Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 240
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST KANSAS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM
UNTIL 1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
HILL CITY KANSAS TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF BROKEN BOW
NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 239...
DISCUSSION...A COMPLEX CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION IS ANTICIPATED TODAY
OWING TO ONGOING ELEVATED STORMS AND THE PRESENCE OF MULTIPLE
BOUNDARIES. SURFACE-BASED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE VICINITY OF MIGRATORY SURFACE LOW
AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH TO ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LIFTING
NWD THROUGH S-CNTRL NEB. WHILE A MIXTURE OF STORM MODES IS
ANTICIPATED...THE COMBINATION OF A MOIST...MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS AND STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 240 TORNADO KS NE 291805Z - 300300Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15SSE HLC/HILL CITY KS/ - 30NNW BBW/BROKEN BOW NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /24ESE HLC - 45S ANW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 39150158 41810179 41819791 39159786
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 240 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 240
VALID 300245Z - 300300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW RSL TO
50 WNW CNK TO 20 WSW HSI TO 15 WNW HSI TO 30 SE GRI.
WW 240 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300300Z.
..DIAL..05/30/13
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 240
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC089-123-141-300300-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
$$
NEC001-035-059-129-169-181-300300-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLAY FILLMORE
NUCKOLLS THAYER WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 240
VALID 300145Z - 300240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW HLC
TO 30 NE HLC TO 45 E MCK TO EAR TO 30 SE GRI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 868
..DIAL..05/30/13
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 240
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-300240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH
$$
NEC001-035-059-061-083-099-129-169-181-300240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLAY FILLMORE
FRANKLIN HARLAN KEARNEY
NUCKOLLS THAYER WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 240
VALID 300045Z - 300140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW HLC
TO 30 SSW MCK TO 30 WSW OFK.
..DIAL..05/30/13
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 240
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC039-065-089-123-137-141-147-163-179-183-300140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR GRAHAM JEWELL
MITCHELL NORTON OSBORNE
PHILLIPS ROOKS SHERIDAN
SMITH
$$
NEC001-019-035-059-061-065-079-081-083-093-099-121-125-129-137-
143-169-181-185-300140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CLAY
FILLMORE FRANKLIN FURNAS
HALL HAMILTON HARLAN
HOWARD KEARNEY MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS
POLK THAYER WEBSTER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 240
VALID 292230Z - 292340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW IML TO
30 NNW MCK TO 10 N BBW TO 20 N BUB.
..DIAL..05/29/13
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 240
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-065-089-123-137-141-147-153-163-179-181-183-193-
292340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GRAHAM
JEWELL MITCHELL NORTON
OSBORNE PHILLIPS RAWLINS
ROOKS SHERIDAN SHERMAN
SMITH THOMAS
$$
NEC001-019-035-041-047-057-059-061-063-065-071-073-077-079-081-
083-087-089-093-099-121-125-129-137-143-145-163-169-175-181-183-
185-292340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CLAY
CUSTER DAWSON DUNDY
FILLMORE FRANKLIN FRONTIER
FURNAS GARFIELD GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HITCHCOCK HOLT
HOWARD KEARNEY MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS
POLK RED WILLOW SHERMAN
THAYER VALLEY WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 240
VALID 292040Z - 292140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 860
..MOSIER..05/29/13
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 240
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-065-089-123-137-141-147-153-163-179-181-183-193-
292140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GRAHAM
JEWELL MITCHELL NORTON
OSBORNE PHILLIPS RAWLINS
ROOKS SHERIDAN SHERMAN
SMITH THOMAS
$$
NEC001-005-009-019-029-035-041-047-057-061-063-065-071-073-079-
081-083-085-087-091-099-101-111-113-115-117-129-135-137-145-163-
171-175-181-292140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARTHUR BLAINE
BUFFALO CHASE CLAY
CUSTER DAWSON DUNDY
FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS
GARFIELD GOSPER HALL
HAMILTON HARLAN HAYES
HITCHCOCK HOOKER KEARNEY
KEITH LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MCPHERSON NUCKOLLS
PERKINS PHELPS RED WILLOW
SHERMAN THOMAS VALLEY
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 240
VALID 291925Z - 292040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOSIER..05/29/13
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 240
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-065-089-123-137-141-147-153-163-179-181-183-193-
292040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GRAHAM
JEWELL MITCHELL NORTON
OSBORNE PHILLIPS RAWLINS
ROOKS SHERIDAN SHERMAN
SMITH THOMAS
$$
NEC001-005-009-019-029-035-041-047-057-061-063-065-071-073-079-
081-083-085-087-091-099-101-111-113-115-117-129-135-137-145-163-
171-175-181-292040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARTHUR BLAINE
BUFFALO CHASE CLAY
CUSTER DAWSON DUNDY
FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS
GARFIELD GOSPER HALL
HAMILTON HARLAN HAYES
HITCHCOCK HOOKER KEARNEY
KEITH LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MCPHERSON NUCKOLLS
PERKINS PHELPS RED WILLOW
SHERMAN THOMAS VALLEY
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.