SEL1

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 551
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   730 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
     SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI
     EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS
     COASTAL WATERS

   * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 730 AM UNTIL
     200 PM CDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
     SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
       MPH POSSIBLE

   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
   LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES NORTH OF NATCHEZ MISSISSIPPI. 
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

   &&

   DISCUSSION...GRADUALLY ORGANIZING BAND OF TSTMS IS EXPECTED TO POSE
   RISK OF DAMAGING GUSTS AND POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES AS IT MOVES
   EWD INTO ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY AT LEAST MARGINAL
   BUOYANCY...INCREASING DEEP SHEAR FROM W-E WITH TIME...AND LARGE
   LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS PER PRECONVECTIVE RAOB/VWP.  REF SPC MESOSCALE
   DISCUSSION 1989 FOR MORE INITIAL/NEAR-TERM DETAILS.

   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.


   ...EDWARDS

   SEL1

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 551
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   730 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
     SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI
     EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS
     COASTAL WATERS

   * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 730 AM UNTIL
     200 PM CDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
     SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
       MPH POSSIBLE

   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
   LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES NORTH OF NATCHEZ MISSISSIPPI. 
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

   &&

   DISCUSSION...GRADUALLY ORGANIZING BAND OF TSTMS IS EXPECTED TO POSE
   RISK OF DAMAGING GUSTS AND POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES AS IT MOVES
   EWD INTO ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY AT LEAST MARGINAL
   BUOYANCY...INCREASING DEEP SHEAR FROM W-E WITH TIME...AND LARGE
   LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS PER PRECONVECTIVE RAOB/VWP.  REF SPC MESOSCALE
   DISCUSSION 1989 FOR MORE INITIAL/NEAR-TERM DETAILS.

   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.


   ...EDWARDS

   WOUS64 KWNS 311228
   WOU1

   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 551
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   730 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

   TORNADO WATCH 551 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   LAC001-003-009-011-019-023-025-029-037-039-041-043-045-053-055-
   059-077-079-097-099-101-107-113-115-125-311900-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0551.131031T1230Z-131031T1900Z/

   LA 
   .    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

   ACADIA               ALLEN               AVOYELLES           
   BEAUREGARD           CALCASIEU           CAMERON             
   CATAHOULA            CONCORDIA           EAST FELICIANA      
   EVANGELINE           FRANKLIN            GRANT               
   IBERIA               JEFFERSON DAVIS     LAFAYETTE           
   LA SALLE             POINTE COUPEE       RAPIDES             
   ST. LANDRY           ST. MARTIN          ST. MARY            
   TENSAS               VERMILION           VERNON              
   WEST FELICIANA       


   MSC001-005-021-037-063-157-311900-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0551.131031T1230Z-131031T1900Z/

   MS 
   .    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ADAMS                AMITE               CLAIBORNE           
   FRANKLIN             JEFFERSON           WILKINSON           


   TXC241-245-351-361-311900-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0551.131031T1230Z-131031T1900Z/

   TX 
   .    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   JASPER               JEFFERSON           NEWTON              
   ORANGE               


   GMZ430-432-435-450-452-311900-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0551.131031T1230Z-131031T1900Z/

   CW 

   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

   SABINE LAKE 

   CALCASIEU LAKE 

   VERMILION BAY 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM 

   ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...SHV...

   SAW1 
   WW 551 TORNADO LA MS TX CW 311230Z - 311900Z
   AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   50SSW LCH/LAKE CHARLES LA/ - 30N HEZ/NATCHEZ MS/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /46SSW LCH - 46SE MLU/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.

   LAT...LON 29459494 32049275 32048984 29459212

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU1.

Watch 551 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 551

VALID 311840Z - 311900Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE LCH
TO 30 WNW BTR TO 15 SSE HEZ TO 30 NNE HEZ.

WW 551 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 311900Z. STRONGER STORMS AND 
ATTENDANT SEVERE THREAT ARE MOVING INTO WW 552.

..DIAL..10/31/13

ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 551 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC045-055-099-101-113-311900-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

IBERIA		     LAFAYETTE		 ST. MARTIN	     
ST. MARY	     VERMILION		 
$$


GMZ435-452-311900-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

VERMILION BAY 

COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 551

VALID 311640Z - 311740Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S BPT TO
40 NE LCH TO 20 ENE ESF TO 35 SSE MLU.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1991

..DIAL..10/31/13

ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 551 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC001-009-023-025-029-037-039-041-045-053-055-077-097-099-101-
107-113-125-311740-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ACADIA		     AVOYELLES		 CAMERON	     
CATAHOULA	     CONCORDIA		 EAST FELICIANA      
EVANGELINE	     FRANKLIN		 IBERIA 	     
JEFFERSON DAVIS      LAFAYETTE		 POINTE COUPEE	     
ST. LANDRY	     ST. MARTIN 	 ST. MARY	     
TENSAS		     VERMILION		 WEST FELICIANA      
$$


MSC001-005-021-037-063-157-311740-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     AMITE		 CLAIBORNE	     
FRANKLIN	     JEFFERSON		 WILKINSON	     
$$


GMZ432-435-450-452-311740-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

CALCASIEU LAKE 

VERMILION BAY 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 551

VALID 311545Z - 311640Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W BPT TO
20 S POE TO 15 WNW ESF TO 40 SW MLU.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1991

..DIAL..10/31/13

ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 551 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC001-003-009-019-023-025-029-037-039-041-043-045-053-055-059-
077-079-097-099-101-107-113-125-311640-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ACADIA		     ALLEN		 AVOYELLES	     
CALCASIEU	     CAMERON		 CATAHOULA	     
CONCORDIA	     EAST FELICIANA	 EVANGELINE	     
FRANKLIN	     GRANT		 IBERIA 	     
JEFFERSON DAVIS      LAFAYETTE		 LA SALLE	     
POINTE COUPEE	     RAPIDES		 ST. LANDRY	     
ST. MARTIN	     ST. MARY		 TENSAS 	     
VERMILION	     WEST FELICIANA	 
$$


MSC001-005-021-037-063-157-311640-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     AMITE		 CLAIBORNE	     
FRANKLIN	     JEFFERSON		 WILKINSON	     
$$


TXC245-311640-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

JEFFERSON	     
$$


GMZ430-432-435-450-452-311640-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

SABINE LAKE 

CALCASIEU LAKE 

VERMILION BAY 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 551

VALID 311445Z - 311540Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..DIAL..10/31/13

ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 551 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC001-003-009-011-019-023-025-029-037-039-041-043-045-053-055-
059-077-079-097-099-101-107-113-115-125-311540-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ACADIA		     ALLEN		 AVOYELLES	     
BEAUREGARD	     CALCASIEU		 CAMERON	     
CATAHOULA	     CONCORDIA		 EAST FELICIANA      
EVANGELINE	     FRANKLIN		 GRANT		     
IBERIA		     JEFFERSON DAVIS	 LAFAYETTE	     
LA SALLE	     POINTE COUPEE	 RAPIDES	     
ST. LANDRY	     ST. MARTIN 	 ST. MARY	     
TENSAS		     VERMILION		 VERNON 	     
WEST FELICIANA	     
$$


MSC001-005-021-037-063-157-311540-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     AMITE		 CLAIBORNE	     
FRANKLIN	     JEFFERSON		 WILKINSON	     
$$


TXC241-245-351-361-311540-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

JASPER		     JEFFERSON		 NEWTON 	     
ORANGE		     
$$


GMZ430-432-435-450-452-311540-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

SABINE LAKE 

CALCASIEU LAKE 

VERMILION BAY 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.