SEL6
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 16
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   345 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 345 AM UNTIL 800 AM CST.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
   TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES EAST OF COLUMBUS
   MISSISSIPPI TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI. 
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 12...WW 13...WW 14...WW
   15...
   
   DISCUSSION...DESPITE WEAK INSTABILITY...STRONG DEEP LAYER AND LOW
   LEVEL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE AN ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE FOR
   STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS...WITH LINE/BOWING SEGMENTS THE PRIMARY
   STORM MODE AS ACTIVITY ADVANCES EWD ACROSS CENTRAL AND SRN MS. 
   DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.  HOWEVER...GIVEN THE
   STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR PER WSR-88D VWP DATA IN CENTRAL MS
   WITH SFC-1 KM SHEAR AROUND 40 KT AND 0-1 KM SRH NEAR 250
   M2/S2...TORNADOES REMAIN A LIKELIHOOD.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
   GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
   MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
   
   
   ...PETERS/MEAD

   SEL6
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 16
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   345 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 345 AM UNTIL 800 AM CST.
   
   SEVERAL TORNADOES
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES EAST OF COLUMBUS
   MISSISSIPPI TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI. 
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 12...WW 13...WW 14...WW
   15...
   
   DISCUSSION...DESPITE WEAK INSTABILITY...STRONG DEEP LAYER AND LOW
   LEVEL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE AN ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE FOR
   STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS...WITH LINE/BOWING SEGMENTS THE PRIMARY
   STORM MODE AS ACTIVITY ADVANCES EWD ACROSS CENTRAL AND SRN MS. 
   DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.  HOWEVER...GIVEN THE
   STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR PER WSR-88D VWP DATA IN CENTRAL MS
   WITH SFC-1 KM SHEAR AROUND 40 KT AND 0-1 KM SRH NEAR 250
   M2/S2...TORNADOES REMAIN A LIKELIHOOD.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
   GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
   MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
   
   
   ...PETERS/MEAD

   SEL6
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 16
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   345 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 345 AM UNTIL 800 AM CST.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
   TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES EAST OF COLUMBUS
   MISSISSIPPI TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI. 
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 12...WW 13...WW 14...WW
   15...
   
   DISCUSSION...DESPITE WEAK INSTABILITY...STRONG DEEP LAYER AND LOW
   LEVEL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE AN ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE FOR
   STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS...WITH LINE/BOWING SEGMENTS THE PRIMARY
   STORM MODE AS ACTIVITY ADVANCES EWD ACROSS CENTRAL AND SRN MS. 
   DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.  HOWEVER...GIVEN THE
   STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR PER WSR-88D VWP DATA IN CENTRAL MS
   WITH SFC-1 KM SHEAR AROUND 40 KT AND 0-1 KM SRH NEAR 250
   M2/S2...TORNADOES REMAIN A LIKELIHOOD.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
   GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
   MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
   
   
   ...PETERS/MEAD

   WOUS64 KWNS 300940
   WOU6
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 16
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   345 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013
   
   TORNADO WATCH 16 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CST FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   MSC007-019-023-025-029-031-037-049-061-065-067-069-075-077-079-
   085-087-089-097-099-101-103-105-121-123-127-129-155-159-
   301400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0016.130130T0945Z-130130T1400Z/
   
   MS 
   .    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ATTALA               CHOCTAW             CLARKE              
   CLAY                 COPIAH              COVINGTON           
   FRANKLIN             HINDS               JASPER              
   JEFFERSON DAVIS      JONES               KEMPER              
   LAUDERDALE           LAWRENCE            LEAKE               
   LINCOLN              LOWNDES             MADISON             
   MONTGOMERY           NESHOBA             NEWTON              
   NOXUBEE              OKTIBBEHA           RANKIN              
   SCOTT                SIMPSON             SMITH               
   WEBSTER              WINSTON             
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...JAN...
   
   
   

   SAW6 
   WW 16 TORNADO MS 300945Z - 301400Z
   AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   10E CBM/COLUMBUS MS/ - 55SSE JAN/JACKSON MS/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /15NE IGB - 32ENE MCB/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
   
   LAT...LON 33638723 31578869 31579073 33638931
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU6.
   

Watch 16 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 16

VALID 301345Z - 301400Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE PIB TO
30 N TCL.

WW 16 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 301400Z.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 94.

..PETERS..01/30/13

ATTN...WFO...JAN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MSC023-067-075-301400-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLARKE		     JONES		 LAUDERDALE	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 16

VALID 301305Z - 301340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW PIB TO
30 NNW TCL.

..PETERS..01/30/13

ATTN...WFO...JAN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MSC023-031-061-065-067-069-075-301340-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLARKE		     COVINGTON		 JASPER 	     
JEFFERSON DAVIS      JONES		 KEMPER 	     
LAUDERDALE	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 16

VALID 301150Z - 301240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE MCB
TO 35 W MEI TO 35 SSW CBM TO 10 ENE CBM.

..PETERS..01/30/13

ATTN...WFO...JAN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 16 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MSC023-031-061-065-067-069-075-077-087-101-103-127-129-301240-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLARKE		     COVINGTON		 JASPER 	     
JEFFERSON DAVIS      JONES		 KEMPER 	     
LAUDERDALE	     LAWRENCE		 LOWNDES	     
NEWTON		     NOXUBEE		 SIMPSON	     
SMITH		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.