Mar 6, 2015 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Fri Mar 6 05:59:22 UTC 2015 (20150306 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20150306 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20150306 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 060559

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1159 PM CST THU MAR 05 2015

   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   LITTLE IF ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
   LOWER-48 STATES SUNDAY.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SRN-STREAM/POSITIVE-TILT UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS
   THE SRN PLAINS WHILE HEIGHTS RISE ACROSS THE CNTRL AND NRN PLAINS
   WITH EXITING NERN TROUGH. MEANWHILE...A STABLE POLAR AIR MASS WILL
   REMAIN AT THE SURFACE WITH HIGH CENTERED ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC. 

   DESPITE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH ACROSS ERN TX INTO
   LA FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD...THE POOR TRAJECTORIES WILL REDUCE THE
   CHANCES OF INSTABILITY DEVELOPING. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE
   VAST MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE STRATIFORM.

   ..JEWELL.. 03/06/2015

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z