Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 373
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR SOUTHEAST IOWA
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS
FAR NORTHEAST MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTHEAST OF MOLINE
ILLINOIS TO 45 MILES WEST OF ALTON ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 368...WW 369...WW
370...WW 371...WW 372...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF SEVERE STORMS --INCLUDING TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS-- OVER NERN MO WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEWD INTO AREA
THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF DEEP-LAYER CYCLONE MOVING INTO NRN MO.
RELATIVELY CLOUD-FREE SKIES HAVE ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO WARM
THROUGH THE 70S. WHEN COUPLED WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE
MID 60S AND COOLING MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE RESULTING IN A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG.
GIVEN VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILES AND AMBIENT VORTICITY INVOF
WARM FRONT...SETUP WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 373 TORNADO IA IL MO 251935Z - 260300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
70NE MLI/MOLINE IL/ - 45W ALN/ALTON IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /54ESE DBQ - 19W STL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
LAT...LON 42158836 38888976 38889200 42159069
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 373 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 373
VALID 260120Z - 260300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S DEC TO
15 NNW DEC TO 15 E BMI TO 30 SSW CGX TO 15 WNW VPZ.
WW 373 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 260300Z.
..JEWELL..05/26/11
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 373
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-039-075-091-115-123-147-183-197-203-260300-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN DE WITT IROQUOIS
KANKAKEE MACON MARSHALL
PIATT VERMILION WILL
WOODFORD
$$
INC007-073-111-260300-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON JASPER NEWTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 373
VALID 260040Z - 260140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNE BMI
TO 30 NNE PIA TO 10 S MLI TO 30 NW MLI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 966
..COHEN..05/26/11
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 373
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-019-037-053-063-073-075-091-093-099-103-105-123-155-183-
197-260140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CHAMPAIGN DE KALB
FORD GRUNDY HENRY
IROQUOIS KANKAKEE KENDALL
LA SALLE LEE LIVINGSTON
MARSHALL PUTNAM VERMILION
WILL
$$
INC007-073-111-260140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON JASPER NEWTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 373
VALID 252335Z - 260040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW DEC
TO 10 SE PIA TO 35 ENE BRL TO 30 W MLI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 966
..COHEN..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 373
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-019-037-039-053-063-073-075-091-093-095-099-103-105-113-
115-123-143-147-155-175-179-183-197-203-260040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CHAMPAIGN DE KALB
DE WITT FORD GRUNDY
HENRY IROQUOIS KANKAKEE
KENDALL KNOX LA SALLE
LEE LIVINGSTON MCLEAN
MACON MARSHALL PEORIA
PIATT PUTNAM STARK
TAZEWELL VERMILION WILL
WOODFORD
$$
INC007-073-111-260040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON JASPER NEWTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 373
VALID 252220Z - 252340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW STL
TO 35 WSW SPI TO 30 SSE BRL TO 25 WSW BRL.
..COHEN..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 373
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-017-019-037-039-053-057-063-067-071-073-075-091-095-099-
103-105-107-109-113-115-123-125-129-131-137-143-147-155-167-169-
175-179-183-187-203-252340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CASS CHAMPAIGN
DE KALB DE WITT FORD
FULTON GRUNDY HANCOCK
HENDERSON HENRY IROQUOIS
KANKAKEE KNOX LA SALLE
LEE LIVINGSTON LOGAN
MCDONOUGH MCLEAN MACON
MARSHALL MASON MENARD
MERCER MORGAN PEORIA
PIATT PUTNAM SANGAMON
SCHUYLER STARK TAZEWELL
VERMILION WARREN WOODFORD
$$
IAC057-087-111-115-177-252340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY LEE
LOUISA VAN BUREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 373
VALID 252135Z - 252240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 373
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-017-037-053-057-063-067-071-073-075-091-095-099-103-105-
107-109-123-125-129-131-137-143-155-167-169-171-175-179-187-203-
252240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CASS DE KALB
FORD FULTON GRUNDY
HANCOCK HENDERSON HENRY
IROQUOIS KANKAKEE KNOX
LA SALLE LEE LIVINGSTON
LOGAN MCDONOUGH MARSHALL
MASON MENARD MERCER
MORGAN PEORIA PUTNAM
SANGAMON SCHUYLER SCOTT
STARK TAZEWELL WARREN
WOODFORD
$$
IAC057-087-111-115-177-252240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY LEE
LOUISA VAN BUREN
$$
MOC045-199-252240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK SCOTLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 373
VALID 252045Z - 252140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HART..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 373
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-017-037-057-067-071-073-095-099-103-107-109-123-125-129-
131-137-143-155-167-169-171-175-179-187-203-252140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CASS DE KALB
FULTON HANCOCK HENDERSON
HENRY KNOX LA SALLE
LEE LOGAN MCDONOUGH
MARSHALL MASON MENARD
MERCER MORGAN PEORIA
PUTNAM SANGAMON SCHUYLER
SCOTT STARK TAZEWELL
WARREN WOODFORD
$$
IAC057-087-111-115-177-252140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY LEE
LOUISA VAN BUREN
$$
MOC045-199-252140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK SCOTLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 373
VALID 251945Z - 252040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HART..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 373
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-017-037-057-067-071-073-095-099-103-107-109-123-125-129-
131-137-143-155-167-169-171-175-179-187-203-252040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CASS DE KALB
FULTON HANCOCK HENDERSON
HENRY KNOX LA SALLE
LEE LOGAN MCDONOUGH
MARSHALL MASON MENARD
MERCER MORGAN PEORIA
PUTNAM SANGAMON SCHUYLER
SCOTT STARK TAZEWELL
WARREN WOODFORD
$$
IAC057-087-111-115-177-252040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY LEE
LOUISA VAN BUREN
$$
MOC045-199-252040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK SCOTLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.