Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 149
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
600 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN GEORGIA
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 600 AM UNTIL
100 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
CHARLOTTE NORTH CAROLINA TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MACON
GEORGIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 147. WATCH NUMBER 147 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
600 AM EDT. CONTINUE...WW 148...
DISCUSSION...SATELLITE AND VWP DATA SHOW AN UPR LVL IMPULSE ENTERING
MIDDLE TN ATTM...ROUNDING BASE OF SLOWLY-PROGRESSIVE IL UPR LOW.
ASCENT DOWNSTREAM OF THIS FEATURE...COUPLED WITH INCREASINGLY MOIST
LOW-LVL INFLOW UP THE SAVANNAH RVR VLY AND GA/SC CSTL PLN...MAY
SUPPORT SUSTENANCE OF EXISTING TSTMS MOVING INTO/ACROSS WW
AREA...AND/OR SUPPORT NEW DEVELOPMENT. COUPLED WITH STRENGTH AND
CHARACTER OF WIND FIELD...AND EVENTUAL ONSET OF DAYTIME HEATING...
SETUP MAY YIELD A FEW SUPERCELLS POSING A THREAT FOR TORNADOES...
ADDITION TO LOCALLY DMGG WIND.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 149 TORNADO GA NC SC 161000Z - 161700Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20NNW CLT/CHARLOTTE NC/ - 55SSE MCN/MACON GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /18NNW CLT - 47SSE MCN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
REPLACES WW 147..GA
LAT...LON 35477966 31958193 31958466 35478251
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 149 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 149
VALID 161645Z - 161700Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE VDI
TO 25 N CAE TO 25 NE CLT.
WW 149 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 161700Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 452
..SMITH..04/16/11
ATTN...WFO...FFC...CHS...CAE...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC003-025-035-059-097-119-159-179-161700-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER CABARRUS CATAWBA
DAVIE IREDELL MECKLENBURG
ROWAN UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 149
VALID 161525Z - 161640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE VDI
TO 5 E AGS TO 40 SSE SPA TO 25 ENE SPA TO 15 SSW HKY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 452.
..EDWARDS..04/16/11
ATTN...WFO...FFC...CHS...CAE...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC031-033-043-109-165-251-267-161640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BULLOCH BURKE CANDLER
EVANS JENKINS SCREVEN
TATTNALL
$$
NCC003-025-035-045-059-071-097-109-119-159-179-161640-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER CABARRUS CATAWBA
CLEVELAND DAVIE GASTON
IREDELL LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
ROWAN UNION
$$
SCC003-005-009-011-017-021-023-025-027-039-055-057-061-063-075-
079-085-087-091-161640-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AIKEN ALLENDALE BAMBERG
BARNWELL CALHOUN CHEROKEE
CHESTER CHESTERFIELD CLARENDON
FAIRFIELD KERSHAW LANCASTER
LEE LEXINGTON ORANGEBURG
RICHLAND SUMTER UNION
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 149
VALID 161440Z - 161540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW VDI
TO 25 N VDI TO 5 SW AGS TO 45 WNW CAE TO 5 ESE SPA TO 20 SW HKY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 452.
..EDWARDS..04/16/11
ATTN...WFO...FFC...CHS...CAE...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC031-033-043-107-109-165-209-245-251-267-271-279-309-161540-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BULLOCH BURKE CANDLER
EMANUEL EVANS JENKINS
MONTGOMERY RICHMOND SCREVEN
TATTNALL TELFAIR TOOMBS
WHEELER
$$
NCC025-045-071-109-119-179-161540-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CABARRUS CLEVELAND GASTON
LINCOLN MECKLENBURG UNION
$$
SCC003-005-009-011-017-021-023-025-027-037-039-055-057-059-061-
063-071-075-079-081-083-085-087-091-161540-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AIKEN ALLENDALE BAMBERG
BARNWELL CALHOUN CHEROKEE
CHESTER CHESTERFIELD CLARENDON
EDGEFIELD FAIRFIELD KERSHAW
LANCASTER LAURENS LEE
LEXINGTON NEWBERRY ORANGEBURG
RICHLAND SALUDA SPARTANBURG
SUMTER UNION YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 149
VALID 161340Z - 161440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE ABY TO
