Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 394
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM CDT WED JUN 13 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS
MUCH OF WESTERN AND PARTS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF
DODGE CITY KANSAS TO 15 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF FORT SILL
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 391...WW 392...WW 393...
DISCUSSION...WITH A VERY UNSTABLE/VIRTUALLY UNCAPPED AIRMASS ACROSS
WATCH AREA...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY VICINITY
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NWRN OK AND DOWN SURFACE TROUGH EASTERN TX
PANHANDLE. SUFFICIENT SHEAR GIVEN INSTABILITY FOR SUPERCELLS.
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE VERY LARGE HAIL...DOWNBURST DAMAGING WINDS
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 22020.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 394 SEVERE TSTM KS OK TX 131855Z - 140300Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30N DDC/DODGE CITY KS/ - 15ESE FSI/FORT SILL OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /40ENE GCK - 41NNE SPS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22020.
LAT...LON 38189830 34569656 34569973 38180162
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 394 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 394
VALID 140140Z - 140240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW GAG TO
20 WNW AVK TO 40 S RSL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1140
..JEWELL..06/14/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 394
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-151-185-140240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER PRATT STAFFORD
$$
OKC003-009-011-015-017-027-031-039-043-045-047-049-051-053-055-
057-065-073-075-083-087-093-109-125-129-149-151-153-140240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT GREER
HARMON JACKSON KINGFISHER
KIOWA LOGAN MCCLAIN
MAJOR OKLAHOMA POTTAWATOMIE
ROGER MILLS WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-211-483-140240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH HEMPHILL WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 394
VALID 140040Z - 140140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW GAG
TO 20 WNW AVK TO 25 NW P28 TO 45 S RSL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1140.
..CROSBIE..06/14/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 394
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-151-185-140140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER PRATT STAFFORD
$$
OKC003-009-011-015-017-027-031-039-043-045-047-049-051-053-055-
057-065-073-075-083-087-093-109-125-129-149-151-153-140140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT GREER
HARMON JACKSON KINGFISHER
KIOWA LOGAN MCCLAIN
MAJOR OKLAHOMA POTTAWATOMIE
ROGER MILLS WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-211-295-483-140140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 394
VALID 132345Z - 140040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE LBL
TO 50 WNW AVK TO 35 W P28 TO 45 NE DDC.
..CROSBIE..06/13/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 394
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-033-047-097-145-151-185-140040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER COMANCHE EDWARDS
KIOWA PAWNEE PRATT
STAFFORD
$$
OKC003-009-011-015-017-027-031-039-043-045-047-049-051-053-055-
057-059-065-073-075-083-087-093-109-125-129-149-151-153-
140040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT GREER
HARMON HARPER JACKSON
KINGFISHER KIOWA LOGAN
MCCLAIN MAJOR OKLAHOMA
POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-211-295-483-140040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 394
VALID 132240Z - 132340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1137.
..CROSBIE..06/13/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 394
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-081-083-093-097-119-145-151-
175-185-189-132340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRANT GRAY HASKELL
HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA
MEADE PAWNEE PRATT
SEWARD STAFFORD STEVENS
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-027-031-039-043-045-047-049-051-053-
055-057-059-065-073-075-083-087-093-109-125-129-149-151-153-
132340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND COMANCHE CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GARVIN GRADY GRANT
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAJOR
OKLAHOMA POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-211-295-483-132340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 394
VALID 132140Z - 132240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..CROSBIE..06/13/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 394
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-081-083-093-097-119-145-151-
175-185-189-132240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRANT GRAY HASKELL
HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA
MEADE PAWNEE PRATT
SEWARD STAFFORD STEVENS
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-027-031-039-043-045-047-049-051-053-
055-057-059-065-073-075-083-087-093-109-125-129-149-151-153-
132240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND COMANCHE CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GARVIN GRADY GRANT
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAJOR
OKLAHOMA POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-211-295-483-132240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 394
VALID 132040Z - 132140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..CROSBIE..06/13/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...OUN...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 394
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-081-083-093-097-119-145-151-
175-185-189-132140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRANT GRAY HASKELL
HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA
MEADE PAWNEE PRATT
SEWARD STAFFORD STEVENS
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-027-031-039-043-045-047-049-051-053-
055-057-059-065-073-075-083-087-093-109-125-129-149-151-153-
132140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND COMANCHE CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GARVIN GRADY GRANT
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LOGAN MCCLAIN MAJOR
OKLAHOMA POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS
WASHITA WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-211-295-483-132140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.