Jan 4, 2013 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 4 08:09:45 UTC 2013
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20130104 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 040807
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0207 AM CST FRI JAN 04 2013
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...FL...
   
   SRN PLAINS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DEAMPLIFY AS IT EJECTS ENEWD ACROSS
   THE TN VALLEY TOWARD THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST SUNDAY.  THIS FEATURE
   WILL ENSURE SFC RIDGING WILL HOLD ACROSS THE GULF STATES WITH A
   WEAKLY CONVERGENT SFC BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SAG SWD ACROSS
   THE FL PENINSULA.  POOR MOISTURE/LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT SHOULD
   PRECLUDE MEANINGFUL CAPE ACROSS FL HOWEVER WEAK BUOYANCY...POSSIBLY
   SUFFICIENT FOR DEEP CONVECTION...MAY ULTIMATELY RESULT IN ISOLATED
   TSTMS NEAR AND POST FRONTAL DURING THE DAY3 PERIOD.
   
   ..DARROW.. 01/04/2013
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z