Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 195
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1015 AM CDT FRI APR 11 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND NORTHERN ALABAMA
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI
MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1015 AM UNTIL
400 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CROSSVILLE TENNESSEE TO 45 MILES WEST OF PINE BELT MISSISSIPPI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...AREA IS EXPERIENCING DIABATIC DESTABILIZATION AT SFC
AND WEAKENING MLCINH...ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT MOISTURE TO SUPPORT
CONTINUING TSTM INTENSIFICATION ACROSS WW AREA -- BOTH ALONG AND
AHEAD OF PRIMARY CONVECTIVE BAND INITIALLY OBSERVED FROM WRN TN SWWD
TO NERN LA. FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
PROFILES EXIST TO SUPPORT BOTH SUPERCELLULAR AND BOW/QLCS STORM
MORPHOLOGIES...WITH RELATIVELY DISCRETE STORMS POSSIBLE AHEAD OF
MAIN LINE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...EDWARDS/THOMPSON
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 195
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1015 AM CDT FRI APR 11 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND NORTHERN ALABAMA
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI
MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1015 AM UNTIL
400 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CROSSVILLE TENNESSEE TO 45 MILES WEST OF PINE BELT MISSISSIPPI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...AREA IS EXPERIENCING DIABATIC DESTABILIZATION AT SFC
AND WEAKENING MLCINH...ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT MOISTURE TO SUPPORT
CONTINUING TSTM INTENSIFICATION ACROSS WW AREA -- BOTH ALONG AND
AHEAD OF PRIMARY CONVECTIVE BAND INITIALLY OBSERVED FROM WRN TN SWWD
TO NERN LA. FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
PROFILES EXIST TO SUPPORT BOTH SUPERCELLULAR AND BOW/QLCS STORM
MORPHOLOGIES...WITH RELATIVELY DISCRETE STORMS POSSIBLE AHEAD OF
MAIN LINE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...EDWARDS/THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 195 TORNADO AL LA MS TN 111515Z - 112100Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55NW CSV/CROSSVILLE TN/ - 45W PIB/PINE BELT MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /41SE BWG - 13NE MCB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 36508398 31458840 31459179 36508758
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 195 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 195
VALID 111940Z - 112040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E ESF TO
35 NE HEZ TO 45 NW MEI TO 45 S MSL TO 50 NNE HSV TO 45 NNW CSV.
WW MAY BE REPLACED SHORTLY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 637.
..EDWARDS..04/11/08
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...JAN...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC043-057-063-065-075-079-083-089-093-103-107-119-125-127-133-
112040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CULLMAN FAYETTE GREENE
HALE LAMAR LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MORGAN PICKENS SUMTER
TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON
$$
LAC029-112040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CONCORDIA
$$
MSC001-021-023-029-031-037-049-061-063-065-067-069-075-077-079-
085-087-099-101-103-121-123-127-129-159-112040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLAIBORNE CLARKE
COPIAH COVINGTON FRANKLIN
HINDS JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN LOWNDES NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
WINSTON
$$
TNC003-015-031-035-041-049-051-061-103-127-133-137-141-175-177-
185-112040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON COFFEE
CUMBERLAND DEKALB FENTRESS
FRANKLIN GRUNDY LINCOLN
MOORE OVERTON PICKETT
PUTNAM VAN BUREN WARREN
WHITE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 195
VALID 111835Z - 111940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW HEZ
TO 35 N JAN TO 15 N CBM TO 35 NNE MSL TO 40 S BNA TO 50 ESE BWG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 637.
..EDWARDS..04/11/08
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...JAN...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-057-059-063-065-075-077-079-083-089-093-103-107-119-
125-127-133-111940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GREENE HALE
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MORGAN PICKENS SUMTER
TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON
$$
LAC025-029-107-111940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA TENSAS
$$
MSC001-007-019-021-023-025-029-031-037-049-061-063-065-067-069-
075-077-079-085-087-089-095-099-101-103-105-121-123-127-129-155-
159-163-111940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATTALA CHOCTAW
CLAIBORNE CLARKE CLAY
COPIAH COVINGTON FRANKLIN
HINDS JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MONROE NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
WEBSTER WINSTON YAZOO
$$
TNC003-015-027-031-035-041-049-051-055-061-087-099-103-117-127-
133-137-141-149-159-175-177-185-189-111940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CLAY
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DEKALB
FENTRESS FRANKLIN GILES
GRUNDY JACKSON LAWRENCE
LINCOLN MARSHALL MOORE
OVERTON PICKETT PUTNAM
RUTHERFORD SMITH VAN BUREN
WARREN WHITE WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 195
VALID 111835Z - 111940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW HEZ
TO 35 N JAN TO 15 N CBM TO 35 NNE MSL TO 40 S BNA TO 50 ESE BWG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 637.
