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Jun 2, 2015 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Tue Jun 2 07:36:23 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150602 0730Z Day 3 shapefile | 20150602 0730Z Day 3 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 020736

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0236 AM CDT TUE JUN 02 2015

   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL HIGH
   PLAINS...

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH
   PLAINS TO THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY...

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES...

   CORRECTED FOR WORDING

   ...SUMMARY...
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
   NORTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ON THURSDAY...AND POSSIBLY PARTS OF THE
   LOWER/MIDDLE MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST STATES AS WELL.

   ...NORTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TO THE MIDDLE/LOWER MO VALLEY...
   THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY AMPLIFIED INTO
   THURSDAY...HIGHLIGHTED BY A SOUTHWARD-DIGGING UPPER LOW OVER
   CA/SOUTHWEST STATES AND AN AMPLIFYING UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
   SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. WHILE A RELATIVELY MOIST AIR MASS WILL
   PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION NEAR A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND EAST
   OF THE ROCKIES FRONT RANGE...UPPER RIDGE-RELATED WARMING/CAPPING
   ALOFT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR RESIDUAL MCS IMPACTS/OUTFLOW ACROSS THE
   MIDDLE/LOWER MO VALLEY COMPLICATE THE FORECAST DETAILS.

   STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORM REDEVELOPMENT AND POTENTIAL MCS FORMATION
   COULD OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER
   MO VALLEY/MIDDLE MS VALLEY VICINITY...BUT THE MOST PROBABLE SCENARIO
   MAY BE FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
   THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING IN A NORTH-SOUTH CORRIDOR ACROSS
   THE NORTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WITH AID OF MOIST/MODESTLY UNSTABLE
   UPSLOPE FLOW. WHILE MODEST FORCING/CAPPING ARE POINTS OF
   UNCERTAINTY...OTHER STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT COULD
   OCCUR THURSDAY EVENING ACROSS KS NEAR A SURFACE BOUNDARY AND TO THE
   NORTHEAST OF A SURFACE TRIPLE POINT.

   ...SOUTHEAST STATES...
   AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO DRIFT SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD...
   ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF THE REGION MAINLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.

   ..GUYER.. 06/02/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z

        
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Page last modified: June 02, 2015
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