Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 322
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 PM MDT MON JUN 17 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN COLORADO
FAR WESTERN KANSAS
WESTERN NEBRASKA
SOUTHEAST WYOMING
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 225 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF
TORRINGTON WYOMING TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SPRINGFIELD
COLORADO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...
DISCUSSION...AT LEAST WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE THROUGH MID/LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE CO/SOUTHEAST WY FRONT
RANGE INTO THE ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS. VEERING WIND PROFILES AND A
RELATIVELY MOIST AIRMASS/MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN
SUPERCELLS/SUSTAINED MULTICELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL. AS STORMS
SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD...THE DEVELOPMENT OF ONE OR MORE MCS/S MAY
OCCUR BY EARLY/MID EVENING...WITH MORE OF A DAMAGING WIND THREAT
POSSIBLE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30025.
...GUYER
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 322 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE WY 172025Z - 180400Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35N TOR/TORRINGTON WY/ - 20SSE SPD/SPRINGFIELD CO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /50NW BFF - 56ESE TBE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
LAT...LON 42560258 37000102 37000393 42560572
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 322 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 322
VALID 180240Z - 180340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW GCK
TO 30 NNW LAA TO 15 SE AKO TO 30 ESE DGW.
..ROGERS..06/18/13
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...CYS...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC017-063-125-180340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE KIT CARSON YUMA
$$
KSC023-071-109-153-181-193-199-203-180340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GREELEY LOGAN
RAWLINS SHERMAN THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC007-013-029-033-049-057-069-085-087-101-123-135-157-165-
180340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHASE
CHEYENNE DEUEL DUNDY
GARDEN HAYES HITCHCOCK
KEITH MORRILL PERKINS
SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX
$$
WYC015-180340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 322
VALID 180140Z - 180240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N PUB TO
40 NE PUB TO 30 ESE LIC TO 10 SSE AKO TO 30 NNW AKO TO 35 E CYS
TO 20 N LAR.
..ROGERS..06/18/13
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...CYS...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-061-063-071-073-075-089-095-099-115-121-125-
180240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON
LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN LOGAN
OTERO PHILLIPS PROWERS
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON YUMA
$$
KSC023-067-071-075-093-109-129-153-181-187-189-193-199-203-
180240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GRANT GREELEY
HAMILTON KEARNY LOGAN
MORTON RAWLINS SHERMAN
STANTON STEVENS THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC007-013-029-033-049-057-069-085-087-101-105-123-135-157-165-
180240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHASE
CHEYENNE DEUEL DUNDY
GARDEN HAYES HITCHCOCK
KEITH KIMBALL MORRILL
PERKINS SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX
$$
WYC015-021-031-180240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN LARAMIE PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 322
VALID 180045Z - 180140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N COS TO
40 E DEN TO 20 SE CYS TO 20 NNE LAR.
..ROGERS..06/18/13
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...CYS...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-009-011-017-025-039-061-063-071-073-075-087-089-095-
099-115-121-123-125-180140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BACA
BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY
ELBERT KIOWA KIT CARSON
LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN LOGAN
MORGAN OTERO PHILLIPS
PROWERS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON
WELD YUMA
$$
KSC023-067-071-075-093-109-129-153-181-187-189-193-199-203-
180140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GRANT GREELEY
HAMILTON KEARNY LOGAN
MORTON RAWLINS SHERMAN
STANTON STEVENS THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC007-013-029-033-049-057-069-085-087-101-105-123-135-157-165-
180140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHASE
CHEYENNE DEUEL DUNDY
GARDEN HAYES HITCHCOCK
KEITH KIMBALL MORRILL
PERKINS SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX
$$
WYC015-021-031-180140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN LARAMIE PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 322
VALID 172340Z - 180040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW COS TO
10 SE DEN TO 5 SSE CYS TO 20 NNE LAR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1114
..ROGERS..06/17/13
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...CYS...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-009-011-017-025-039-061-063-071-073-075-087-089-095-
099-115-121-123-125-180040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BACA
BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY
ELBERT KIOWA KIT CARSON
LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN LOGAN
MORGAN OTERO PHILLIPS
PROWERS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON
WELD YUMA
$$
KSC023-067-071-075-093-109-129-153-181-187-189-193-199-203-
180040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GRANT GREELEY
HAMILTON KEARNY LOGAN
MORTON RAWLINS SHERMAN
STANTON STEVENS THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC007-013-029-033-049-057-069-085-087-101-105-123-135-157-165-
180040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHASE
CHEYENNE DEUEL DUNDY
GARDEN HAYES HITCHCOCK
KEITH KIMBALL MORRILL
PERKINS SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX
$$
WYC015-021-031-180040-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN LARAMIE PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 322
VALID 172245Z - 172340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..ROGERS..06/17/13
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...CYS...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-009-011-013-014-017-025-031-035-039-059-061-063-069-
071-073-075-087-089-095-099-115-121-123-125-172340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BACA
BENT BOULDER BROOMFIELD
CHEYENNE CROWLEY DENVER
DOUGLAS ELBERT JEFFERSON
KIOWA KIT CARSON LARIMER
LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN LOGAN
MORGAN OTERO PHILLIPS
PROWERS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON
WELD YUMA
$$
KSC023-067-071-075-093-109-129-153-181-187-189-193-199-203-
172340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GRANT GREELEY
HAMILTON KEARNY LOGAN
MORTON RAWLINS SHERMAN
STANTON STEVENS THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC007-013-029-033-049-057-069-085-087-101-105-123-135-157-165-
172340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHASE
CHEYENNE DEUEL DUNDY
GARDEN HAYES HITCHCOCK
KEITH KIMBALL MORRILL
PERKINS SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX
$$
WYC015-021-031-172340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN LARAMIE PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.