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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 140
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 AM CDT SAT MAY 1 2004
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
A SMALL PART OF EAST CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING FROM 310 AM UNTIL 900 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES NORTHEAST OF EL DORADO
ARKANSAS TO 150 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF EL DORADO ARKANSAS.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 138...WW 139...
DISCUSSION...LATEST RUC ANALYSES INDICATE 45-50 KT MID LEVEL JET
OVER NERN TX/SWRN AR ATTM...WITH SSWLY LLJ NOW OVER ERN TX EXPECTED
TO SHIFT EWD INTO WRN LA THROUGH THE MID MORNING. AIR MASS FEEDING
CONVECTION OVER NERN TX/SRN AR/NWRN LA WILL REMAIN MODERATELY
UNSTABLE. THIS SHOULD SUSTAIN WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THIS
REGION INTO THE MID MORNING. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE
EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS WITH THESE STORMS. BOW ECHO
NOW OVER SWRN AR MAY CONTINUE ENEWD AT 40 KT ACROSS THE REST OF SRN
AR...WHILE ADDITIONAL BOWING STRUCTURES MAY EVOLVE ACROSS E-CENTRAL
TX AND MOVE INTO NWRN LA...ENHANCING THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...EVANS
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