Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 60
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
545 PM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 545 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF MONROE LOUISIANA TO 10 MILES EAST OF COLUMBUS
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...WW 59...
DISCUSSION...STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DEVELOPING AND RAPIDLY MOVE EAST NORTHEASTWARD ALONG FRONTAL ZONE
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WITH A RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25045.
...KERR
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 60 SEVERE TSTM AR LA MS 232245Z - 240600Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20WNW MLU/MONROE LA/ - 10E CBM/COLUMBUS MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /17WNW MLU - 15NE IGB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.
LAT...LON 33209234 34208827 33048827 32049234
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 60 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 60
VALID 240335Z - 240440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE MLU
TO 15 SE GLH TO 25 ENE CBM.
..JEWELL..03/24/13
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 60
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC029-035-065-107-240440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL MADISON
TENSAS
$$
MSC007-015-019-051-053-055-087-097-103-105-125-159-163-240440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA CARROLL CHOCTAW
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
LOWNDES MONTGOMERY NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA SHARKEY WINSTON
YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 60
VALID 240130Z - 240240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE ESF TO
25 N HEZ TO 50 N GLH.
..JEWELL..03/24/13
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 60
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC029-035-065-107-240240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL MADISON
TENSAS
$$
MSC007-011-013-015-017-019-025-027-043-051-053-055-057-071-081-
083-087-095-097-103-105-107-115-117-119-125-133-135-141-145-151-
155-159-161-163-240240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA BOLIVAR CALHOUN
CARROLL CHICKASAW CHOCTAW
CLAY COAHOMA GRENADA
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEE
LEFLORE LOWNDES MONROE
MONTGOMERY NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PANOLA PONTOTOC PRENTISS
QUITMAN SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE TISHOMINGO UNION
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 60
VALID 240040Z - 240140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 310
..JEWELL..03/24/13
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 60
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-011-017-041-043-139-240140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY BRADLEY CHICOT
DESHA DREW UNION
$$
LAC021-025-029-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-073-083-107-111-
123-127-240140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT
JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA
RICHLAND TENSAS UNION
WEST CARROLL WINN
$$
MSC007-011-013-015-017-019-025-027-043-051-053-055-057-071-081-
083-087-095-097-103-105-107-115-117-119-125-133-135-141-145-151-
155-159-161-163-240140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA BOLIVAR CALHOUN
CARROLL CHICKASAW CHOCTAW
CLAY COAHOMA GRENADA
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEE
LEFLORE LOWNDES MONROE
MONTGOMERY NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PANOLA PONTOTOC PRENTISS
QUITMAN SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE TISHOMINGO UNION
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.