Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 142
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
WESTERN KENTUCKY
EASTERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1250 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
PADUCAH KENTUCKY TO 70 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF ALTON ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 140...WW 141...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG COLD
FRONT AND WITHIN DRY SLOT OF INTENSE MID TO UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE.
DAYTIME HEATING...BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S AND 500 MB
TEMPERATURES OF AROUND -20 C WILL RESULT IN A STEEP LAPSE RATE
ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE VALUES APPROACHING 1000-1500 J/KG. WHEN
COUPLED WITH A VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILE...SETUP WILL FAVOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 142 TORNADO IL KY MO 151750Z - 160200Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45SSW PAH/PADUCAH KY/ - 70NNW ALN/ALTON IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /29NNE DYR - 33E UIN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
LAT...LON 36459061 39819216 39818894 36458755
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 142 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 142
VALID 160045Z - 160140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S PAH TO
25 E MVN TO 20 W DEC.
..GOSS..04/16/11
ATTN...WFO...LSX...PAH...ILX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 142
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-023-025-029-033-035-039-041-045-047-049-059-069-079-101-
107-113-115-139-147-173-179-183-185-191-193-160140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLAY
COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND
DE WITT DOUGLAS EDGAR
EDWARDS EFFINGHAM GALLATIN
HARDIN JASPER LAWRENCE
LOGAN MCLEAN MACON
MOULTRIE PIATT SHELBY
TAZEWELL VERMILION WABASH
WAYNE WHITE
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-160140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC033-035-047-055-059-101-107-139-143-149-157-177-219-221-225-
233-160140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN
CRITTENDEN DAVIESS HENDERSON
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 142
VALID 160045Z - 160140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S PAH TO
25 E MVN TO 20 W DEC.
..GOSS..04/16/11
ATTN...WFO...LSX...PAH...ILX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 142
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-023-025-029-033-035-039-041-045-047-049-059-069-079-101-
107-113-115-139-147-173-179-183-185-191-193-160140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLAY
COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND
DE WITT DOUGLAS EDGAR
EDWARDS EFFINGHAM GALLATIN
HARDIN JASPER LAWRENCE
LOGAN MCLEAN MACON
MOULTRIE PIATT SHELBY
TAZEWELL VERMILION WABASH
WAYNE WHITE
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-160140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC033-035-047-055-059-101-107-139-143-149-157-177-219-221-225-
233-160140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN
CRITTENDEN DAVIESS HENDERSON
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 142
VALID 152345Z - 160040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE DYR
TO 15 ENE CGI TO 25 WNW MDH TO 35 W SPI.
..GOSS..04/15/11
ATTN...WFO...LSX...PAH...ILX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 142
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-005-017-021-025-027-049-051-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-
117-119-121-127-129-135-137-145-151-153-157-163-165-167-173-181-
189-191-193-199-160040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BOND CASS
CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON
EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MACOUPIN MADISON MARION
MASSAC MENARD MONTGOMERY
MORGAN PERRY POPE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR
SALINE SANGAMON SHELBY
UNION WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
KYC007-035-039-055-075-083-105-139-143-145-157-221-160040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CRITTENDEN FULTON GRAVES
HICKMAN LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL TRIGG
$$
MOC133-160040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 142
VALID 152235Z - 152340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE POF
TO 20 WNW CGI TO 20 ENE FAM TO 40 W SPI.
..GOSS..04/15/11
ATTN...WFO...LSX...PAH...ILX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 142
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-005-017-021-025-027-049-051-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-
117-119-121-127-129-133-135-137-145-151-153-157-163-165-167-173-
181-189-191-193-199-152340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BOND CASS
CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON
EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MACOUPIN MADISON MARION
MASSAC MENARD MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN PERRY
POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SALINE SANGAMON
SHELBY UNION WASHINGTON
WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
KYC007-035-039-055-075-083-105-139-143-145-157-221-152340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CRITTENDEN FULTON GRAVES
HICKMAN LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL TRIGG
$$
MOC031-133-143-157-186-201-152340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PERRY STE. GENEVIEVE SCOTT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 142
VALID 152145Z - 152240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE POF
TO 20 SE FAM TO 35 SSW STL TO 45 NNW STL TO 15 ESE UIN.
