Oct 8, 2008 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Wed Oct 8 05:58:41 UTC 2008
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20081008 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability Legend Image
   SPC AC 080557
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1257 AM CDT WED OCT 08 2008
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   
   HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SEWD THROUGH THE ERN STATES WILL CONTRIBUTE
   TO OFFSHORE FLOW OVER MOST OF THE GULF. HOWEVER...ELY ONSHORE FLOW
   OVER THE WRN GULF WILL CONTRIBUTE TO PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR
   RETURNING WWD THROUGH S TX. THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL UNDERGO
   SIGNIFICANT AMPLIFICATION WITH A BROAD UPPER LOW EVOLVING OVER THE
   WRN U.S. AND A CORRESPONDING RIDGE OVER THE ERN STATES. AT THE
   SURFACE A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL DROP SWD THROUGH THE NRN
   ROCKIES INTO THE NRN PLAINS. LEE TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM A SURFACE
   LOW OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS SWD THROUGH THE CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS.
   
   
   MOISTURE RETURN WILL REMAIN TOO LIMITED FOR A THREAT OF SEVERE
   STORMS. HOWEVER...COLD AIR ALOFT AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT
   THUNDERSTORMS ALONG BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM PARTS OF NV THROUGH UT...ID
   AND MT. SEA BREEZE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF FRONT ACROSS
   CNTRL AND S FL.
   
   ..DIAL.. 10/08/2008
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z