SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 629
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   325 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHEAST OHIO
          NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA
          LAKE ERIE
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 325 PM UNTIL 900
   PM EDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHEAST
   OF FRANKLIN PENNSYLVANIA TO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANSFIELD OHIO.
    FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 628...
   
   DISCUSSION...A BROKEN BAND OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EWD
   INTO NE OH THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
   POSSIBLE INTO NW PA.  THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND A
   GRADUAL INCREASE IN VERTICAL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A RISK
   OF MAINLY ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS/LINE SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF
   PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27030.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 629
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   325 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHEAST OHIO
          NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA
          LAKE ERIE
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 325 PM UNTIL 900
   PM EDT.
   
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH
   WIDELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHEAST
   OF FRANKLIN PENNSYLVANIA TO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANSFIELD OHIO.
    FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 628...
   
   DISCUSSION...A BROKEN BAND OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EWD
   INTO NE OH THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
   POSSIBLE INTO NW PA.  THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND A
   GRADUAL INCREASE IN VERTICAL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A RISK
   OF MAINLY ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS/LINE SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF
   PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27030.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 629
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   325 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHEAST OHIO
          NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA
          LAKE ERIE
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 325 PM UNTIL 900
   PM EDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHEAST
   OF FRANKLIN PENNSYLVANIA TO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANSFIELD OHIO.
    FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 628...
   
   DISCUSSION...A BROKEN BAND OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EWD
   INTO NE OH THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
   POSSIBLE INTO NW PA.  THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND A
   GRADUAL INCREASE IN VERTICAL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A RISK
   OF MAINLY ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS/LINE SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF
   PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27030.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   WOUS64 KWNS 071919
   WOU9
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 629
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   325 PM EDT FRI SEP 7 2012
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 629 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   OHC005-007-019-029-031-033-035-043-055-075-077-083-085-093-099-
   103-117-133-139-151-153-155-157-169-080100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0629.120907T1925Z-120908T0100Z/
   
   OH 
   .    OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ASHLAND              ASHTABULA           CARROLL             
   COLUMBIANA           COSHOCTON           CRAWFORD            
   CUYAHOGA             ERIE                GEAUGA              
   HOLMES               HURON               KNOX                
   LAKE                 LORAIN              MAHONING            
   MEDINA               MORROW              PORTAGE             
   RICHLAND             STARK               SUMMIT              
   TRUMBULL             TUSCARAWAS          WAYNE               
   
   
   PAC007-019-031-039-049-053-073-085-121-080100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0629.120907T1925Z-120908T0100Z/
   
   PA 
   .    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BEAVER               BUTLER              CLARION             
   CRAWFORD             ERIE                FOREST              
   LAWRENCE             MERCER              VENANGO             
   
   
   LEZ144-145-146-147-148-149-080100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0629.120907T1925Z-120908T0100Z/
   
   CW 
   
   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
   
   THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH 
   
   VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH 
   
   AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH 
   
   WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH 
   
   GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH 
   
   CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY 
   
   ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ...
   
   
   

   SAW9 
   WW 629 SEVERE TSTM OH PA LE 071925Z - 080100Z
   AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   15NE FKL/FRANKLIN PA/ - 10SW MFD/MANSFIELD OH/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /41SE ERI - 34N APE/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
   
   LAT...LON 40957966 40138266 41298266 42117966
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU9.
   

Watch 629 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 629

VALID 072335Z - 080040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW PIT TO
25 W JHW.

..LEITMAN..09/07/12

ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 629 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

PAC019-031-053-073-085-121-080040-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BUTLER		     CLARION		 FOREST 	     
LAWRENCE	     MERCER		 VENANGO	     
$$


LEZ149-080040-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 629

VALID 072220Z - 072340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N ZZV TO
10 SSW ERI.

..LEITMAN..09/07/12

ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 629 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OHC019-029-031-099-155-157-072340-

OH 
.    OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARROLL 	     COLUMBIANA 	 COSHOCTON	     
MAHONING	     TRUMBULL		 TUSCARAWAS	     
$$


PAC007-019-031-039-049-053-073-085-121-072340-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAVER		     BUTLER		 CLARION	     
CRAWFORD	     ERIE		 FOREST 	     
LAWRENCE	     MERCER		 VENANGO	     
$$


LEZ149-072340-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 629

VALID 072145Z - 072240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW MFD
TO 40 ENE CLE.

..LEITMAN..09/07/12

ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 629 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OHC007-019-029-031-055-075-083-099-133-151-153-155-157-169-
072240-

OH 
.    OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ASHTABULA	     CARROLL		 COLUMBIANA	     
COSHOCTON	     GEAUGA		 HOLMES 	     
KNOX		     MAHONING		 PORTAGE	     
STARK		     SUMMIT		 TRUMBULL	     
TUSCARAWAS	     WAYNE		 
$$


PAC007-019-031-039-049-053-073-085-121-072240-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAVER		     BUTLER		 CLARION	     
CRAWFORD	     ERIE		 FOREST 	     
LAWRENCE	     MERCER		 VENANGO	     
$$


LEZ148-149-072240-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH 

CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.