Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 16
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN LOUISIANA
MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 745 AM UNTIL
400 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
OXFORD MISSISSIPPI TO 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF BATON ROUGE
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING ALONG LOW
LEVEL JET AXIS ACROSS LA/AR THIS MORNING. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME SURFACE-BASED AND INTENSIFY BY MID MORNING AS THEY SPREAD
INTO MS. FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT A RISK OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 16
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN LOUISIANA
MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 745 AM UNTIL
400 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
OXFORD MISSISSIPPI TO 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF BATON ROUGE
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING ALONG LOW
LEVEL JET AXIS ACROSS LA/AR THIS MORNING. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME SURFACE-BASED AND INTENSIFY BY MID MORNING AS THEY SPREAD
INTO MS. FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT A RISK OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 16 TORNADO LA MS 101345Z - 102200Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NNE UOX/OXFORD MS/ - 15WSW BTR/BATON ROUGE LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /39E MEM - 5WSW BTR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 35048804 30449029 30449247 35049033
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 16 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 16
VALID 102135Z - 102200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SSW BTR TO
10 ESE MCB TO 25 WNW PIB.
WW 16 MAY BE LOCALLY EXTENDED FOR A SHORT TIME BEYOND THE WW 16
EXPIRATION TIME /2200Z/ OVER PORTIONS OF SERN LA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 51.
..CROSBIE..01/10/08
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC033-063-091-105-117-121-102200-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST BATON ROUGE LIVINGSTON ST. HELENA
TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
$$
MSC065-147-102200-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON DAVIS WALTHALL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 16
VALID 102040Z - 102140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE LFT TO
30 S JAN TO 45 NE JAN TO 20 SE TUP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 49.
..CROSBIE..01/10/08
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC033-037-063-077-091-105-117-121-125-102140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA LIVINGSTON
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA TANGIPAHOA
WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC005-025-057-065-077-079-085-095-099-105-113-121-123-127-129-
141-147-159-102140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMITE CLAY ITAWAMBA
JEFFERSON DAVIS LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN MONROE NESHOBA
OKTIBBEHA PIKE RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
TISHOMINGO WALTHALL WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 16
VALID 101945Z - 102040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S ESF TO
45 WSW JAN TO 20 E GWO TO 15 SE UOX TO 35 SSE MKL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 49.
..CROSBIE..01/10/08
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC009-029-033-037-039-063-077-091-097-105-117-121-125-102040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
AVOYELLES CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE LIVINGSTON
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY
TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-003-005-007-013-017-019-021-025-029-037-049-057-063-065-
077-079-081-085-089-095-097-099-105-113-115-117-121-123-127-129-
139-141-145-147-155-157-159-102040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALCORN AMITE
ATTALA CALHOUN CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLAY
COPIAH FRANKLIN HINDS
ITAWAMBA JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
LAWRENCE LEAKE LEE
LINCOLN MADISON MONROE
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA OKTIBBEHA
PIKE PONTOTOC PRENTISS
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
UNION WALTHALL WEBSTER
WILKINSON WINSTON
$$
TNC023-039-071-077-109-102040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DECATUR HARDIN
HENDERSON MCNAIRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 16
VALID 101840Z - 101940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE ESF
TO 45 NW JAN TO 35 SW UOX TO 30 E MEM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 47.
..CROSBIE..01/10/08
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC009-029-033-037-039-063-077-091-097-105-107-117-121-125-
101940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
AVOYELLES CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE LIVINGSTON
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY
TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-003-005-007-009-013-015-017-019-021-025-029-037-043-049-
051-057-063-065-071-077-079-081-085-089-093-095-097-099-105-113-
115-117-121-123-127-129-139-141-145-147-149-155-157-159-161-163-
101940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALCORN AMITE
ATTALA BENTON CALHOUN
CARROLL CHICKASAW CHOCTAW
CLAIBORNE CLAY COPIAH
FRANKLIN GRENADA HINDS
HOLMES ITAWAMBA JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LEE LINCOLN
MADISON MARSHALL MONROE
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA OKTIBBEHA
PIKE PONTOTOC PRENTISS
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
UNION WALTHALL WARREN
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC023-039-069-071-077-109-113-101940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DECATUR HARDEMAN
HARDIN HENDERSON MCNAIRY
MADISON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 16
VALID 101730Z - 101840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE ESF
TO 40 E MLU TO 25 SW GLH.
..CROSBIE..01/10/08
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC009-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-063-065-077-091-097-105-107-
117-121-125-101840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
AVOYELLES CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN LIVINGSTON
MADISON POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS
WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-037-
043-049-051-053-055-057-063-065-071-077-079-081-083-085-089-093-
095-097-099-105-107-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-
137-139-141-145-147-149-151-155-157-159-161-163-101840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALCORN AMITE
ATTALA BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLAY
COAHOMA COPIAH FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA ITAWAMBA
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LEE
LEFLORE LINCOLN MADISON
MARSHALL MONROE MONTGOMERY
NESHOBA OKTIBBEHA PANOLA
PIKE PONTOTOC PRENTISS
QUITMAN RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SIMPSON SMITH
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION
WALTHALL WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC023-039-069-071-077-109-113-101840-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DECATUR HARDEMAN
HARDIN HENDERSON MCNAIRY
MADISON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 16
VALID 101625Z - 101740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..01/10/08
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC009-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-063-065-077-083-091-097-105-
107-117-121-123-125-101740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
AVOYELLES CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN LIVINGSTON
MADISON POINTE COUPEE RICHLAND
ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY TANGIPAHOA
TENSAS WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-037-
043-049-051-053-055-057-063-065-071-077-079-081-083-085-089-093-
095-097-099-105-107-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-
137-139-141-145-147-149-151-155-157-159-161-163-101740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALCORN AMITE
ATTALA BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLAY
COAHOMA COPIAH FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA ITAWAMBA
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LEE
LEFLORE LINCOLN MADISON
MARSHALL MONROE MONTGOMERY
NESHOBA OKTIBBEHA PANOLA
PIKE PONTOTOC PRENTISS
QUITMAN RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SIMPSON SMITH
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION
WALTHALL WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 16
VALID 101530Z - 101640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DARROW..01/10/08
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC009-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-063-065-077-083-091-097-105-
107-117-121-123-125-101640-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
AVOYELLES CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN LIVINGSTON
MADISON POINTE COUPEE RICHLAND
ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY TANGIPAHOA
TENSAS WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-037-
043-049-051-053-055-057-063-065-071-077-079-081-083-085-089-093-
095-097-099-105-107-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-
137-139-141-145-147-149-151-155-157-159-161-163-101640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALCORN AMITE
ATTALA BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLAY
COAHOMA COPIAH FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA ITAWAMBA
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LEE
LEFLORE LINCOLN MADISON
MARSHALL MONROE MONTGOMERY
NESHOBA OKTIBBEHA PANOLA
PIKE PONTOTOC PRENTISS
QUITMAN RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SIMPSON SMITH
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION
WALTHALL WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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