Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 423
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
315 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS
PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA
MUCH OF TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 315 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH OF DODGE CITY
KANSAS TO 45 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LUBBOCK TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 419...WW 420...WW
421...WW 422...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY IN NUMBER AND
INTENSITY ALONG DRY LINE FROM SWRN KS TO WRN TX PANHANDLE. WITH
MLCAPES AOA 2500 AND 40-50KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR...SUPERCELLS ARE
LIKELY. IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH ANY SUPERCELL AS THEY MOVE/PROPAGATE E/NE ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 423 TORNADO KS OK TX 152015Z - 160400Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
75N DDC/DODGE CITY KS/ - 45SE LBB/LUBBOCK TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /27SSE HLC - 44SE LBB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 38849866 33200005 33200248 38840126
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 423 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 423
VALID 160320Z - 160400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 ESE LBB
TO 50 NNW GAG TO 30 WNW AVK.
WW 423 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 16/04Z.
..KERR..06/16/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 423
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-045-059-129-153-160400-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM ELLIS HARPER
ROGER MILLS WOODWARD
$$
TXC075-101-125-191-263-269-345-433-160400-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHILDRESS COTTLE DICKENS
HALL KENT KING
MOTLEY STONEWALL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 423
VALID 160240Z - 160340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 ESE LBB
TO 50 NNW GAG TO 30 WNW AVK.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW COULD BE CANCELLED EARLY IF CURRENT
TRENDS CONTINUE.
..KERR..06/16/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 423
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-045-059-129-153-160340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM ELLIS HARPER
ROGER MILLS WOODWARD
$$
TXC075-101-125-191-263-269-345-433-160340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHILDRESS COTTLE DICKENS
HALL KENT KING
MOTLEY STONEWALL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 423
VALID 160140Z - 160240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 ESE LBB
TO 25 NNW CDS TO 35 NNE DDC TO 40 WNW GCK.
..KERR..06/16/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 423
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-051-057-083-097-101-135-145-151-165-171-185-
195-160240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS ELLIS FORD
HODGEMAN KIOWA LANE
NESS PAWNEE PRATT
RUSH SCOTT STAFFORD
TREGO
$$
OKC007-009-045-059-129-153-160240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BECKHAM ELLIS
HARPER ROGER MILLS WOODWARD
$$
TXC075-101-125-169-191-263-269-295-345-433-160240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHILDRESS COTTLE DICKENS
GARZA HALL KENT
KING LIPSCOMB MOTLEY
STONEWALL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 423
VALID 160055Z - 160140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW AMA TO
25 NNW CDS TO 35 NNE DDC TO 40 WNW GCK.
..KERR..06/16/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 423
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-051-057-083-097-101-135-145-151-165-171-185-
195-160140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS ELLIS FORD
HODGEMAN KIOWA LANE
NESS PAWNEE PRATT
RUSH SCOTT STAFFORD
TREGO
$$
OKC007-009-045-059-129-153-160140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BECKHAM ELLIS
HARPER ROGER MILLS WOODWARD
$$
TXC045-069-075-101-107-125-153-169-189-191-219-263-269-279-295-
303-305-345-433-437-445-160140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISCOE CASTRO CHILDRESS
COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS
FLOYD GARZA HALE
HALL HOCKLEY KENT
KING LAMB LIPSCOMB
LUBBOCK LYNN MOTLEY
STONEWALL SWISHER TERRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 423
VALID 152330Z - 160040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/15/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 423
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-051-055-057-067-069-081-083-093-097-101-119-
135-145-151-165-171-175-185-189-195-160040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY
FORD GRANT GRAY
HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY
KIOWA LANE MEADE
NESS PAWNEE PRATT
RUSH SCOTT SEWARD
STAFFORD STEVENS TREGO
$$
OKC007-009-045-059-129-139-153-160040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BECKHAM ELLIS
HARPER ROGER MILLS TEXAS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-045-065-069-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-
195-211-219-233-263-269-279-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-
421-433-437-445-483-160040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CASTRO CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH
COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS
DONLEY FLOYD GARZA
GRAY HALE HALL
HANSFORD HEMPHILL HOCKLEY
HUTCHINSON KENT KING
LAMB LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MOORE MOTLEY
OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL
ROBERTS SHERMAN STONEWALL
SWISHER TERRY WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 423
VALID 152230Z - 152340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/15/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 423
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-051-055-057-067-069-081-083-093-097-101-119-
135-145-151-165-171-175-185-189-195-152340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY
FORD GRANT GRAY
HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY
KIOWA LANE MEADE
NESS PAWNEE PRATT
RUSH SCOTT SEWARD
STAFFORD STEVENS TREGO
$$
OKC007-009-045-059-129-139-153-152340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BECKHAM ELLIS
HARPER ROGER MILLS TEXAS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-045-065-069-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-
195-211-219-233-263-269-279-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-
421-433-437-445-483-152340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CASTRO CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH
COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS
DONLEY FLOYD GARZA
GRAY HALE HALL
HANSFORD HEMPHILL HOCKLEY
HUTCHINSON KENT KING
LAMB LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MOORE MOTLEY
OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL
ROBERTS SHERMAN STONEWALL
SWISHER TERRY WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 423
VALID 152130Z - 152240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/15/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 423
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-051-055-057-067-069-081-083-093-097-101-119-
135-145-151-165-171-175-185-189-195-152240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY
FORD GRANT GRAY
HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY
KIOWA LANE MEADE
NESS PAWNEE PRATT
RUSH SCOTT SEWARD
STAFFORD STEVENS TREGO
$$
OKC007-009-045-059-129-139-153-152240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BECKHAM ELLIS
HARPER ROGER MILLS TEXAS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-045-065-069-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-
195-211-219-233-263-269-279-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-
421-433-437-445-483-152240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CASTRO CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH
COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS
DONLEY FLOYD GARZA
GRAY HALE HALL
HANSFORD HEMPHILL HOCKLEY
HUTCHINSON KENT KING
LAMB LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MOORE MOTLEY
OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL
ROBERTS SHERMAN STONEWALL
SWISHER TERRY WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.