Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

< Day 1 Outlook   Day 3 Outlook >
Jan 25, 2015 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Jan 25 06:30:41 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150125 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20150125 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Probabilistic
 Population  Cities  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions

 Forecast Discussion

   SPC AC 250630

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE ON MONDAY AND MONDAY
   NIGHT.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EXIT THE S ATLANTIC COAST MON MORNING
   WHILE AN UPSTREAM IMPULSE RAPIDLY PROGRESSES FROM THE UPPER MS
   VALLEY TOWARDS THE SRN APPALACHIANS. THIS WILL EFFECTIVELY YIELD A
   BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EAST...AS A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED RIDGE
   BECOMES CENTERED FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TO THE NORTHWEST. CLOSED
   MID-LEVEL LOW W OF BAJA CA SHOULD SLOWLY FILL AS IT APPROACHES THE
   SRN CA COAST MON NIGHT.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   SOME MODIFICATION TO THE CONTINENTAL AIR MASS OVER THE NRN GULF
   /CURRENTLY CHARACTERIZED BY 40S SURFACE DEW POINTS/ WILL OCCUR IN
   ASSOCIATION WITH THE LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHIFTING OFF THE S
   ATLANTIC COAST. ALTHOUGH SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVER LAND...SUFFICIENT
   BUOYANCY FOR TSTMS SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE GULF STREAM. IN THE
   SOUTHWEST...MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN ACROSS SRN CA MON
   NIGHT JUST AHEAD OF THE MID-LEVEL LOW. HOWEVER...BUOYANCY SHOULD
   REMAIN MINIMAL WITH MUCAPE AOB 100 J/KG...PRECLUDING TSTM
   PROBABILITIES AOA 10 PERCENT.

   ..GRAMS.. 01/25/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

        
Top/Latest Day 1 Outlook/Today's Outlooks/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: January 25, 2015
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities