Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 130
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
200 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR NORTHEAST GEORGIA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 200 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM COLUMBIA SOUTH CAROLINA TO 50
MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF RALEIGH NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 129...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY EAST OF THE HIGH TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS REGION IS
GLANCED BY A MIDLEVEL JET STREAK LIFTING POLEWARD THROUGH THE TN
VALLEY. WHILE MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE POOR...DAYTIME HEATING
COUPLED WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S WILL YIELD
MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY WILL ALIGN WITH A
MODERATELY SHEARED KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WHICH WILL PROMOTE
ORGANIZED STORM MODES...INCLUDING SUPERCELL AND LEWP STRUCTURES
CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 130 TORNADO GA NC SC 191800Z - 200100Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
CAE/COLUMBIA SC/ - 50NNW RDU/RALEIGH NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /5NW CAE - 43NNW RDU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 33918277 36528083 36527741 33917945
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 130 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 130
VALID 192340Z - 200040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW FLO
TO 15 NNW FAY TO 10 SSW AVC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 542.
..GRAMS..04/19/13
ATTN...WFO...GSP...RAH...ILM...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC051-085-101-155-200040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUMBERLAND HARNETT JOHNSTON
ROBESON
$$
SCC033-041-067-089-200040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DILLON FLORENCE MARION
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 130
VALID 192235Z - 192340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E CAE TO
30 ESE DAN.
..GRAMS..04/19/13
ATTN...WFO...GSP...RAH...ILM...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC037-051-063-069-077-085-093-101-105-125-135-145-153-155-165-
181-183-185-192340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHATHAM CUMBERLAND DURHAM
FRANKLIN GRANVILLE HARNETT
HOKE JOHNSTON LEE
MOORE ORANGE PERSON
RICHMOND ROBESON SCOTLAND
VANCE WAKE WARREN
$$
SCC025-031-033-041-061-067-069-089-192340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTERFIELD DARLINGTON DILLON
FLORENCE LEE MARION
MARLBORO WILLIAMSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 130
VALID 192135Z - 192240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE CAE
TO 5 ESE DAN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 539.
..GRAMS..04/19/13
ATTN...WFO...GSP...RAH...ILM...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-007-037-051-063-069-077-085-093-101-105-123-125-135-145-
153-155-165-181-183-185-192240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON CHATHAM
CUMBERLAND DURHAM FRANKLIN
GRANVILLE HARNETT HOKE
JOHNSTON LEE MONTGOMERY
MOORE ORANGE PERSON
RICHMOND ROBESON SCOTLAND
VANCE WAKE WARREN
$$
SCC025-031-033-041-061-067-069-089-192240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTERFIELD DARLINGTON DILLON
FLORENCE LEE MARION
MARLBORO WILLIAMSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 130
VALID 192055Z - 192140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W CAE TO
40 SE SPA TO 15 SSW CLT TO 25 WNW GSO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 539
..MARSH..04/19/13
ATTN...WFO...GSP...RAH...ILM...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-007-025-037-051-057-059-063-067-069-077-081-085-093-101-
105-119-123-125-135-145-151-153-155-159-165-167-179-181-183-185-
192140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON CABARRUS
CHATHAM CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
DAVIE DURHAM FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GRANVILLE GUILFORD
HARNETT HOKE JOHNSTON
LEE MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY
MOORE ORANGE PERSON
RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROBESON
ROWAN SCOTLAND STANLY
UNION VANCE WAKE
WARREN
$$
SCC023-025-031-033-039-041-055-057-061-067-069-071-089-091-
192140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER CHESTERFIELD DARLINGTON
DILLON FAIRFIELD FLORENCE
KERSHAW LANCASTER LEE
MARION MARLBORO NEWBERRY
WILLIAMSBURG YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 130
VALID 191925Z - 192040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MARSH..04/19/13
ATTN...WFO...GSP...RAH...ILM...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC105-147-192040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ELBERT HART
$$
NCC001-003-007-025-035-037-045-051-057-059-063-067-069-071-077-
081-085-093-097-101-105-109-119-123-125-135-145-151-153-155-159-
165-167-179-181-183-185-192040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON
CABARRUS CATAWBA CHATHAM
CLEVELAND CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
DAVIE DURHAM FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GASTON GRANVILLE
GUILFORD HARNETT HOKE
IREDELL JOHNSTON LEE
LINCOLN MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY
MOORE ORANGE PERSON
RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROBESON
ROWAN SCOTLAND STANLY
UNION VANCE WAKE
WARREN
$$
SCC001-007-021-023-025-031-033-039-041-045-047-055-057-059-061-
067-069-071-083-087-089-091-192040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON CHEROKEE
CHESTER CHESTERFIELD DARLINGTON
DILLON FAIRFIELD FLORENCE
GREENVILLE GREENWOOD KERSHAW
LANCASTER LAURENS LEE
MARION MARLBORO NEWBERRY
SPARTANBURG UNION WILLIAMSBURG
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.