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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 426
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
555 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON FROM 555 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF
HUTCHINSON KANSAS TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF TOPEKA KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 420...WW 421...WW
423...WW 424...WW 425...
DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE DEVELOPING RAPIDLY EAST AND NORTHEAST OF
ICT...AND ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS OVER SWRN KS ARE EXPECTED TO
SPREAD EWD/NEWD ACROSS CENTRAL KS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
THE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE WW AREA IS VERY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE OF
3000-4000 J/KG...AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 40-50 KT WILL PROMOTE
SUPERCELL STORMS. IN ADDITION...THE LOW LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING WITH A SUBSEQUENT INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL
SHEAR/SRH INDICATING THREAT FOR A FEW TORNADOES...AS WELL AS VERY
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...WEISS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 426 TORNADO KS 152255Z - 160500Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45NW HUT/HUTCHINSON KS/ - 45SSE TOP/TOPEKA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM N/S /46WSW SLN - 40WNW BUM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 40049845 39999530 36959530 37009845
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 426 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 426
VALID 160435Z - 160500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE PNC TO
15 SSW SLN TO 30 NE RSL.
A NEW WW MAY BE BE ISSUED AFTER COORDINATION WITH AFFECTED WFOS...
BY 05Z EXPIRATION.
..KERR..06/16/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 426
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-013-015-019-027-029-031-035-041-045-049-059-061-073-
085-087-099-111-117-125-127-131-133-139-143-149-157-161-177-197-
201-205-207-160500-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BROWN
BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA CLAY
CLOUD COFFEY COWLEY
DICKINSON DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GEARY GREENWOOD
JACKSON JEFFERSON LABETTE
LYON MARSHALL MONTGOMERY
MORRIS NEMAHA NEOSHO
OSAGE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
REPUBLIC RILEY SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON WILSON
WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 426
VALID 160340Z - 160440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE PNC
TO 20 SSW SLN TO 25 NE RSL.
..KERR..06/16/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 426
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-013-015-019-027-029-031-035-041-045-049-059-061-073-
085-087-099-111-117-125-127-131-133-139-143-149-157-161-177-197-
201-205-207-160440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BROWN
BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA CLAY
CLOUD COFFEY COWLEY
DICKINSON DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GEARY GREENWOOD
JACKSON JEFFERSON LABETTE
LYON MARSHALL MONTGOMERY
MORRIS NEMAHA NEOSHO
OSAGE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
REPUBLIC RILEY SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON WILSON
WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 426
VALID 160240Z - 160340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/16/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 426
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-009-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-035-041-045-049-053-
059-061-073-077-079-085-087-095-099-105-111-113-115-117-125-127-
131-133-139-143-149-155-157-159-161-167-169-173-177-191-197-201-
205-207-160340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BARTON
BROWN BUTLER CHASE
CHAUTAUQUA CLAY CLOUD
COFFEY COWLEY DICKINSON
DOUGLAS ELK ELLSWORTH
FRANKLIN GEARY GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY JACKSON
JEFFERSON KINGMAN LABETTE
LINCOLN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MARSHALL MONTGOMERY
MORRIS NEMAHA NEOSHO
OSAGE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
RENO REPUBLIC RICE
RILEY RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK SHAWNEE SUMNER
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON WILSON
WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 426
VALID 160135Z - 160240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/16/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 426
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-009-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-035-041-045-049-053-
059-061-073-077-079-085-087-095-099-105-111-113-115-117-125-127-
131-133-139-143-149-155-157-159-161-167-169-173-177-191-197-201-
205-207-160240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BARTON
BROWN BUTLER CHASE
CHAUTAUQUA CLAY CLOUD
COFFEY COWLEY DICKINSON
DOUGLAS ELK ELLSWORTH
FRANKLIN GEARY GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY JACKSON
JEFFERSON KINGMAN LABETTE
LINCOLN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MARSHALL MONTGOMERY
MORRIS NEMAHA NEOSHO
OSAGE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
RENO REPUBLIC RICE
RILEY RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK SHAWNEE SUMNER
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON WILSON
WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 426
VALID 160040Z - 160140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/16/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 426
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-009-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-035-041-045-049-053-
059-061-073-077-079-085-087-095-099-105-111-113-115-117-125-127-
131-133-139-143-149-155-157-159-161-167-169-173-177-191-197-201-
205-207-160140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BARTON
BROWN BUTLER CHASE
CHAUTAUQUA CLAY CLOUD
COFFEY COWLEY DICKINSON
DOUGLAS ELK ELLSWORTH
FRANKLIN GEARY GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY JACKSON
JEFFERSON KINGMAN LABETTE
LINCOLN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MARSHALL MONTGOMERY
MORRIS NEMAHA NEOSHO
OSAGE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
RENO REPUBLIC RICE
RILEY RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK SHAWNEE SUMNER
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON WILSON
WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.