40 SE MCN TO 45 NW VDI TO 45 SW AGS TO 30 W AGS TO 45 NW AGS TO
25 SSE AND TO 15 E AND TO 10 NW GSP TO 25 ESE AVL TO 30 ENE AVL.
..EDWARDS..04/16/11
ATTN...WFO...FFC...CHS...CAE...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC031-033-043-073-091-107-109-125-163-165-167-175-181-189-209-
245-251-267-271-279-283-309-315-161440-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BULLOCH BURKE CANDLER
COLUMBIA DODGE EMANUEL
EVANS GLASCOCK JEFFERSON
JENKINS JOHNSON LAURENS
LINCOLN MCDUFFIE MONTGOMERY
RICHMOND SCREVEN TATTNALL
TELFAIR TOOMBS TREUTLEN
WHEELER WILCOX
$$
NCC025-045-071-109-119-149-161-179-161440-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CABARRUS CLEVELAND GASTON
LINCOLN MECKLENBURG POLK
RUTHERFORD UNION
$$
SCC001-003-005-007-009-011-017-021-023-025-027-037-039-045-047-
055-057-059-061-063-065-071-075-079-081-083-085-087-091-
161440-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE AIKEN ALLENDALE
ANDERSON BAMBERG BARNWELL
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHESTER
CHESTERFIELD CLARENDON EDGEFIELD
FAIRFIELD GREENVILLE GREENWOOD
KERSHAW LANCASTER LAURENS
LEE LEXINGTON MCCORMICK
NEWBERRY ORANGEBURG RICHLAND
SALUDA SPARTANBURG SUMTER
UNION YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 149
VALID 161230Z - 161340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE ABY TO
45 SSE AHN TO 25 W AND.
..KERR..04/16/11
ATTN...WFO...FFC...CHS...CAE...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-023-031-033-043-073-091-105-107-109-119-125-141-147-163-
165-167-175-181-189-195-209-221-235-245-251-257-265-267-271-279-
283-289-301-303-309-315-317-319-161340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BLECKLEY BULLOCH
BURKE CANDLER COLUMBIA
DODGE ELBERT EMANUEL
EVANS FRANKLIN GLASCOCK
HANCOCK HART JEFFERSON
JENKINS JOHNSON LAURENS
LINCOLN MCDUFFIE MADISON
MONTGOMERY OGLETHORPE PULASKI
RICHMOND SCREVEN STEPHENS
TALIAFERRO TATTNALL TELFAIR
TOOMBS TREUTLEN TWIGGS
WARREN WASHINGTON WHEELER
WILCOX WILKES WILKINSON
$$
NCC025-045-071-089-109-119-149-161-175-179-161340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CABARRUS CLEVELAND GASTON
HENDERSON LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
POLK RUTHERFORD TRANSYLVANIA
UNION
$$
SCC001-003-005-007-009-011-017-021-023-025-027-037-039-045-047-
055-057-059-061-063-065-071-073-075-077-079-081-083-085-087-091-
161340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE AIKEN ALLENDALE
ANDERSON BAMBERG BARNWELL
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHESTER
CHESTERFIELD CLARENDON EDGEFIELD
FAIRFIELD GREENVILLE GREENWOOD
KERSHAW LANCASTER LAURENS
LEE LEXINGTON MCCORMICK
NEWBERRY OCONEE ORANGEBURG
PICKENS RICHLAND SALUDA
SPARTANBURG SUMTER UNION
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 149
VALID 161130Z - 161240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/16/11
ATTN...WFO...FFC...CHS...CAE...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-021-023-031-033-035-043-059-073-079-081-091-093-105-107-
109-119-125-133-141-147-153-159-163-165-167-169-171-175-181-189-
193-195-207-209-211-217-219-221-225-235-237-245-249-251-257-261-
