Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 36
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 125 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
EL DORADO ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST OF PINE BLUFF ARKANSAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 34...WW 35...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO INTENSIFY FROM
NE TX INTO WRN AR...AND ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS FORMING ALONG A
PRE-FRONTAL BAND NEAR MLU IN NRN LA. 18Z SOUNDINGS FROM LZK AND SHV
SHOW THAT THE CAP HAS WEAKENED FROM BELOW VIA ASCENT...AND THIS
TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON IN CONJUNCTION WITH A LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTING NEWD FROM NE TX/ERN OK TOWARD AR. THE
COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY...BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID 60S AND VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR /EFFECTIVE SRH AOA 400
M2/S2/ WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING STRONG TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS INTO
EARLY TONIGHT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 36 TORNADO AR LA 052010Z - 060400Z
AXIS..125 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
70WNW ELD/EL DORADO AR/ - 50E PBF/PINE BLUFF AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 110NM N/S /8NE TXK - 57NW SQS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.
LAT...LON 35409394 35979105 32369105 31799394
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 36 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #9 ON WW 36
VALID 060335Z - 060440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N IER TO
60 SSE BVX.
..LEVIT..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 36
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-017-041-095-060440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY CHICOT
DESHA MONROE
$$
LAC021-035-041-049-065-067-073-083-107-123-060440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN
JACKSON MADISON MOREHOUSE
OUACHITA RICHLAND TENSAS
WEST CARROLL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #8 ON WW 36
VALID 060235Z - 060340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW IER
TO 10 N BVX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 169
..LEVIT..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 36
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-017-025-041-043-063-067-069-079-085-095-117-139-
145-147-060340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CHICOT CLEVELAND DESHA
DREW INDEPENDENCE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LINCOLN LONOKE
MONROE PRAIRIE UNION
WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
LAC013-021-027-035-041-049-061-065-067-073-083-107-111-123-
060340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE CALDWELL CLAIBORNE
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN JACKSON
LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE
OUACHITA RICHLAND TENSAS
UNION WEST CARROLL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 36
VALID 060235Z - 060340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW IER
TO 10 N BVX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 36
..LEVIT..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 36
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-017-025-041-043-063-067-069-079-085-095-117-139-
145-147-060340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CHICOT CLEVELAND DESHA
DREW INDEPENDENCE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LINCOLN LONOKE
MONROE PRAIRIE UNION
WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
LAC013-021-027-035-041-049-061-065-067-073-083-107-111-123-
060340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE CALDWELL CLAIBORNE
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN JACKSON
LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE
OUACHITA RICHLAND TENSAS
UNION WEST CARROLL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 36
VALID 060125Z - 060240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW SHV
TO 10 NW BVX.
..KERR..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 36
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-023-025-027-039-041-043-053-063-067-069-
079-085-095-103-117-119-125-135-139-145-147-060240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLEBURNE
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA DALLAS
DESHA DREW GRANT
INDEPENDENCE JACKSON JEFFERSON
LINCOLN LONOKE MONROE
OUACHITA PRAIRIE PULASKI
SALINE SHARP UNION
WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
LAC013-015-021-027-035-041-049-061-065-067-073-083-107-111-119-
123-060240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CALDWELL
CLAIBORNE EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN
JACKSON LINCOLN MADISON
MOREHOUSE OUACHITA RICHLAND
TENSAS UNION WEBSTER
WEST CARROLL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 36
VALID 060040Z - 060140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW SHV
TO 25 NNE RUE.
..KERR..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 36
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-019-023-025-027-029-039-041-043-045-051-
053-059-063-065-067-069-073-079-085-095-099-103-105-115-117-119-
125-135-137-139-141-145-147-060140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLARK
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY DALLAS DESHA
DREW FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HOT SPRING INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LINCOLN LONOKE
MONROE NEVADA OUACHITA
PERRY POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SHARP
STONE UNION VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
LAC013-015-017-021-027-035-041-049-061-065-067-073-083-107-111-
119-123-060140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN JACKSON LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA
RICHLAND TENSAS UNION
WEBSTER WEST CARROLL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 36
VALID 060035Z - 060140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S TXK TO
20 N RUE.
..KERR..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 36
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-019-023-025-027-029-039-041-043-045-051-
053-059-063-065-067-069-073-079-085-095-099-103-105-115-117-119-
125-135-137-139-141-145-147-060140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLARK
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY DALLAS DESHA
DREW FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HOT SPRING INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LINCOLN LONOKE
MONROE NEVADA OUACHITA
PERRY POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SHARP
STONE UNION VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
LAC013-015-017-021-027-035-041-049-061-065-067-073-083-107-111-
119-123-060140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN JACKSON LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA
RICHLAND TENSAS UNION
WEBSTER WEST CARROLL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 36
VALID 052345Z - 060040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..02/05/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 36
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-019-023-025-027-029-039-041-043-045-051-
053-057-059-063-065-067-069-073-079-085-095-099-103-105-115-117-
119-125-135-137-139-141-145-147-060040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLARK
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY DALLAS DESHA
DREW FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
LONOKE MONROE NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY POPE
PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE
SHARP STONE UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
LAC013-015-017-021-027-035-041-049-061-065-067-073-083-107-111-
119-123-060040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN JACKSON LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA
RICHLAND TENSAS UNION
WEBSTER WEST CARROLL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 36
VALID 052225Z - 052340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..02/05/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 36
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-019-023-025-027-029-039-041-043-045-051-
053-057-059-063-065-067-069-073-079-085-095-099-103-105-115-117-
119-125-135-137-139-141-145-147-052340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLARK
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY DALLAS DESHA
DREW FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
LONOKE MONROE NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY POPE
PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE
SHARP STONE UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
LAC013-015-017-021-027-035-041-049-061-065-067-073-083-107-111-
119-123-052340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN JACKSON LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA
RICHLAND TENSAS UNION
WEBSTER WEST CARROLL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 36
VALID 052125Z - 052240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..02/05/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 36
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-019-023-025-027-029-039-041-043-045-051-
053-057-059-063-065-067-069-073-079-085-095-099-103-105-115-117-
119-125-135-137-139-141-145-147-052240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLARK
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY DALLAS DESHA
DREW FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
LONOKE MONROE NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY POPE
PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE
SHARP STONE UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
LAC013-015-017-021-027-035-041-049-061-065-067-073-083-107-111-
119-123-052240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN JACKSON LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA
RICHLAND TENSAS UNION
WEBSTER WEST CARROLL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.