..GOSS..04/15/11
ATTN...WFO...LSX...PAH...ILX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 142
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-005-009-017-021-025-027-049-051-055-059-061-065-069-077-
081-083-087-117-119-121-127-129-133-135-137-145-151-153-157-163-
165-167-171-173-181-189-191-193-199-152240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BOND BROWN
CASS CHRISTIAN CLAY
CLINTON EFFINGHAM FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GALLATIN GREENE
HAMILTON HARDIN JACKSON
JEFFERSON JERSEY JOHNSON
MACOUPIN MADISON MARION
MASSAC MENARD MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN PERRY
POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SALINE SANGAMON
SCOTT SHELBY UNION
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
KYC007-035-039-055-075-083-105-139-143-145-157-221-152240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CRITTENDEN FULTON GRAVES
HICKMAN LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL TRIGG
$$
MOC017-023-031-099-133-143-157-183-186-187-189-201-207-510-
152240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
JEFFERSON MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PERRY ST. CHARLES STE. GENEVIEVE
ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS SCOTT
STODDARD
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 142
VALID 152040Z - 152140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW POF
TO 30 WSW STL TO 10 SSW UIN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 439
..SMITH..04/15/11
ATTN...WFO...LSX...PAH...ILX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 142
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-003-005-009-013-017-021-025-027-049-051-055-059-061-065-
069-077-081-083-087-117-119-121-127-129-133-135-137-145-149-151-
153-157-163-165-167-171-173-181-189-191-193-199-152140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALEXANDER BOND
BROWN CALHOUN CASS
CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON
EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GALLATIN GREENE HAMILTON
HARDIN JACKSON JEFFERSON
JERSEY JOHNSON MACOUPIN
MADISON MARION MASSAC
MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN PERRY PIKE
POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SALINE SANGAMON
SCOTT SHELBY UNION
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
KYC007-035-039-055-075-083-105-139-143-145-157-221-152140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CRITTENDEN FULTON GRAVES
HICKMAN LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL TRIGG
$$
MOC017-023-031-093-099-113-123-133-143-157-163-183-186-187-189-
201-207-221-223-510-152140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
IRON JEFFERSON LINCOLN
MADISON MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PERRY PIKE ST. CHARLES
STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS
SCOTT STODDARD WASHINGTON
WAYNE
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 142
VALID 151945Z - 152040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W FAM TO
40 NE VIH TO 30 NE COU.
..SMITH..04/15/11
ATTN...WFO...LSX...PAH...ILX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 142
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-003-005-009-013-017-021-025-027-049-051-055-059-061-065-
069-077-081-083-087-117-119-121-127-129-133-135-137-145-149-151-
153-157-163-165-167-171-173-181-189-191-193-199-152040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALEXANDER BOND
BROWN CALHOUN CASS
CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON
EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GALLATIN GREENE HAMILTON
HARDIN JACKSON JEFFERSON
JERSEY JOHNSON MACOUPIN
MADISON MARION MASSAC
MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN PERRY PIKE
POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SALINE SANGAMON
SCOTT SHELBY UNION
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
KYC007-035-039-055-075-083-105-139-143-145-157-221-152040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CRITTENDEN FULTON GRAVES
HICKMAN LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL TRIGG
$$
MOC007-017-023-031-035-071-093-099-103-111-113-123-127-133-137-
139-143-157-163-173-179-181-183-186-187-189-201-205-207-219-221-
223-510-152040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BOLLINGER BUTLER
CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER FRANKLIN
IRON JEFFERSON KNOX
LEWIS LINCOLN MADISON
MARION MISSISSIPPI MONROE
MONTGOMERY NEW MADRID PERRY
PIKE RALLS REYNOLDS
RIPLEY ST. CHARLES STE. GENEVIEVE
ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS SCOTT
SHELBY STODDARD WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.