Jan 25, 2015 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Jan 25 17:02:34 UTC 2015 (20150125 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20150125 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20150125 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20150125 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 251702

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1102 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE ON MONDAY AND MONDAY
   NIGHT.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE WRN RIDGE/ERN TROUGH CONFIGURATION ALOFT WILL CONTINUE MONDAY
   ACROSS THE U.S. -- WITH A VERY GRADUAL OVERALL EWD PROGRESSION OF
   THE PATTERN EXPECTED.  WITH THE PRIMARY ZONE OF SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS
   ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM LIKELY TO BE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST BY
   THE START OF THE PERIOD AND COLD AIR SPREADING ACROSS THE ERN U.S.
   -- ONSHORE THUNDER IS NOT EXPECTED.

   ELSEWHERE...RIDGING WILL PREVAIL FROM TX NWWD ACROSS THE WRN U.S. --
   THOUGH A WEAKENING UPPER LOW OFF BAJA SHOULD DRIFT NWD INTO THE WRN
   NM/AZ/SRN CA VICINITY OVERNIGHT.  HOWEVER -- ASIDE FROM THE RISK FOR
   A STRIKE OR TWO OVER NRN MEXICO AND ADJACENT SERN AZ/SWRN
   NM...APPRECIABLE LIGHTNING IS NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM.

   ..GOSS.. 01/25/2015

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z