265-267-269-271-279-283-289-293-297-301-303-309-315-317-319-
161240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BIBB BLECKLEY
BULLOCH BURKE BUTTS
CANDLER CLARKE COLUMBIA
CRAWFORD CRISP DODGE
DOOLY ELBERT EMANUEL
EVANS FRANKLIN GLASCOCK
GREENE HANCOCK HART
HOUSTON JASPER JEFFERSON
JENKINS JOHNSON JONES
LAMAR LAURENS LINCOLN
MCDUFFIE MACON MADISON
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PEACH PULASKI PUTNAM
RICHMOND SCHLEY SCREVEN
STEPHENS SUMTER TALIAFERRO
TATTNALL TAYLOR TELFAIR
TOOMBS TREUTLEN TWIGGS
UPSON WALTON WARREN
WASHINGTON WHEELER WILCOX
WILKES WILKINSON
$$
NCC025-045-071-089-109-119-149-161-175-179-161240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CABARRUS CLEVELAND GASTON
HENDERSON LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
POLK RUTHERFORD TRANSYLVANIA
UNION
$$
SCC001-003-005-007-009-011-017-021-023-025-027-037-039-045-047-
055-057-059-061-063-065-071-073-075-077-079-081-083-085-087-091-
161240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE AIKEN ALLENDALE
ANDERSON BAMBERG BARNWELL
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHESTER
CHESTERFIELD CLARENDON EDGEFIELD
FAIRFIELD GREENVILLE GREENWOOD
KERSHAW LANCASTER LAURENS
LEE LEXINGTON MCCORMICK
NEWBERRY OCONEE ORANGEBURG
PICKENS RICHLAND SALUDA
SPARTANBURG SUMTER UNION
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 149
VALID 161035Z - 161140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/16/11
ATTN...WFO...FFC...CHS...CAE...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-021-023-031-033-035-043-059-073-079-081-091-093-105-107-
109-119-125-133-141-147-153-159-163-165-167-169-171-175-181-189-
193-195-207-209-211-217-219-221-225-235-237-245-249-251-257-261-
265-267-269-271-279-283-289-293-297-301-303-309-315-317-319-
161140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BIBB BLECKLEY
BULLOCH BURKE BUTTS
CANDLER CLARKE COLUMBIA
CRAWFORD CRISP DODGE
DOOLY ELBERT EMANUEL
EVANS FRANKLIN GLASCOCK
GREENE HANCOCK HART
HOUSTON JASPER JEFFERSON
JENKINS JOHNSON JONES
LAMAR LAURENS LINCOLN
MCDUFFIE MACON MADISON
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PEACH PULASKI PUTNAM
RICHMOND SCHLEY SCREVEN
STEPHENS SUMTER TALIAFERRO
TATTNALL TAYLOR TELFAIR
TOOMBS TREUTLEN TWIGGS
UPSON WALTON WARREN
WASHINGTON WHEELER WILCOX
WILKES WILKINSON
$$
NCC025-045-071-089-109-119-149-161-175-179-161140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CABARRUS CLEVELAND GASTON
HENDERSON LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
POLK RUTHERFORD TRANSYLVANIA
UNION
$$
SCC001-003-005-007-009-011-017-021-023-025-027-037-039-045-047-
055-057-059-061-063-065-071-073-075-077-079-081-083-085-087-091-
161140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE AIKEN ALLENDALE
ANDERSON BAMBERG BARNWELL
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHESTER
CHESTERFIELD CLARENDON EDGEFIELD
FAIRFIELD GREENVILLE GREENWOOD
KERSHAW LANCASTER LAURENS
LEE LEXINGTON MCCORMICK
NEWBERRY OCONEE ORANGEBURG
PICKENS RICHLAND SALUDA
SPARTANBURG SUMTER UNION
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.