Sep 15, 2014 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Sep 15 05:49:15 UTC 2014 (20140915 0600Z Day 2 shapefile | 20140915 0600Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140915 0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20140915 0600 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 150549

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1249 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2014

   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
   TUESDAY AFTERNOON FROM ARIZONA EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
   ROCKIES...SOUTHERN PLAINS AND GULF COAST STATES.

   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL
   APPALACHIAN MTNS ON TUESDAY AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE MOVES SLOWLY EWD
   INTO THE NRN ROCKIES. AT THE SFC...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EWD
   ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY AS A MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS
   THE GULF COAST STATES. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT SHOULD
   TAKE PLACE FROM TX EWD ALONG THE GULF COAST TO NRN FL TUESDAY
   AFTERNOON AS SFC TEMPS HEAT UP. OTHER STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP IN THE
   HIGHER TERRAIN OF AZ AND NM TUESDAY AFTERNOON. DUE TO RELATIVELY
   WEAK INSTABILITY AND LIMITED DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THE SRN TIER OF
   THE U.S...A SEVERE THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED TUESDAY OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

   ..BROYLES.. 09/15/2014

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z