Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 144
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 PM EDT SAT APR 14 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
PART OF FLORIDA PAN HANDLE
LARGE PART OF SOUTHERN GEORGIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 1145 PM
UNTIL 600 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
MARIANNA FLORIDA TO 65 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF VIDALIA GEORGIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 142. WATCH NUMBER 142 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
1145 PM EDT. CONTINUE...WW 143...
DISCUSSION...WHILE TORNADO THREAT HAS DIMINISHED FROM EARLIER THIS
EVENING...THE SHEAR REMAINS VERY STRONG ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. WITH
A VERY MOIST AND MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS...POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS AND AT LEAST AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT AS
STORMS CONTINUE EWD FROM SERN AL/FL PANHANDLE INTO SRN GA WITH
APPROACH OF THE STRONG UPPER JET AND S/W TROUGH.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 144 TORNADO AL FL GA 150345Z - 151000Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15WSW MAI/MARIANNA FL/ - 65ENE VDI/VIDALIA GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /55WNW TLH - 26NNW SAV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
REPLACES WW 142..AL FL GA CW
LAT...LON 31638541 33408133 31688133 29898541
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 144 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 144
VALID 150925Z - 151000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 ESE TLH TO
15 SE ABY TO 30 ESE MCN.
WW MAY BE EXTENDED LOCALLY FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. OTHERWISE...AN ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT PLANNED AT
THE PRESENT TIME...AND WW 144 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 15/10Z.
..KERR..04/15/07
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...FFC...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC079-151000-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MADISON
$$
GAC001-003-005-017-019-023-027-029-031-043-051-065-069-071-075-
091-101-103-107-109-155-161-165-167-173-175-179-183-185-191-209-
251-267-271-275-277-279-283-287-305-309-315-321-151000-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BEN HILL BERRIEN BLECKLEY
BROOKS BRYAN BULLOCH
CANDLER CHATHAM CLINCH
COFFEE COLQUITT COOK
DODGE ECHOLS EFFINGHAM
EMANUEL EVANS IRWIN
JEFF DAVIS JENKINS JOHNSON
LANIER LAURENS LIBERTY
LONG LOWNDES MCINTOSH
MONTGOMERY SCREVEN TATTNALL
TELFAIR THOMAS TIFT
TOOMBS TREUTLEN TURNER
WAYNE WHEELER WILCOX
WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 144
VALID 150830Z - 150940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N AAF TO
25 SSW ABY TO 20 SE MCN.
..KERR..04/15/07
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...FFC...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC037-039-065-073-077-079-129-150940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN JEFFERSON
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
WAKULLA
$$
GAC001-003-005-017-019-023-027-029-031-043-051-065-069-071-075-
081-087-091-095-101-103-107-109-131-155-161-165-167-173-175-179-
183-185-191-205-209-235-251-267-271-275-277-279-283-287-305-309-
315-321-150940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BEN HILL BERRIEN BLECKLEY
BROOKS BRYAN BULLOCH
CANDLER CHATHAM CLINCH
COFFEE COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DECATUR DODGE
DOUGHERTY ECHOLS EFFINGHAM
EMANUEL EVANS GRADY
IRWIN JEFF DAVIS JENKINS
JOHNSON LANIER LAURENS
LIBERTY LONG LOWNDES
MCINTOSH MITCHELL MONTGOMERY
PULASKI SCREVEN TATTNALL
TELFAIR THOMAS TIFT
TOOMBS TREUTLEN TURNER
WAYNE WHEELER WILCOX
WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 144
VALID 150735Z - 150840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW AAF
TO 20 NE MAI TO 20 S MCN.
..KERR..04/15/07
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...FFC...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC037-039-065-073-077-079-129-150840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN JEFFERSON
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
WAKULLA
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-023-027-029-031-043-051-065-069-071-
075-081-087-091-093-095-101-103-107-109-131-155-161-165-167-173-
175-177-179-183-185-191-201-205-209-235-251-253-267-271-275-277-
279-283-287-305-309-315-321-150840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BLECKLEY BROOKS BRYAN
BULLOCH CANDLER CHATHAM
CLINCH COFFEE COLQUITT
COOK CRISP DECATUR
DODGE DOOLY DOUGHERTY
ECHOLS EFFINGHAM EMANUEL
EVANS GRADY IRWIN
JEFF DAVIS JENKINS JOHNSON
LANIER LAURENS LEE
LIBERTY LONG LOWNDES
MCINTOSH MILLER MITCHELL
MONTGOMERY PULASKI SCREVEN
SEMINOLE TATTNALL TELFAIR
THOMAS TIFT TOOMBS
TREUTLEN TURNER WAYNE
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 144
VALID 150630Z - 150740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/15/07
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...FFC...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC067-069-150740-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-129-150740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN
GULF JACKSON JEFFERSON
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
WAKULLA
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-023-027-029-031-037-043-051-061-065-
069-071-075-081-087-091-093-095-099-101-103-107-109-131-155-161-
165-167-173-175-177-179-183-185-191-201-205-209-235-239-243-251-
253-259-261-267-271-273-275-277-279-283-287-305-307-309-315-321-
150740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BLECKLEY BROOKS BRYAN
BULLOCH CALHOUN CANDLER
CHATHAM CLAY CLINCH
COFFEE COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DECATUR DODGE
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EARLY
ECHOLS EFFINGHAM EMANUEL
EVANS GRADY IRWIN
JEFF DAVIS JENKINS JOHNSON
LANIER LAURENS LEE
LIBERTY LONG LOWNDES
MCINTOSH MILLER MITCHELL
MONTGOMERY PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH SCREVEN SEMINOLE
STEWART SUMTER TATTNALL
TELFAIR TERRELL THOMAS
TIFT TOOMBS TREUTLEN
TURNER WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 144
VALID 150425Z - 150540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..04/15/07
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...FFC...CHS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC067-069-150540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC013-037-039-045-063-065-073-077-079-129-150540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN FRANKLIN GADSDEN
GULF JACKSON JEFFERSON
LEON LIBERTY MADISON
WAKULLA
$$
GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-023-027-029-031-037-043-051-061-065-
069-071-075-081-087-091-093-095-099-101-103-107-109-131-155-161-
165-167-173-175-177-179-183-185-191-201-205-209-235-239-243-251-
253-259-261-267-271-273-275-277-279-283-287-305-307-309-315-321-
150540-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BLECKLEY BROOKS BRYAN
BULLOCH CALHOUN CANDLER
CHATHAM CLAY CLINCH
COFFEE COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DECATUR DODGE
DOOLY DOUGHERTY EARLY
ECHOLS EFFINGHAM EMANUEL
EVANS GRADY IRWIN
JEFF DAVIS JENKINS JOHNSON
LANIER LAURENS LEE
LIBERTY LONG LOWNDES
MCINTOSH MILLER MITCHELL
MONTGOMERY PULASKI QUITMAN
RANDOLPH SCREVEN SEMINOLE
STEWART SUMTER TATTNALL
TELFAIR TERRELL THOMAS
TIFT TOOMBS TREUTLEN
TURNER WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER WILCOX WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.