Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 213
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM CDT WED APR 29 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
MUCH OF TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTHWEST OF GARDEN
CITY KANSAS TO 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHILDRESS TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 210...WW 211...WW 212...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ALONG N/S DRY LINE WRN PORTION OF WATCH. WITH MLCAPES LOCALLY TO
3000 J/KG ALONG WITH FAVORABLE VEERING PROFILES AND STEEP LAPSE
RATES...VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE LIKELY WITH ANY SUPERCELL ALONG WITH
POSSIBLY TORNADOES. STORMS WILL MOVE/DEVELOP ONLY SLOWLY EWD ACROSS
THE WATCH AREA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27015.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 213 TORNADO CO KS OK TX 292045Z - 300400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
65NW GCK/GARDEN CITY KS/ - 45SW CDS/CHILDRESS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /48S GLD - 37SW CDS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27015.
LAT...LON 38590045 33959979 33950187 38590268
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 213 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 213
VALID 300240Z - 300340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE PVW
TO 40 SE BGD TO 50 SSE GLD.
..BROYLES..04/30/09
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...GLD...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 213
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC055-067-069-081-093-101-119-171-175-300340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FINNEY GRANT GRAY
HASKELL KEARNY LANE
MEADE SCOTT SEWARD
$$
OKC007-300340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER
$$
TXC075-087-101-129-179-191-211-295-345-357-393-483-300340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
DONLEY GRAY HALL
HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB MOTLEY
OCHILTREE ROBERTS WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 213
VALID 300130Z - 300240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW PVW
TO 35 NNE BGD TO 50 SSE GLD.
..BROYLES..04/30/09
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...GLD...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 213
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC055-067-069-081-093-101-119-171-175-203-300240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FINNEY GRANT GRAY
HASKELL KEARNY LANE
MEADE SCOTT SEWARD
WICHITA
$$
OKC007-300240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER
$$
TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-129-153-179-191-211-295-345-357-393-
483-300240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
DONLEY FLOYD GRAY
HALL HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
MOTLEY OCHILTREE ROBERTS
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 213
VALID 300050Z - 300140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW AMA
TO 10 SW GUY TO 45 SSE ITR.
..BROYLES..04/30/09
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...GLD...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 213
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC055-067-069-071-081-093-101-119-171-175-189-203-300140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FINNEY GRANT GRAY
GREELEY HASKELL KEARNY
LANE MEADE SCOTT
SEWARD STEVENS WICHITA
$$
OKC007-139-300140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER TEXAS
$$
TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-129-153-179-189-191-195-211-233-295-
341-345-357-375-381-393-437-483-300140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
DONLEY FLOYD GRAY
HALE HALL HANSFORD
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
SWISHER WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 213
VALID 292240Z - 292340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...GLD...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 213
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-061-099-292340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA KIOWA PROWERS
$$
KSC055-067-069-071-075-081-093-101-119-129-171-175-187-189-203-
292340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FINNEY GRANT GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LANE MEADE
MORTON SCOTT SEWARD
STANTON STEVENS WICHITA
$$
OKC007-025-139-292340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-129-153-179-189-191-195-211-233-295-
341-345-357-375-381-393-421-437-483-292340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
DONLEY FLOYD GRAY
HALE HALL HANSFORD
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
SHERMAN SWISHER WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 213
VALID 292135Z - 292240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 631
..HURLBUT..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...GLD...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 213
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-061-099-292240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA KIOWA PROWERS
$$
KSC055-067-069-071-075-081-093-101-119-129-171-175-187-189-203-
292240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FINNEY GRANT GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LANE MEADE
MORTON SCOTT SEWARD
STANTON STEVENS WICHITA
$$
OKC007-025-139-292240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-129-153-179-189-191-195-211-233-295-
341-345-357-375-381-393-421-437-483-292240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
DONLEY FLOYD GRAY
HALE HALL HANSFORD
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
SHERMAN SWISHER WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.