Z Day 2 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion

   SPC AC 240549

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1149 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL FL...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ON TUESDAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA
   PENINSULA AND POSSIBLY NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST INTO
   THE EASTERN CAROLINAS. ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
   BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

   A LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MO
   VALLEY ON TUESDAY AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS DOMINANT FROM THE WRN
   GULF COAST STATES NEWD INTO THE OH VALLEY. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST
   TO ADVANCE SWD ACROSS THE NRN FL PENINSULA REACHING. THUNDERSTORM
   DEVELOPMENT SHOULD TAKE PLACE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT TUESDAY
   AFTERNOON WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE UPPER 60S
   AND LOWER 70S F. THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD ENABLE SBCAPE
   VALUES TO PEAK IN THE 1500 TO 2000 J/KG RANGE BY THE MID AFTERNOON.
   THIS COMBINED WITH ABOUT 30 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND STEEP
   LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EVIDENT ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS...SHOULD BE
   ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS. HAIL COULD ALSO
   OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER MULTICELL STORMS.

   ..BROYLES.. 11/24/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

        
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Page last modified: November 24, 2014
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