Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 725
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF NORTHERN ALABAMA
PARTS OF NORTHWEST GEORGIA
PARTS OF MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHWEST
OF TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA TO 60 MILES EAST OF CROSSVILLE TENNESSEE.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 724...
DISCUSSION...OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM E OF BNA SWWD INTO NRN MS WILL
FOCUS STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS IT MOVES SEWD INTO A VERY MOIST
AND UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR. WHILE SHEAR IS GENERALLY LESS THAN 20KTS
COMBINATION OF COLD POOL DEVELOPMENT AND WET MICRO BURSTS SUPPORTS A
WIND DAMAGE THREAT AS STORMS INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY ACROSS
THE WATCH NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27015.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 725 SEVERE TSTM AL GA TN 221735Z - 230000Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55NW TCL/TUSCALOOSA AL/ - 60E CSV/CROSSVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /21NNE IGB - 6WNW VXV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27015.
LAT...LON 34868830 37028401 34868401 32708830
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 725 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 725
VALID 222325Z - 230000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW TCL
TO 15 SSW GAD TO 10 SW RMG TO 10 N TYS.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 725 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
23/00Z.
..KERR..07/22/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 725
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-017-021-027-037-081-111-117-121-123-125-230000-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB CHAMBERS CHILTON
CLAY COOSA LEE
RANDOLPH SHELBY TALLADEGA
TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA
$$
GAC111-115-123-129-213-230000-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FANNIN FLOYD GILMER
GORDON MURRAY
$$
NCC039-043-230000-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY
$$
TNC009-093-105-123-139-230000-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT KNOX LOUDON
MONROE POLK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 725
VALID 222230Z - 222340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CBM
TO 15 SSW GAD TO 15 SW RMG TO 10 N TYS.
..KERR..07/22/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 725
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-015-017-021-027-029-037-073-081-107-111-115-117-121-123-
125-222340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB CALHOUN CHAMBERS
CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE
COOSA JEFFERSON LEE
PICKENS RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR
SHELBY TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA
TUSCALOOSA
$$
GAC111-115-123-129-213-222340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FANNIN FLOYD GILMER
GORDON MURRAY
$$
NCC039-043-222340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY
$$
TNC009-093-105-123-139-222340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT KNOX LOUDON
MONROE POLK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 725
VALID 222135Z - 222240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE CBM TO
15 SSW GAD TO 25 NNE CHA TO 35 NNE CSV TO 5 ESE LOZ.
..KERR..07/22/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 725
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-015-017-019-021-027-029-037-057-073-081-107-111-115-117-
121-123-125-127-222240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB CALHOUN CHAMBERS
CHEROKEE CHILTON CLAY
CLEBURNE COOSA FAYETTE
JEFFERSON LEE PICKENS
RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SHELBY
TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA
WALKER
$$
GAC047-055-111-115-123-129-213-295-313-222240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CATOOSA CHATTOOGA FANNIN
FLOYD GILMER GORDON
MURRAY WALKER WHITFIELD
$$
NCC039-043-222240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY
$$
TNC001-009-011-013-035-049-065-093-105-107-121-123-129-137-139-
143-145-151-222240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLOUNT BRADLEY
CAMPBELL CUMBERLAND FENTRESS
HAMILTON KNOX LOUDON
MCMINN MEIGS MONROE
MORGAN PICKETT POLK
RHEA ROANE SCOTT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 725
VALID 222025Z - 222140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE TUP
TO 10 SSW MSL TO 30 SSE BNA TO 35 SW LOZ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1861.
