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Tornado Watch 6
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WW0006 Radar
Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Moderate Low
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
Moderate Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Moderate Moderate

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
   SEL6
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 6
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   725 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
          EASTERN KANSAS
          WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
          NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 725 AM UNTIL
   300 PM CST.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
   TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MUSKOGEE
   OKLAHOMA TO 15 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF KNOB NOSTER MISSOURI. 
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 5...
   
   DISCUSSION...A COMPLEX SCENARIO IS UNFOLDING THIS MORNING INVOLVING
   A LONG-LIVED BOWING LINE SEGMENT AND INCREASING TSTM DEVELOPMENT
   ALONG A COLD FRONT ADVANCING SEWD INTO THE WATCH AREA.  CURRENT
   THINKING IS THAT THE LINE SEGMENT WILL EVENTUALLY MERGE WITH THE
   FRONTAL CONVECTION...RESULTING IN A LARGER-SCALE QLCS WHICH WILL
   MOVE RAPIDLY INTO THE OZARK PLATEAU.  12Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS
   INDICATE THAT THE AMBIENT ENVIRONMENT IS ONLY WEAKLY UNSTABLE WITH
   MLCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG.  HOWEVER...GIVEN AN INCREASE IN LARGE-SCALE
   FORCING FOR ASCENT AND STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...THE
   SETUP WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF EMBEDDED LEWP STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF
   DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
   GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
   MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
   
   
   ...MEAD
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Page last modified: January 29, 2013
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