Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 461
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1055 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN IOWA
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA
EXTREME SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1055 AM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
BROKEN BOW NEBRASKA TO 25 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF DENISON IOWA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 458...WW 459...WW 460...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE EARLY-MID AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NEB...SPREADING INTO WESTERN IA AND SOUTHEAST SD. STRONG
LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES...AMPLE MOISTURE/INSTABILITY...AND
PRESENCE OF MULTIPLE SURFACE BOUNDARIES WILL POSE A RISK OF
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF STRONG TORNADOES. VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 461 TORNADO IA KS NE SD 051555Z - 060000Z
AXIS..115 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20SSW BBW/BROKEN BOW NE/ - 25ESE DNS/DENISON IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 100NM N/S /43E LBF - 54NE OVR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 42839977 43509493 40189493 39509977
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 461 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 461
VALID 052235Z - 052340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE HLC TO
40 NE ANW.
..GUYER..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-047-059-071-085-093-119-129-133-137-141-143-145-
149-155-161-165-167-193-052340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
CRAWFORD DICKINSON FREMONT
HARRISON IDA LYON
MILLS MONONA MONTGOMERY
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PAGE
PLYMOUTH POTTAWATTAMIE SAC
SHELBY SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-052340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH
$$
NEC001-003-009-011-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-035-037-039-041-
043-047-051-053-055-059-061-063-065-067-071-073-077-079-081-083-
085-089-093-095-097-099-103-107-109-111-113-115-119-121-125-127-
129-131-133-137-139-141-143-147-149-151-153-155-159-163-167-169-
171-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-052340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BLAINE
BOONE BOYD BROWN
BUFFALO BURT BUTLER
CASS CEDAR CLAY
COLFAX CUMING CUSTER
DAKOTA DAWSON DIXON
DODGE DOUGLAS FILLMORE
FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS
GAGE GARFIELD GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HAYES HOLT
HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON
KEARNEY KEYA PAHA KNOX
LANCASTER LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MADISON MERRICK
NANCE NEMAHA NUCKOLLS
OTOE PAWNEE PHELPS
PIERCE PLATTE POLK
RICHARDSON ROCK SALINE
SARPY SAUNDERS SEWARD
SHERMAN STANTON THAYER
THOMAS THURSTON VALLEY
WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
SDC009-027-083-125-127-135-052340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BON HOMME CLAY LINCOLN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 461
VALID 052130Z - 052240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-047-059-071-085-093-119-129-133-137-141-143-145-
149-155-161-165-167-193-052240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
CRAWFORD DICKINSON FREMONT
HARRISON IDA LYON
MILLS MONONA MONTGOMERY
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PAGE
PLYMOUTH POTTAWATTAMIE SAC
SHELBY SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-052240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH
$$
NEC001-003-011-015-019-021-023-025-027-035-037-039-041-043-047-
051-053-055-059-061-065-067-071-073-077-079-081-083-089-093-095-
097-099-107-109-115-119-121-125-127-129-131-133-137-139-141-143-
147-151-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-
052240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BOYD BUFFALO BURT
BUTLER CASS CEDAR
CLAY COLFAX CUMING
CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON
DIXON DODGE DOUGLAS
FILLMORE FRANKLIN FURNAS
GAGE GARFIELD GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOLT HOWARD
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KEARNEY
KNOX LANCASTER LOUP
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
NEMAHA NUCKOLLS OTOE
PAWNEE PHELPS PIERCE
PLATTE POLK RICHARDSON
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD SHERMAN STANTON
THAYER THURSTON VALLEY
WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
SDC009-027-083-125-127-135-052240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BON HOMME CLAY LINCOLN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 461
VALID 052035Z - 052140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1232
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-047-059-071-085-093-119-129-133-137-141-143-145-
149-155-161-165-167-193-052140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
CRAWFORD DICKINSON FREMONT
HARRISON IDA LYON
MILLS MONONA MONTGOMERY
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PAGE
PLYMOUTH POTTAWATTAMIE SAC
SHELBY SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-052140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH
$$
NEC001-003-011-015-019-021-023-025-027-035-037-039-041-043-047-
051-053-055-059-061-065-067-071-073-077-079-081-083-089-093-095-
097-099-107-109-115-119-121-125-127-129-131-133-137-139-141-143-
147-151-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-
