Feb 10, 2016 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Wed Feb 10 08:08:10 UTC 2016 (20160210 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20160210 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20160210 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 100808

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0208 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT LIKELY ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES ON
   FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT.

   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE ERN STATES ON
   FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS NORTHWEST MID-LEVEL FLOW REMAINS OVER THE
   GREAT PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT IS
   FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY SWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES EXTENDING
   EWD TO THE SERN ATLANTIC COAST. SOME CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE
   FROM NEAR THE COAST OF SC EXTENDING OFFSHORE DURING THE MID TO LATE
   MORNING WHERE COLD AIR ALOFT WILL BE PRESENT NEAR AND JUST AHEAD OF
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. IN ADDITION...A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO WILL
   BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST AS AN UPPER-LEVEL
   TROUGH APPROACHES ON FRIDAY. THUNDER COVERAGE IN THESE TWO AREAS ON
   FRIDAY APPEARS LIKELY TO REMAIN BELOW THE 10 PERCENT THRESHOLD.

   ..BROYLES.. 02/10/2016

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z