Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 398
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PART OF SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
MUCH OF NORTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 110 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
ABILENE TEXAS TO 5 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF WICHITA FALLS TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 397...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF A
VERY TO EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH MLCAPES AOA 4500 J/KG.
SHEAR SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WHICH COMBINED WITH THE
INSTABILITY WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND AT LEAST
ISOLATED TORNADOES. STORMS WILL PROPAGATE INTO A PROGRESSIVELY MORE
FAVORABLE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 398 TORNADO OK TX 132020Z - 140400Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
110WNW ABI/ABILENE TX/ - 5ESE SPS/WICHITA FALLS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /48SSE LBB - 9ESE SPS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..4 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
LAT...LON 34310143 35249841 32639841 31700143
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 398 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 398
VALID 140400Z - 140400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE ABI TO
55 W SPS TO 30 WNW LTS.
WW 398 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 140400Z.
..GUYER..06/14/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 398
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC055-057-065-075-141-140400-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREER HARMON JACKSON
KIOWA TILLMAN
$$
TXC009-023-059-075-101-151-155-191-197-207-253-275-345-353-417-
429-441-447-485-487-503-140400-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CALLAHAN
CHILDRESS COTTLE FISHER
FOARD HALL HARDEMAN
HASKELL JONES KNOX
MOTLEY NOLAN SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
WICHITA WILBARGER YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 398
VALID 140140Z - 140240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW SJT
TO 70 NW ABI TO 20 ESE LBB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1102
..GUYER..06/14/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 398
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC055-057-065-075-141-140240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREER HARMON JACKSON
KIOWA TILLMAN
$$
TXC009-023-059-075-101-107-125-151-153-155-169-191-197-207-253-
263-269-275-345-353-417-429-433-441-447-485-487-503-140240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CALLAHAN
CHILDRESS COTTLE CROSBY
DICKENS FISHER FLOYD
FOARD GARZA HALL
HARDEMAN HASKELL JONES
KENT KING KNOX
MOTLEY NOLAN SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 398
VALID 140140Z - 140240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW SJT
TO 70 NW ABI TO 20 ESE LBB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1102
..GUYER..06/14/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 398
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC055-057-065-075-141-140240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREER HARMON JACKSON
KIOWA TILLMAN
$$
TXC009-023-059-075-101-107-125-151-153-155-169-191-197-207-253-
263-269-275-345-353-417-429-433-441-447-485-487-503-140240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CALLAHAN
CHILDRESS COTTLE CROSBY
DICKENS FISHER FLOYD
FOARD GARZA HALL
HARDEMAN HASKELL JONES
KENT KING KNOX
MOTLEY NOLAN SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 398
VALID 132245Z - 132340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..06/13/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 398
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC055-057-065-075-141-132340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREER HARMON JACKSON
KIOWA TILLMAN
$$
TXC009-023-059-075-101-107-125-151-153-155-169-191-197-207-253-
263-269-275-335-345-353-415-417-429-433-441-447-485-487-503-
132340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CALLAHAN
CHILDRESS COTTLE CROSBY
DICKENS FISHER FLOYD
FOARD GARZA HALL
HARDEMAN HASKELL JONES
KENT KING KNOX
MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
WICHITA WILBARGER YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.