052140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BOYD BUFFALO BURT
BUTLER CASS CEDAR
CLAY COLFAX CUMING
CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON
DIXON DODGE DOUGLAS
FILLMORE FRANKLIN FURNAS
GAGE GARFIELD GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOLT HOWARD
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KEARNEY
KNOX LANCASTER LOUP
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
NEMAHA NUCKOLLS OTOE
PAWNEE PHELPS PIERCE
PLATTE POLK RICHARDSON
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD SHERMAN STANTON
THAYER THURSTON VALLEY
WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
SDC009-027-083-125-127-135-052140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BON HOMME CLAY LINCOLN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 461
VALID 051930Z - 052040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-047-059-071-085-093-119-129-133-137-141-143-145-
149-155-161-165-167-193-052040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
CRAWFORD DICKINSON FREMONT
HARRISON IDA LYON
MILLS MONONA MONTGOMERY
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PAGE
PLYMOUTH POTTAWATTAMIE SAC
SHELBY SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-052040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH
$$
NEC001-003-011-015-019-021-023-025-027-035-037-039-041-043-047-
051-053-055-059-061-065-067-071-073-077-079-081-083-089-093-095-
097-099-107-109-115-119-121-125-127-129-131-133-137-139-141-143-
147-151-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-
052040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BOYD BUFFALO BURT
BUTLER CASS CEDAR
CLAY COLFAX CUMING
CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON
DIXON DODGE DOUGLAS
FILLMORE FRANKLIN FURNAS
GAGE GARFIELD GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOLT HOWARD
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KEARNEY
KNOX LANCASTER LOUP
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
NEMAHA NUCKOLLS OTOE
PAWNEE PHELPS PIERCE
PLATTE POLK RICHARDSON
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD SHERMAN STANTON
THAYER THURSTON VALLEY
WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
SDC009-027-083-125-127-135-052040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BON HOMME CLAY LINCOLN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 461
VALID 051835Z - 051940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1228
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-047-059-071-085-093-119-129-133-137-141-143-145-
149-155-161-165-167-193-051940-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
CRAWFORD DICKINSON FREMONT
HARRISON IDA LYON
MILLS MONONA MONTGOMERY
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PAGE
PLYMOUTH POTTAWATTAMIE SAC
SHELBY SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-051940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH
$$
NEC001-003-011-015-019-021-023-025-027-035-037-039-041-043-047-
051-053-055-059-061-065-067-071-073-077-079-081-083-089-093-095-
097-099-107-109-115-119-121-125-127-129-131-133-137-139-141-143-
147-151-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-
051940-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BOYD BUFFALO BURT
BUTLER CASS CEDAR
CLAY COLFAX CUMING
CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON
DIXON DODGE DOUGLAS
FILLMORE FRANKLIN FURNAS
GAGE GARFIELD GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOLT HOWARD
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KEARNEY
KNOX LANCASTER LOUP
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
NEMAHA NUCKOLLS OTOE
PAWNEE PHELPS PIERCE
PLATTE POLK RICHARDSON
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD SHERMAN STANTON
THAYER THURSTON VALLEY
WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
SDC009-027-083-125-127-135-051940-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BON HOMME CLAY LINCOLN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 461
VALID 051735Z - 051840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-047-059-071-085-093-119-129-133-137-141-143-145-
149-155-161-165-167-193-051840-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
CRAWFORD DICKINSON FREMONT
HARRISON IDA LYON
MILLS MONONA MONTGOMERY
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PAGE
PLYMOUTH POTTAWATTAMIE SAC
SHELBY SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-051840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH
$$
NEC001-003-011-015-019-021-023-025-027-035-037-039-041-043-047-
051-053-055-059-061-065-067-071-073-077-079-081-083-089-093-095-
097-099-107-109-115-119-121-125-127-129-131-133-137-139-141-143-
147-151-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-
051840-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BOYD BUFFALO BURT
BUTLER CASS CEDAR
CLAY COLFAX CUMING
CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON
DIXON DODGE DOUGLAS
FILLMORE FRANKLIN FURNAS
GAGE GARFIELD GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOLT HOWARD
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KEARNEY
KNOX LANCASTER LOUP
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
NEMAHA NUCKOLLS OTOE
PAWNEE PHELPS PIERCE
PLATTE POLK RICHARDSON
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD SHERMAN STANTON
THAYER THURSTON VALLEY
WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
SDC009-027-083-125-127-135-051840-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BON HOMME CLAY LINCOLN
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (70%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.