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Feb 27, 2015 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Feb 27 17:09:43 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150227 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20150227 1730Z Day 2 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion

   SPC AC 271709

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1109 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2015

   VALID 281200Z - 011200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR POSSIBLE
   SATURDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE WEST...MAINLY FROM PARTS OF THE GREAT
   BASIN INTO SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO...AND ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF
   CALIFORNIA.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SWD ALONG THE WEST COAST SATURDAY AS
   AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW CLOSES OFF OVER THE CNTRL CA AROUND 00Z/SUN. AT
   THE SFC...A LOW REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WHERE
   LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN MARKEDLY DURING THE DAY. THIS ALONG WITH
   LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEST COAST SYSTEM SHOULD
   RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FROM SERN NV EWD INTO THE
   SAN JUAN MTNS OF WRN CO. OTHER THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP NEAR THE
   CORE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM SATURDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE COAST OF
   CA. THE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND COLD AIR ALOFT MAY BE ENOUGH FOR SMALL
   HAIL IN THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS. HOWEVER...CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS
   ACROSS THE WRN U.S. SATURDAY AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
   SEVERE LIMITS.

   ..BROYLES.. 02/27/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z

        
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Page last modified: February 27, 2015
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