Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 463
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1205 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA
SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1205 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF CHAMBERLAIN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
WORTHINGTON MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 459...WW 460...WW
461...WW 462...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIFT NORTHWARD OUT OF
NEB AND INTO SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
ELEVATED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL ARE LIKELY. BY LATE
AFTERNOON...SOME THREAT OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO
INCREASE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 463 SEVERE TSTM MN SD 051705Z - 060000Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30SW 9V9/CHAMBERLAIN SD/ - 45NNE OTG/WORTHINGTON MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /55NNE ANW - 14SSW RWF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 44259973 45049523 43459523 42669973
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 463 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 463
VALID 052230Z - 052340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
A REPLACEMENT WATCH IS LIKELY SOON.
..GUYER..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 463
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC033-063-081-083-101-105-117-133-052340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON LINCOLN
LYON MURRAY NOBLES
PIPESTONE ROCK
$$
SDC003-005-011-015-023-035-043-053-061-067-073-077-079-087-097-
099-101-111-052340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROOKINGS
BRULE CHARLES MIX DAVISON
DOUGLAS GREGORY HANSON
HUTCHINSON JERAULD KINGSBURY
LAKE MCCOOK MINER
MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 463
VALID 052140Z - 052240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 463
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC033-063-081-083-101-105-117-133-052240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON LINCOLN
LYON MURRAY NOBLES
PIPESTONE ROCK
$$
SDC003-005-011-015-023-035-043-053-061-067-073-077-079-087-097-
099-101-111-052240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROOKINGS
BRULE CHARLES MIX DAVISON
DOUGLAS GREGORY HANSON
HUTCHINSON JERAULD KINGSBURY
LAKE MCCOOK MINER
MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 463
VALID 052035Z - 052140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 463
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC033-063-081-083-101-105-117-133-052140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON LINCOLN
LYON MURRAY NOBLES
PIPESTONE ROCK
$$
SDC003-005-011-015-023-035-043-053-061-067-073-077-079-087-097-
099-101-111-052140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROOKINGS
BRULE CHARLES MIX DAVISON
DOUGLAS GREGORY HANSON
HUTCHINSON JERAULD KINGSBURY
LAKE MCCOOK MINER
MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 463
VALID 051935Z - 052040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 463
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC033-063-081-083-101-105-117-133-052040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON LINCOLN
LYON MURRAY NOBLES
PIPESTONE ROCK
$$
SDC003-005-011-015-023-035-043-053-061-067-073-077-079-087-097-
099-101-111-052040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROOKINGS
BRULE CHARLES MIX DAVISON
DOUGLAS GREGORY HANSON
HUTCHINSON JERAULD KINGSBURY
LAKE MCCOOK MINER
MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 463
VALID 051840Z - 051940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 463
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC033-063-081-083-101-105-117-133-051940-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON LINCOLN
LYON MURRAY NOBLES
PIPESTONE ROCK
$$
SDC003-005-011-015-023-035-043-053-061-067-073-077-079-087-097-
099-101-111-051940-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROOKINGS
BRULE CHARLES MIX DAVISON
DOUGLAS GREGORY HANSON
HUTCHINSON JERAULD KINGSBURY
LAKE MCCOOK MINER
MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 463
VALID 051740Z - 051840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 463
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC033-063-081-083-101-105-117-133-051840-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON LINCOLN
LYON MURRAY NOBLES
PIPESTONE ROCK
$$
SDC003-005-011-015-023-035-043-053-061-067-073-077-079-087-097-
099-101-111-051840-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROOKINGS
BRULE CHARLES MIX DAVISON
DOUGLAS GREGORY HANSON
HUTCHINSON JERAULD KINGSBURY
LAKE MCCOOK MINER
MINNEHAHA MOODY SANBORN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.