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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 726
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM EDT TUE OCT 26 2010
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KENTUCKY
WESTERN MARYLAND PANHANDLE
FAR WESTERN NEW YORK
EASTERN OHIO
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA
WEST VIRGINIA
LAKE ERIE
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH OF FRANKLIN
PENNSYLVANIA TO 50 MILES WEST OF BLUEFIELD WEST VIRGINIA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 722...WW 723...WW
724...WW 725...
DISCUSSION...LONG-LIVED QLCS WITH A HISTORY OF WIDESPREAD WIND
DAMAGE AND A FEW TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EWD THROUGH THE
UPPER OH VALLEY AND CUMBERLAND PLATEAU THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.
BOUNDARY LAYER AHEAD OF CONVECTIVE SYSTEM IS WARMING/MOISTENING...
SUPPORTING A NARROW AXIS OF MARGINAL...BUT SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY.
GIVEN THE VERY STRONG LOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IN PLACE...
ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR EMBEDDED BOWS AND SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 726 TORNADO KY MD NY OH PA VA WV LE 261735Z - 270100Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50N FKL/FRANKLIN PA/ - 50W BLF/BLUEFIELD WV/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /20ENE ERI - 51N HMV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
LAT...LON 42097820 37278055 37278366 42098152
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 726 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 726
VALID 262335Z - 270040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N TRI TO
50 ENE CRW TO 25 ESE MGW TO 30 NE BFD.
..STOPPKOTTE..10/26/10
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...PBZ...BUF...CLE...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 726
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC023-270040-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARRETT
$$
PAC021-023-033-111-270040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMBRIA CAMERON CLEARFIELD
SOMERSET
$$
VAC027-051-270040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON
$$
WVC019-047-067-075-081-083-093-101-109-270040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE MCDOWELL NICHOLAS
POCAHONTAS RALEIGH RANDOLPH
TUCKER WEBSTER WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 726
VALID 262035Z - 262140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW JKL
TO 15 ESE UNI TO 15 E CAK TO 25 WNW ERI.
..ROGERS..10/26/10
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...PBZ...BUF...CLE...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 726
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-
125-127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-
203-205-231-235-237-262140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOYD
BREATHITT CARTER CLAY
ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING
FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON
JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX
LAUREL LAWRENCE LEE
LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY
MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY
PERRY PIKE POWELL
PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN
WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
MDC023-262140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARRETT
$$
NYC009-013-262140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CATTARAUGUS CHAUTAUQUA
$$
OHC007-013-019-029-053-059-067-081-087-099-111-121-155-167-
262140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHTABULA BELMONT CARROLL
COLUMBIANA GALLIA GUERNSEY
HARRISON JEFFERSON LAWRENCE
MAHONING MONROE NOBLE
TRUMBULL WASHINGTON
$$
PAC003-005-007-019-021-023-031-033-039-047-049-051-053-059-063-
065-073-083-085-111-121-123-125-129-262140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BUTLER CAMBRIA CAMERON
CLARION CLEARFIELD CRAWFORD
ELK ERIE FAYETTE
FOREST GREENE INDIANA
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MCKEAN
MERCER SOMERSET VENANGO
WARREN WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
VAC027-051-262140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON
$$
WVC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-029-033-035-039-041-
043-045-047-049-051-053-059-061-067-069-073-075-077-079-081-083-
085-087-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-262140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
BROOKE CABELL CALHOUN
CLAY DODDRIDGE FAYETTE
GILMER HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON KANAWHA LEWIS
LINCOLN LOGAN MCDOWELL
MARION MARSHALL MASON
MINGO MONONGALIA NICHOLAS
OHIO PLEASANTS POCAHONTAS
PRESTON PUTNAM RALEIGH
RANDOLPH RITCHIE ROANE
TAYLOR TUCKER TYLER
UPSHUR WAYNE WEBSTER
WETZEL WIRT WOOD
WYOMING
$$
LEZ040-061-148-149-168-169-262140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK NY
RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY EXTENDING FROM 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE TO US/CANADIAN
BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 726
VALID 261940Z - 262040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW HTS
TO 10 N ZZV TO 45 N CLE.
..ROGERS..10/26/10
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...PBZ...BUF...CLE...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 726
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-089-095-109-115-119-
121-125-127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-
199-203-205-231-235-237-262040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOYD
BREATHITT CARTER CLAY
ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
MDC023-262040-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARRETT
$$
NYC009-013-262040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CATTARAUGUS CHAUTAUQUA
$$
OHC007-009-013-019-029-053-055-059-067-079-081-085-087-099-105-
111-115-119-121-133-151-153-155-157-163-167-262040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHTABULA ATHENS BELMONT
CARROLL COLUMBIANA GALLIA
GEAUGA GUERNSEY HARRISON
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAKE
LAWRENCE MAHONING MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN MUSKINGUM
NOBLE PORTAGE STARK
SUMMIT TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS
VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
PAC003-005-007-019-021-023-031-033-039-047-049-051-053-059-063-
065-073-083-085-111-121-123-125-129-262040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BUTLER CAMBRIA CAMERON
CLARION CLEARFIELD CRAWFORD
ELK ERIE FAYETTE
FOREST GREENE INDIANA
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MCKEAN
MERCER SOMERSET VENANGO
WARREN WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
VAC027-051-262040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON
$$
WVC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-029-033-035-039-041-
043-045-047-049-051-053-059-061-067-069-073-075-077-079-081-083-
085-087-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-262040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
BROOKE CABELL CALHOUN
CLAY DODDRIDGE FAYETTE
GILMER HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON KANAWHA LEWIS
LINCOLN LOGAN MCDOWELL
MARION MARSHALL MASON
MINGO MONONGALIA NICHOLAS
OHIO PLEASANTS POCAHONTAS
PRESTON PUTNAM RALEIGH
RANDOLPH RITCHIE ROANE
TAYLOR TUCKER TYLER
UPSHUR WAYNE WEBSTER
WETZEL WIRT WOOD
WYOMING
$$
LEZ040-061-147-148-149-167-168-169-262040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK NY
RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY EXTENDING FROM 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE TO US/CANADIAN
BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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