..EDWARDS..07/22/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 725
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-015-017-019-021-027-029-037-043-049-055-057-059-071-
073-075-079-081-083-089-093-095-103-107-111-115-117-121-123-125-
127-133-222140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT CALHOUN
CHAMBERS CHEROKEE CHILTON
CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA
CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH
FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAMAR LAWRENCE
LEE LIMESTONE MADISON
MARION MARSHALL MORGAN
PICKENS RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR
SHELBY TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA
TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON
$$
GAC047-055-083-111-115-123-129-213-295-313-222140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CATOOSA CHATTOOGA DADE
FANNIN FLOYD GILMER
GORDON MURRAY WALKER
WHITFIELD
$$
NCC039-043-222140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY
$$
TNC001-003-007-009-011-013-015-031-035-041-049-051-055-061-065-
093-103-105-107-115-117-121-123-127-129-133-137-139-141-143-145-
151-153-175-177-185-222140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BEDFORD BLEDSOE
BLOUNT BRADLEY CAMPBELL
CANNON COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DEKALB FENTRESS FRANKLIN
GILES GRUNDY HAMILTON
KNOX LINCOLN LOUDON
MCMINN MARION MARSHALL
MEIGS MONROE MOORE
MORGAN OVERTON PICKETT
POLK PUTNAM RHEA
ROANE SCOTT SEQUATCHIE
VAN BUREN WARREN WHITE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 725
VALID 221940Z - 222040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW MSL
TO 25 NNE MSL TO 30 SE BNA TO 30 N CSV TO 40 SW LOZ.
..EDWARDS..07/22/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 725
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-019-033-043-049-055-057-059-071-073-075-077-079-083-
089-093-095-103-107-115-117-125-127-133-222040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT CHEROKEE
COLBERT CULLMAN DEKALB
ETOWAH FAYETTE FRANKLIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
MADISON MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PICKENS ST. CLAIR
SHELBY TUSCALOOSA WALKER
WINSTON
$$
GAC047-055-083-111-115-123-129-213-295-313-222040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CATOOSA CHATTOOGA DADE
FANNIN FLOYD GILMER
GORDON MURRAY WALKER
WHITFIELD
$$
TNC001-003-007-009-011-013-015-031-035-041-049-051-055-061-065-
093-099-103-105-107-115-117-121-123-127-129-133-137-139-141-143-
145-151-153-175-177-185-222040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BEDFORD BLEDSOE
BLOUNT BRADLEY CAMPBELL
CANNON COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DEKALB FENTRESS FRANKLIN
GILES GRUNDY HAMILTON
KNOX LAWRENCE LINCOLN
LOUDON MCMINN MARION
MARSHALL MEIGS MONROE
MOORE MORGAN OVERTON
PICKETT POLK PUTNAM
RHEA ROANE SCOTT
SEQUATCHIE VAN BUREN WARREN
WHITE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 725
VALID 221845Z - 221940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1855.
..EDWARDS..07/22/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 725
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-019-033-043-049-055-057-059-071-073-075-077-079-083-
089-093-095-103-107-115-117-125-127-133-221940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT CHEROKEE
COLBERT CULLMAN DEKALB
ETOWAH FAYETTE FRANKLIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
MADISON MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PICKENS ST. CLAIR
SHELBY TUSCALOOSA WALKER
WINSTON
$$
GAC047-055-083-111-115-123-129-213-295-313-221940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CATOOSA CHATTOOGA DADE
FANNIN FLOYD GILMER
GORDON MURRAY WALKER
WHITFIELD
$$
TNC001-003-007-009-011-013-015-031-035-041-049-051-055-061-065-
093-099-103-105-107-115-117-121-123-127-129-133-137-139-141-143-
145-151-153-175-177-185-221940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BEDFORD BLEDSOE
BLOUNT BRADLEY CAMPBELL
CANNON COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DEKALB FENTRESS FRANKLIN
GILES GRUNDY HAMILTON
KNOX LAWRENCE LINCOLN
LOUDON MCMINN MARION
MARSHALL MEIGS MONROE
MOORE MORGAN OVERTON
PICKETT POLK PUTNAM
RHEA ROANE SCOTT
SEQUATCHIE VAN BUREN WARREN
WHITE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.