Nov 6, 2016 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Nov 6 05:53:37 UTC 2016 (20161106 0600Z Day 2 shapefile | 20161106 0600Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20161106 0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20161106 0600 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 060553

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1253 AM CDT SUN NOV 06 2016

   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
   ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. NO
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.

   A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE SRN PLAINS EWD INTO THE LOWER MS
   VALLEY WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD ON MONDAY. AT THE SFC...A MOIST AIRMASS
   WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO THE TX HILL COUNTRY AND TX COASTAL PLAINS
   WHERE SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD BE ONGOING AT THE START OF
   THE PERIOD. CONVECTION FROM THE UPPER TX COAST IS FORECAST TO
   GRADUALLY MOVE EWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY BY AFTERNOON WITH
   REDEVELOPMENT POSSIBLY TAKING PLACE ACROSS PARTS OF THE TX COASTAL
   PLAINS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FURTHER NORTH
   NORTHWEST ACROSS THE TX HILL COUNTRY INTO NW TX NEAR THE AXIS OF THE
   UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. INSTABILITY AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THE SRN
   PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY IS NOT FORECAST TO BE SUFFICIENT FOR A
   SEVERE THREAT MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

   ..BROYLES.. 11/06/2016

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z