Feb 20, 2017 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Feb 20 06:10:48 UTC 2017 (20170220 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20170220 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20170220 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20170220 0700 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 200610

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1210 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

   Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the
   contiguous United States on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis...
   The upper pattern over the Lower 48 states will likely prove
   unfavorable for severe thunderstorm development on Tuesday as a
   larger-scale mid-level trough remains over the eastern Pacific and a
   trough/low weakens over the Gulf of Mexico.  A smaller-scale
   mid-level perturbation with associated height falls will move
   eastward from CA/OR to WY during the period.  Widely spaced
   thunderstorms are possible in conjunction with the shortwave
   impulse.  A low probability for a few thunderstorms may exist across
   the central Gulf Coast on the northern periphery of the Gulf of
   Mexico disturbance.  Elsewhere, moisture and instability will be
   limited to nonexistent and prove hostile to thunderstorm
   development.

   ..Smith.. 02/20/2017

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z