Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 604
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
100 PM MDT SAT SEP 1 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN UTAH
SOUTHWEST WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL
900 PM MDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF EVANSTON WYOMING TO 25 MILES EAST OF MILFORD UTAH.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 602...WW 603...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER FAR ERN NV AND
CNTRL/NRN UT WITH CONTINUED SFC HEATING AHEAD OF ERN NV UPR IMPULSE.
SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED IN SEASONABLY STRONG...UNIDIRECTIONAL SWLY
MID/UPR-LVL FLOW /WITH 700-500 MB SPEEDS OF 35-40 KTS/. AMPLE
MOISTURE/SHEAR APPEAR PRESENT FOR SUSTAINED STORMS...INCLUDING
SUPERCELLS/BOWING SEGMENTS WITH DMGG WIND AND HAIL. STORMS MAY
EVOLVE INTO A LOOSELY-ORGANIZED CLUSTER GIVEN PRESENCE OF SW-NE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES OVER CNTRL/NRN UT LEFT BY EARLIER STORMS. A
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY NEAR THESE BOUNDARIES.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 604 SEVERE TSTM UT WY 011900Z - 020300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NNW EVW/EVANSTON WY/ - 25E MLF/MILFORD UT/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /49ESE MLD - 46NNW BCE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 41930994 38411116 38411394 41931286
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 604 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 604
VALID 020045Z - 020140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOSIER..09/02/12
ATTN...WFO...SLC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 604
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
UTC001-003-005-007-011-013-015-023-027-029-031-033-035-039-041-
043-045-049-051-057-020140-
UT
. UTAH COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BOX ELDER CACHE
CARBON DAVIS DUCHESNE
EMERY JUAB MILLARD
MORGAN PIUTE RICH
SALT LAKE SANPETE SEVIER
SUMMIT TOOELE UTAH
WASATCH WEBER
$$
WYC041-020140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
UINTA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 604
VALID 012355Z - 020040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1855
..MOSIER..09/01/12
ATTN...WFO...SLC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 604
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
UTC001-003-005-007-011-013-015-023-027-029-031-033-035-039-041-
043-045-049-051-057-020040-
UT
. UTAH COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BOX ELDER CACHE
CARBON DAVIS DUCHESNE
EMERY JUAB MILLARD
MORGAN PIUTE RICH
SALT LAKE SANPETE SEVIER
SUMMIT TOOELE UTAH
WASATCH WEBER
$$
WYC041-020040-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
UINTA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 604
VALID 012250Z - 012340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOSIER..09/01/12
ATTN...WFO...SLC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 604
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
UTC001-003-005-007-011-013-015-023-027-029-031-033-035-039-041-
043-045-049-051-057-012340-
UT
. UTAH COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BOX ELDER CACHE
CARBON DAVIS DUCHESNE
EMERY JUAB MILLARD
MORGAN PIUTE RICH
SALT LAKE SANPETE SEVIER
SUMMIT TOOELE UTAH
WASATCH WEBER
$$
WYC041-012340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
UINTA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 604
VALID 012030Z - 012140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..09/01/12
ATTN...WFO...SLC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 604
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
UTC001-003-005-007-011-013-015-023-027-029-031-033-035-039-041-
043-045-049-051-057-012140-
UT
. UTAH COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BOX ELDER CACHE
CARBON DAVIS DUCHESNE
EMERY JUAB MILLARD
MORGAN PIUTE RICH
SALT LAKE SANPETE SEVIER
SUMMIT TOOELE UTAH
WASATCH WEBER
$$
WYC041-012140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
UINTA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.