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Jan 28, 2015 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 28 05:53:28 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150128 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20150128 0700Z Day 2 KML)
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   SPC AC 280553

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1153 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORM RISK APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

   ...SRN APPALACHIANS...
   A TRIO OF SHORTWAVE IMPULSES ACROSS THE N-CNTRL CONUS/S-CNTRL CANADA
   WILL SHIFT E/SE AND EFFECTIVELY YIELD AN AMPLIFYING LARGE-SCALE
   TROUGH FROM JAMES BAY TOWARDS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES BY EARLY FRI.
   A SURFACE CYCLONE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TO THE NORTHEAST
   WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT PUSHING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE NRN
   GULF. 

   THE NAM IS AN OUTLIER WITH THE DEPICTION OF 100-250 J/KG MUCAPE OVER
   THE SRN APPALACHIANS THU MORNING/MIDDAY IN THE WARM CONVEYOR AHEAD
   OF THE LEAD SHORTWAVE IMPULSE. LIMITED MOISTURE IN THE WARM SECTOR
   CHARACTERIZED BY THE NRN EXTENT OF MIDDLE 40S SURFACE DEW POINTS
   LIKELY CONFINED TO THE MID-SOUTH DURING THIS TIME FRAME SHOULD
   PRECLUDE TSTM PROBABILITIES REACHING AOA 10 PERCENT. 

   ...SOUTHWEST...
   A WEAK MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP INTO THE SRN/BAJA CA AREA WITH
   PRECIPITATION COVERAGE INCREASING SUBSTANTIALLY THU NIGHT AHEAD OF
   THIS FEATURE. POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD PRECLUDE DEEP
   CONVECTION AND A RISK FOR TSTMS.

   ..GRAMS.. 01/28/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

        
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Page last modified: January 28, 2015
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