Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 210...RESENT
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CDT WED APR 29 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH OF MIDLAND
TEXAS TO 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF MINERAL WELLS TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 209...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOPING IN A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
ALONG RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. WITH MLCAPES RISING TO 3000 J/KG
THIS AFTERNOON AND 35-45KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR...SUPERCELLS ARE THE
MOST LIKELY MODE. IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL...TORNADOES WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY A THREAT DURING THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 210 TORNADO TX 291740Z - 300100Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50N MAF/MIDLAND TX/ - 45NE MWL/MINERAL WELLS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /39N MAF - 33NW DFW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
LAT...LON 33610219 34189751 32299751 31720219
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 210 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 210
VALID 300035Z - 300100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
WW 210 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300100Z. A NEW WW WILL BE
ISSUED.
..HURLBUT..04/30/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 210
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC009-023-033-059-077-107-115-125-133-143-151-155-169-207-221-
227-237-253-263-269-275-303-305-335-337-353-363-367-415-417-429-
433-441-447-485-487-497-503-300100-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
CALLAHAN CLAY CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS EASTLAND
ERATH FISHER FOARD
GARZA HASKELL HOOD
HOWARD JACK JONES
KENT KING KNOX
LUBBOCK LYNN MITCHELL
MONTAGUE NOLAN PALO PINTO
PARKER SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 210
VALID 292340Z - 300040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 210
..HURLBUT..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 210
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC009-023-033-059-077-107-115-125-133-143-151-155-169-207-221-
227-237-253-263-269-275-303-305-335-337-353-363-367-415-417-429-
433-441-447-485-487-497-503-300040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
CALLAHAN CLAY CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS EASTLAND
ERATH FISHER FOARD
GARZA HASKELL HOOD
HOWARD JACK JONES
KENT KING KNOX
LUBBOCK LYNN MITCHELL
MONTAGUE NOLAN PALO PINTO
PARKER SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 210
VALID 292230Z - 292340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 210
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC009-023-033-059-077-107-115-125-133-143-151-155-169-207-221-
227-237-253-263-269-275-303-305-335-337-353-363-367-415-417-429-
433-441-447-485-487-497-503-292340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
CALLAHAN CLAY CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS EASTLAND
ERATH FISHER FOARD
GARZA HASKELL HOOD
HOWARD JACK JONES
KENT KING KNOX
LUBBOCK LYNN MITCHELL
MONTAGUE NOLAN PALO PINTO
PARKER SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 210
VALID 292135Z - 292240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 633
..HURLBUT..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 210
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC009-023-033-059-077-107-115-125-133-143-151-155-169-207-221-
227-237-253-263-269-275-303-305-335-337-353-363-367-415-417-429-
433-441-447-485-487-497-503-292240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
CALLAHAN CLAY CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS EASTLAND
ERATH FISHER FOARD
GARZA HASKELL HOOD
HOWARD JACK JONES
KENT KING KNOX
LUBBOCK LYNN MITCHELL
MONTAGUE NOLAN PALO PINTO
PARKER SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 210
VALID 292040Z - 292140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 633.
..GRAMS..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 210
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC009-023-033-059-077-107-115-125-133-143-151-155-169-207-221-
227-237-253-263-269-275-303-305-335-337-353-363-367-415-417-429-
433-441-447-485-487-497-503-292140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
CALLAHAN CLAY CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS EASTLAND
ERATH FISHER FOARD
GARZA HASKELL HOOD
HOWARD JACK JONES
KENT KING KNOX
LUBBOCK LYNN MITCHELL
MONTAGUE NOLAN PALO PINTO
PARKER SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 210
VALID 291925Z - 292040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 210
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC009-023-033-059-077-107-115-125-133-143-151-155-169-207-221-
227-237-253-263-269-275-303-305-335-337-353-363-367-415-417-429-
433-441-447-485-487-497-503-292040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
CALLAHAN CLAY CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS EASTLAND
ERATH FISHER FOARD
GARZA HASKELL HOOD
HOWARD JACK JONES
KENT KING KNOX
LUBBOCK LYNN MITCHELL
MONTAGUE NOLAN PALO PINTO
PARKER SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.