Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 274
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
555 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 555 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST OF BATESVILLE
ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES SOUTH OF CHICKASHA OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 268...WW 270...WW
271...WW 272...WW 273...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE/DEVELOP ALONG SLOWLY-MOVING
BOUNDARY ARCING FROM S CNTRL OK TO N CNTRL AR. AMPLE DEEP
SHEAR/INSTABILITY PRESENT FOR SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL/DMGG
WIND AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES GIVEN RICH QUALITY OF BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 274 TORNADO AR OK 082255Z - 090700Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35E BVX/BATESVILLE AR/ - 50S CHK/CHICKASHA OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /23S ARG - 39NE SPS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 34869102 33509797 35249797 36599102
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 274 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 274
VALID 090350Z - 090440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE FSI
TO 20 SE CQB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 771
..GUYER..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...OUN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 274
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-023-029-033-045-047-049-051-063-065-067-071-
083-085-087-089-097-101-105-113-115-117-119-125-127-129-131-135-
137-141-143-145-147-149-090440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CLEBURNE CONWAY
CRAWFORD FAULKNER FRANKLIN
FULTON GARLAND INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON JOHNSON
LOGAN LONOKE MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY NEWTON
PERRY POLK POPE
PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE
SCOTT SEARCY SEBASTIAN
SHARP STONE VAN BUREN
WASHINGTON WHITE WOODRUFF
YELL
$$
OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-029-061-063-067-069-077-079-085-089-
091-095-099-101-107-111-121-123-127-135-137-145-090440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
COAL HASKELL HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE LOVE MCCURTAIN
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MURRAY
MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC PUSHMATAHA
SEQUOYAH STEPHENS WAGONER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 274
VALID 090235Z - 090340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 771
..JEWELL..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...OUN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 274
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-023-029-033-037-045-047-049-051-063-065-067-
071-075-083-085-087-089-097-101-105-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-
127-129-131-135-137-141-143-145-147-149-090340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CLEBURNE CONWAY
CRAWFORD CROSS FAULKNER
FRANKLIN FULTON GARLAND
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JOHNSON LAWRENCE LOGAN
LONOKE MADISON MARION
MONTGOMERY NEWTON PERRY
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SALINE SCOTT SEARCY
SEBASTIAN SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN WASHINGTON WHITE
WOODRUFF YELL
$$
OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-029-049-061-063-067-069-077-079-085-
089-091-095-099-101-107-111-121-123-127-133-135-137-145-
090340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
COAL GARVIN HASKELL
HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LATIMER LE FLORE LOVE
MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MURRAY MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH
STEPHENS WAGONER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 274
VALID 090145Z - 090240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...OUN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 274
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-023-029-033-037-045-047-049-051-063-065-067-
071-075-083-085-087-089-097-101-105-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-
127-129-131-135-137-141-143-145-147-149-090240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CLEBURNE CONWAY
CRAWFORD CROSS FAULKNER
FRANKLIN FULTON GARLAND
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JOHNSON LAWRENCE LOGAN
LONOKE MADISON MARION
MONTGOMERY NEWTON PERRY
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SALINE SCOTT SEARCY
SEBASTIAN SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN WASHINGTON WHITE
WOODRUFF YELL
$$
OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-029-049-061-063-067-069-077-079-085-
089-091-095-099-101-107-111-121-123-127-133-135-137-145-
090240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
COAL GARVIN HASKELL
HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LATIMER LE FLORE LOVE
MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MURRAY MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH
STEPHENS WAGONER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 274
VALID 090045Z - 090140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...OUN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 274
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-023-029-033-037-045-047-049-051-063-065-067-
071-075-083-085-087-089-097-101-105-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-
127-129-131-135-137-141-143-145-147-149-090140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CLEBURNE CONWAY
CRAWFORD CROSS FAULKNER
FRANKLIN FULTON GARLAND
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JOHNSON LAWRENCE LOGAN
LONOKE MADISON MARION
MONTGOMERY NEWTON PERRY
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SALINE SCOTT SEARCY
SEBASTIAN SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN WASHINGTON WHITE
WOODRUFF YELL
$$
OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-029-049-061-063-067-069-077-079-085-
089-091-095-099-101-107-111-121-123-127-133-135-137-145-
090140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
COAL GARVIN HASKELL
HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LATIMER LE FLORE LOVE
MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MURRAY MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH
STEPHENS WAGONER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 274
VALID 090045Z - 090140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...OUN...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 274
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-023-029-033-037-045-047-049-051-063-065-067-
071-075-083-085-087-089-097-101-105-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-
127-129-131-135-137-141-143-145-147-149-090140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CLEBURNE CONWAY
CRAWFORD CROSS FAULKNER
FRANKLIN FULTON GARLAND
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JOHNSON LAWRENCE LOGAN
LONOKE MADISON MARION
MONTGOMERY NEWTON PERRY
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SALINE SCOTT SEARCY
SEBASTIAN SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN WASHINGTON WHITE
WOODRUFF YELL
$$
OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-029-049-061-063-067-069-077-079-085-
089-091-095-099-101-107-111-121-123-127-133-135-137-145-
090140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
COAL GARVIN HASKELL
HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LATIMER LE FLORE LOVE
MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MURRAY MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH
STEPHENS WAGONER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.