Nov 5, 2016 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Sat Nov 5 07:12:58 UTC 2016 (20161105 0730Z Day 3 shapefile | 20161105 0730Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20161105 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 050712

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0212 AM CDT SAT NOV 05 2016

   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT
   ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. NO
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.

   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE SRN
   PLAINS ON MONDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING AT THE
   START OF THE PERIOD NEAR THE BASE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ALONG
   THE TX COAST. THIS ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE DURING
   THE DAY WITH THUNDERSTORMS ALSO DEVELOPING FURTHER EAST INTO THE
   LOWER MS VALLEY. INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN WEAK DUE TO WIDESPREAD
   CLOUD COVER LIMITING ANY SEVERE POTENTIAL. FOR THIS REASON...NO
   SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE CONUS DURING THE DAY 3
   PERIOD.

   ..BROYLES.. 11/05/2016

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z