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Oct 1, 2016 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Oct 1 05:27:08 UTC 2016 (Print Version | 20161001 0600Z Day 2 shapefile | 20161001 0600Z Day 2 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion

   SPC AC 010527

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1227 AM CDT SAT OCT 01 2016

   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT FORECAST IN THE CONTIGUOUS
   UNITED STATES ON SUNDAY.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A POWERFUL MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE PACIFIC
   COAST AND INTO THE INTERIOR WEST DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD.  SURFACE
   LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN DURING THE
   DAY CONCURRENTLY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS NV AND
   SUBSEQUENTLY INTO UT AFTER DARK.  AS THIS OCCURS...A LEE TROUGH WILL
   DEVELOP OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WHERE THE EVOLVING SURFACE CYCLONE IS
   FORECAST TO DEVELOP BY DAYBREAK MONDAY.  SCANT BOUNDARY-LAYER
   MOISTURE WILL TEND TO LIMIT BOTH BUOYANCY AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
   ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE NORTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.  WHILE A
   HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORM WITH A STRONG GUST CANNOT BE RULED OUT OVER
   PARTS OF THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN...THE THREAT APPEARS SUFFICIENTLY
   LOW TO NOT INTRODUCE PROBABILITIES.  

   ELSEWHERE...A MID-LEVEL LOW WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHEAST STATES
   WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. 
   ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS ARE ALSO FORECAST FOR THE FL
   PENINSULA.

   ..SMITH.. 10/01/2016

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

        
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Page last modified: October 01, 2016
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