Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 144
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LOUISIANA
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI TO 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 140...WW 141...WW
142...WW 143...
DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL CLUSTER OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS OVER
PORTIONS OF CNTRL MS WILL PROGRESS EWD TOWARD THE AL BORDER WITH
ADDITIONAL STORMS INTENSIFYING THIS AFTERNOON ALONG COLD
FRONT/DRYLINE FROM WRN MS INTO CNTRL LA. AMBIENT WARM SECTOR AIR
MASS IS WARM AND QUITE MOIST WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG.
THE STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND RESULTANT GREATEST SIGNIFICANT
TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST FROM JUST E OF JAN TO MEI WHERE AMBIENT
STREAMWISE VORTICITY IS BEING AUGMENTED BY A DIFFERENTIAL
HEATING/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. ELSEWHERE THE COMBINATION OF EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR OF 50-60 KT AND EFFECTIVE SRH OF 150-300 M2/S2 WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 144 TORNADO LA MS CW 151940Z - 160300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15NNE CBM/COLUMBUS MS/ - 15SE LFT/LAFAYETTE LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /23NNE IGB - 37SW BTR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 33818704 30049055 30049305 33818966
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 144 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 144
VALID 160240Z - 160300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW HUM
TO 10 NW PIB TO 40 ENE MEI.
WW 144 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 160300Z.
..COHEN..04/16/11
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC093-095-103-160300-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. TAMMANY
$$
MSC023-031-035-045-047-059-061-067-073-075-109-160300-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST
HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON
JASPER JONES LAMAR
LAUDERDALE PEARL RIVER
$$
GMZ530-160300-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 144
VALID 160140Z - 160240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S BTR TO
35 WSW PIB TO 45 WNW BHM.
..COHEN..04/16/11
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC005-063-093-095-103-105-117-160240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION LIVINGSTON ST. JAMES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
WASHINGTON
$$
MSC023-031-035-045-047-059-061-067-069-073-075-091-101-103-109-
147-160240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST
HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON
JASPER JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE MARION
NEWTON NOXUBEE PEARL RIVER
WALTHALL
$$
GMZ530-160240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 144
VALID 160055Z - 160140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE LFT
TO 50 N TCL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 445
..COHEN..04/16/11
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC005-063-093-095-103-105-117-160140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION LIVINGSTON ST. JAMES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
WASHINGTON
$$
MSC023-031-035-045-047-059-061-067-069-073-075-087-091-101-103-
109-147-160140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST
HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON
JASPER JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LOWNDES
MARION NEWTON NOXUBEE
PEARL RIVER WALTHALL
$$
GMZ530-160140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 144
VALID 152350Z - 160040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE 7R4
TO 20 NNE CBM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 443
..COHEN..04/15/11
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC005-007-033-047-063-091-093-095-103-105-117-121-160040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION EAST BATON ROUGE
IBERVILLE LIVINGSTON ST. HELENA
ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. TAMMANY
TANGIPAHOA WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
$$
MSC023-025-031-035-045-047-059-061-065-067-069-073-075-077-087-
091-099-101-103-109-113-123-127-129-147-159-160040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE CLAY COVINGTON
FORREST HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LOWNDES
MARION NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE PEARL RIVER PIKE
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
WALTHALL WINSTON
$$
GMZ530-160040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 144
VALID 152235Z - 152340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE LCH
TO 25 E HEZ TO 25 NW CBM.
..COHEN..04/15/11
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-005-007-033-037-045-047-055-063-077-091-093-095-099-103-
105-113-117-121-125-152340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ASCENSION ASSUMPTION
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA IBERIA
IBERVILLE LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA ST. JAMES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. MARTIN ST. TAMMANY
TANGIPAHOA VERMILION WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC005-007-019-023-025-029-031-035-045-047-059-061-065-067-069-
073-075-077-079-085-087-091-099-101-103-105-109-113-121-123-127-
129-147-159-152340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMITE ATTALA CHOCTAW
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST HANCOCK
HARRISON JACKSON JASPER
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LINCOLN LOWNDES
MARION NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PEARL RIVER
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SIMPSON SMITH WALTHALL
WINSTON
$$
GMZ530-152340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 144
VALID 152140Z - 152240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE LCH TO
25 W JAN TO 30 SSW TUP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 440
..COHEN..04/15/11
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-005-007-033-037-045-047-055-063-077-091-093-095-097-099-
103-105-113-117-121-125-152240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ASCENSION ASSUMPTION
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA IBERIA
IBERVILLE LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA ST. JAMES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN
ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA VERMILION
WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC005-007-019-023-025-029-031-035-037-045-047-049-059-061-065-
067-069-073-075-077-079-085-087-089-091-099-101-103-105-109-113-
121-123-127-129-147-157-159-152240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMITE ATTALA CHOCTAW
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
HANCOCK HARRISON HINDS
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PEARL RIVER
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SIMPSON SMITH WALTHALL
WILKINSON WINSTON
$$
GMZ530-152240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 144
VALID 152040Z - 152140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 440.
..EDWARDS..04/15/11
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 144
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-005-007-009-029-033-037-039-045-047-053-055-063-077-091-
093-095-097-099-103-105-113-117-121-125-152140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ASCENSION ASSUMPTION
AVOYELLES CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE IBERIA
IBERVILLE JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE
LIVINGSTON POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA
ST. JAMES ST. JOHN THE BAPTISTST. LANDRY
ST. MARTIN ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
VERMILION WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-043-045-047-
049-051-059-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-087-089-091-
097-099-101-103-105-109-113-121-123-127-129-147-149-155-157-159-
163-152140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
GRENADA HANCOCK HARRISON
HINDS HOLMES JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PEARL RIVER PIKE RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
WALTHALL WARREN WEBSTER
WILKINSON WINSTON YAZOO
$$
GMZ530-152140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.