Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 622
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT WED SEP 5 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES EAST OF
BORGER TEXAS TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF CANNON AFB NEW
MEXICO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 619...WW 620...WW 621...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS NOW FORMING IN DEEPLY MIXED ENVIRONMENT OVER THE
TX SOUTH PLNS EXPECTED TO BE JOINED BY ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT LATER
THIS AFTN ALONG AND AHEAD OF NW TX PANHANDLE COLD FRONT. MODEST
WNWLY DEEP SHEAR ON SRN EDGE OF THE WLYS AND STEEP LOW TO MID-LVL
LAPSE RATES MAY YIELD STORMS WITH SVR WIND/HAIL. ACTIVITY MAY EVOLVE
INTO A S OR SE-MOVING CLUSTER THIS EVE AS SLY LLJ STRENGTHENS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29020.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 622 SEVERE TSTM NM OK TX 052020Z - 060400Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
75E BGD/BORGER TX/ - 25NNW CVS/CANNON AFB NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /40SSW GAG - 29S TCC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29020.
LAT...LON 34520005 33560348 35860348 36840005
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 622 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 622
VALID 060125Z - 060240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW PVW
TO 30 SSW AMA TO 15 SE BGD TO 20 SW GAG.
..LEITMAN..09/06/12
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 622
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC045-075-087-101-129-153-179-189-191-211-345-393-437-483-
060240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISCOE CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH
COTTLE DONLEY FLOYD
GRAY HALE HALL
HEMPHILL MOTLEY ROBERTS
SWISHER WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 622
VALID 060040Z - 060140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW LBB
TO 45 ENE CVS TO 35 SE DHT TO 35 SE LBL.
..LEITMAN..09/06/12
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 622
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-045-065-069-075-087-101-129-153-179-189-191-211-233-279-
295-345-357-375-381-393-437-483-060140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CASTRO CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH
COTTLE DONLEY FLOYD
GRAY HALE HALL
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LAMB
LIPSCOMB MOTLEY OCHILTREE
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
SWISHER WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 622
VALID 052330Z - 060040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW CVS
TO 25 NW BGD TO 20 SSW GUY.
..LEITMAN..09/05/12
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 622
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC009-041-060040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY ROOSEVELT
$$
OKC007-139-060040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-075-087-101-117-129-153-179-189-191-195-
211-233-279-295-345-357-369-375-381-393-437-483-060040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO CHILDRESS
COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE DEAF SMITH
DONLEY FLOYD GRAY
HALE HALL HANSFORD
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LAMB
LIPSCOMB MOTLEY OCHILTREE
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
ROBERTS SWISHER WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 622
VALID 052235Z - 052340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..09/05/12
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 622
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC009-037-041-052340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY QUAY ROOSEVELT
$$
OKC007-139-052340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-075-087-101-117-129-153-179-189-191-195-
205-211-233-279-295-341-345-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-437-483-
052340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO CHILDRESS
COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE DEAF SMITH
DONLEY FLOYD GRAY
HALE HALL HANSFORD
HARTLEY HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON
LAMB LIPSCOMB MOORE
MOTLEY OCHILTREE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
ROBERTS SHERMAN SWISHER
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 622
VALID 052030Z - 052140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..09/05/12
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 622
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC009-037-041-052140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY QUAY ROOSEVELT
$$
OKC007-139-052140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-075-087-101-117-129-153-179-189-191-195-
205-211-233-279-295-341-345-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-437-483-
052140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO CHILDRESS
COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE DEAF SMITH
DONLEY FLOYD GRAY
HALE HALL HANSFORD
HARTLEY HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON
LAMB LIPSCOMB MOORE
MOTLEY OCHILTREE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
ROBERTS SHERMAN SWISHER
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.