Categorical Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.

   SPC AC 040549
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1149 PM CST THU JAN 03 2013
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SOUTH TX...
   
   SRN ROCKIES UPPER TROUGH WILL EJECT EWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS EARLY
   SATURDAY AS MID LEVEL SPEED MAX EJECTS ACROSS THE ARKLATEX INTO THE
   TN VALLEY.  RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THIS FEATURE WILL INDUCE A SFC
   WAVE ALONG BOUNDARY ACROSS THE WRN GULF BASIN WHICH SHOULD REMAIN
   QUASI-STATIONARY INTO THE DAY3 PERIOD.  WEAK WARM ADVECTION ALONG
   THE COOL SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH FORCING FOR WEAK
   ELEVATED CONVECTION GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES.  GIVEN THAT FORECAST SOUNDINGS YIELD 200-400 J/KG MUCAPE
   ISOLATED TSTMS MAY ULTIMATELY EVOLVE ACROSS THIS REGION UNTIL WARM
   ADVECTION WANES.
   
   ..DARROW.. 01/04/2013
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z