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Mar 4, 2015 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Mar 4 06:52:27 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150304 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20150304 0700Z Day 2 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion

   SPC AC 040652

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1252 AM CST WED MAR 04 2015

   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THURSDAY FROM SOUTHEASTERN
   TEXAS INTO LOUISIANA. OTHER THUNDERSTORMS MIGHT ALSO OCCUR FROM
   GEORGIA INTO THE EASTERN CAROLINAS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

   ...SYNOPSIS...

   POSITIVE-TILT UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES...OHIO
   VALLEY AND NERN U.S. THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO EXTEND
   FROM NC SWWD INTO THE WESTERN GULF THURSDAY MORNING. THIS BOUNDARY
   WILL MOVE SEWD...REACHING THE SRN TIP OF FLORIDA TOWARD THE END OF
   THE PERIOD. 

   ...SERN TX INTO LA...

   A BAND OF ELEVATED SHOWERS WILL PERSIST EARLY THURSDAY FROM TX INTO
   THE LOWER MS VALLEY WHERE SWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN MOISTURE
   TRANSPORT AND WEAK /AOB 300 J/KG/ MUCAPE IN THE POST-FRONTAL LAYER.
   A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES MIGHT OCCUR WITHIN THIS BAND OF SHALLOW
   CONVECTION...PRIMARILY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING BY NOON.

   ...GA INTO THE ERN CAROLINAS...

   SHALLOW...ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL PERSIST IN POST-FRONTAL ZONE
   ALONG THE NERN EXTENT OF MOISTURE TRANSPORT FROM THE TN VALLEY INTO
   THE CAROLINAS. WARM-SECTOR INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN VERY WEAK DUE TO
   POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WITH MUCAPE
   PEAKING AROUND 300 J/KG. SOME OF THE CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG OR
   JUST BEHIND THE FRONT MIGHT BECOME DEEP ENOUGH FOR A FEW LIGHTNING
   STRIKES FROM SERN GA INTO THE ERN CAROLINAS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

   ..DIAL.. 03/04/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

        
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Page last modified: March 04, 2015
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