..EDWARDS..04/11/08
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...JAN...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-057-059-063-065-075-077-079-083-089-093-103-107-119-
125-127-133-111940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GREENE HALE
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MORGAN PICKENS SUMTER
TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON
$$
LAC025-029-107-111940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA TENSAS
$$
MSC001-007-019-021-023-025-029-031-037-049-061-063-065-067-069-
075-077-079-085-087-089-095-099-101-103-105-121-123-127-129-155-
159-163-111940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATTALA CHOCTAW
CLAIBORNE CLARKE CLAY
COPIAH COVINGTON FRANKLIN
HINDS JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MONROE NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
WEBSTER WINSTON YAZOO
$$
TNC003-015-027-031-035-041-049-051-055-061-087-099-103-117-127-
133-137-141-149-159-175-177-185-189-111940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CLAY
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DEKALB
FENTRESS FRANKLIN GILES
GRUNDY JACKSON LAWRENCE
LINCOLN MARSHALL MOORE
OVERTON PICKETT PUTNAM
RUTHERFORD SMITH VAN BUREN
WARREN WHITE WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 195
VALID 111755Z - 111840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WNW JAN
TO 45 W CBM TO 15 N MSL TO 35 SE BWG.
..EDWARDS..04/11/08
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...JAN...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-057-059-063-065-075-077-079-083-089-093-103-107-119-
125-127-133-111840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GREENE HALE
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MORGAN PICKENS SUMTER
TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON
$$
LAC025-029-041-065-107-111840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN
MADISON TENSAS
$$
MSC001-007-017-019-021-023-025-029-031-037-049-051-057-061-063-
065-067-069-075-077-079-085-087-089-095-099-101-103-105-121-123-
127-129-149-155-159-163-111840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATTALA CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLARKE
CLAY COPIAH COVINGTON
FRANKLIN HINDS HOLMES
ITAWAMBA JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MONROE NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
WARREN WEBSTER WINSTON
YAZOO
$$
TNC003-015-027-031-035-037-041-049-051-055-061-087-099-103-111-
117-119-127-133-137-141-149-159-169-175-177-185-187-189-
111840-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CLAY
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
DEKALB FENTRESS FRANKLIN
GILES GRUNDY JACKSON
LAWRENCE LINCOLN MACON
MARSHALL MAURY MOORE
OVERTON PICKETT PUTNAM
RUTHERFORD SMITH TROUSDALE
VAN BUREN WARREN WHITE
WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 195
VALID 111640Z - 111740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW GWO
TO 20 N TUP TO 45 N MSL TO 50 WSW BNA TO 20 NW BNA TO 30 E CKV.
..EDWARDS..04/11/08
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...JAN...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-057-059-063-065-075-077-079-083-089-093-103-107-119-
125-127-133-111740-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GREENE HALE
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MORGAN PICKENS SUMTER
TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON
$$
LAC025-029-041-065-107-111740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN
MADISON TENSAS
$$
MSC001-007-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-029-031-037-043-049-051-
057-061-063-065-067-069-075-077-079-081-085-087-089-095-097-099-
101-103-105-115-117-121-123-127-129-141-149-155-159-163-
111740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATTALA CALHOUN
CARROLL CHICKASAW CHOCTAW
CLAIBORNE CLARKE CLAY
COPIAH COVINGTON FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
ITAWAMBA JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LEE LINCOLN LOWNDES
MADISON MONROE MONTGOMERY
NESHOBA NEWTON NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PONTOTOC PRENTISS
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH TISHOMINGO WARREN
WEBSTER WINSTON YAZOO
$$
TNC003-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-043-049-051-055-061-081-087-
099-101-103-111-117-119-127-133-135-137-141-147-149-159-165-169-
175-177-181-185-187-189-111740-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DEKALB DICKSON
FENTRESS FRANKLIN GILES
GRUNDY HICKMAN JACKSON
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MACON MARSHALL MAURY
MOORE OVERTON PERRY
PICKETT PUTNAM ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SMITH SUMNER
TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WARREN
WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.