Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 464
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
130 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN KANSAS
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 130 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES EAST
SOUTHEAST OF LIBERAL KANSAS TO 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF HILL CITY
KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 461...WW 462...WW 463...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING ALONG THE CO/KS
BORDER AS STRONG LARGE SCALE DYNAMICS AND FORCING SPREAD INTO
REGION. DESPITE ONLY MARGINAL INSTABILITY...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN STRONGER CELLS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 464 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 051830Z - 060000Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15ESE LBL/LIBERAL KS/ - 60NW HLC/HILL CITY KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /13ESE LBL - 13S MCK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 36950198 39970194 39979930 36959944
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 464 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 464
VALID 052340Z - 060000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE HLC
TO 35 S MCK TO 20 NW GLD.
WW 464 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 00Z.
..GUYER..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-065-137-153-060000-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GRAHAM
NORTON RAWLINS
$$
NEC057-087-145-060000-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 464
VALID 052230Z - 052340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE HLC
TO 35 S MCK TO 20 NW GLD.
..GUYER..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-065-137-153-052340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GRAHAM
NORTON RAWLINS
$$
NEC057-087-145-052340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 464
VALID 052135Z - 052240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE HLC
TO 45 WNW HLC TO 20 NW GLD.
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-065-137-153-052240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GRAHAM
NORTON RAWLINS
$$
NEC057-087-145-052240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 464
VALID 052040Z - 052140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E LBL TO
10 SSW DDC TO 25 N DDC TO 40 N DDC TO 55 SW HLC TO 50 SE GLD TO
25 SE ITR.
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-025-039-057-063-065-083-109-135-137-153-179-181-193-195-
052140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE CLARK DECATUR
FORD GOVE GRAHAM
HODGEMAN LOGAN NESS
NORTON RAWLINS SHERIDAN
SHERMAN THOMAS TREGO
$$
NEC057-087-145-052140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 464
VALID 051940Z - 052040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..IMY..06/05/08
ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-025-039-055-057-063-065-069-071-081-083-101-109-119-135-
137-153-171-175-179-181-193-195-199-203-052040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE CLARK DECATUR
FINNEY FORD GOVE
GRAHAM GRAY GREELEY
HASKELL HODGEMAN LANE
LOGAN MEADE NESS
NORTON RAWLINS SCOTT
SEWARD SHERIDAN SHERMAN
THOMAS TREGO WALLACE
WICHITA
$$
NEC057-087-145-052040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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