Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 80
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1035 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1035 AM UNTIL
500 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SAN ANTONIO
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING OVER EAST
TX...BEHIND A SURGING COLD FRONT. DESPITE STABLE SURFACE
CONDITIONS...THERMODYNAMIC PARAMETERS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS FOR SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
LARGE HAIL IS THE MAIN THREAT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 80 SEVERE TSTM LA TX 141535Z - 142200Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NE SHV/SHREVEPORT LA/ - 35SSE SAT/SAN ANTONIO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /21E EIC - 36SSE SAT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 32799184 29049676 29049973 32799494
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 80 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 80
VALID 142045Z - 142140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE VCT TO
55 N VCT TO 25 SSE CLL TO 40 NNE HOU.
..JEWELL..04/14/14
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 80
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC013-015-017-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111-
119-127-142140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO
GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE
LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
RED RIVER SABINE UNION
WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC005-015-089-157-347-365-403-405-419-473-481-142140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA AUSTIN COLORADO
FORT BEND NACOGDOCHES PANOLA
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY
WALLER WHARTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 80
VALID 141820Z - 141940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE HDO
TO 10 ENE SAT TO 5 SW CLL TO 30 NNW LFK TO 25 W ELD.
..JEWELL..04/14/14
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 80
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC013-015-017-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111-
119-127-141940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO
GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE
LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
RED RIVER SABINE UNION
WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC005-013-015-029-089-123-149-177-185-187-255-285-339-347-365-
373-403-405-407-419-455-471-473-477-493-141940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA ATASCOSA AUSTIN
BEXAR COLORADO DEWITT
FAYETTE GONZALES GRIMES
GUADALUPE KARNES LAVACA
MONTGOMERY NACOGDOCHES PANOLA
POLK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY
WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 80
VALID 141735Z - 141840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW HDO
TO 20 WNW BAZ TO 25 WNW CLL TO 30 S TYR TO 35 NNW SHV TO 25 SE
TXK.
..JEWELL..04/14/14
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 80
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC013-015-017-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111-
119-127-141840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO
GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE
LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
RED RIVER SABINE UNION
WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC001-005-013-015-021-029-041-051-055-073-089-091-123-149-177-
185-187-203-209-225-255-285-287-289-313-339-347-365-373-395-401-
403-405-407-419-453-455-471-473-477-493-141840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA ATASCOSA
AUSTIN BASTROP BEXAR
BRAZOS BURLESON CALDWELL
CHEROKEE COLORADO COMAL
DEWITT FAYETTE GONZALES
GRIMES GUADALUPE HARRISON
HAYS HOUSTON KARNES
LAVACA LEE LEON
MADISON MONTGOMERY NACOGDOCHES
PANOLA POLK ROBERTSON
RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRAVIS
TRINITY WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 80
VALID 141640Z - 141740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/14/14
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 80
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC013-015-017-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111-
119-127-141740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO
GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE
LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
RED RIVER SABINE UNION
WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC001-005-013-015-021-027-029-031-041-051-055-073-089-091-123-
145-149-161-177-183-185-187-203-209-213-225-255-259-285-287-289-
293-313-315-331-339-347-349-365-373-395-401-403-405-407-419-423-
453-455-459-471-473-477-491-493-141740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA ATASCOSA
AUSTIN BASTROP BELL
BEXAR BLANCO BRAZOS
BURLESON CALDWELL CHEROKEE
COLORADO COMAL DEWITT
FALLS FAYETTE FREESTONE
GONZALES GREGG GRIMES
GUADALUPE HARRISON HAYS
HENDERSON HOUSTON KARNES
KENDALL LAVACA LEE
LEON LIMESTONE MADISON
MARION MILAM MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO PANOLA
POLK ROBERTSON RUSK
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO
SHELBY SMITH TRAVIS
TRINITY UPSHUR WALKER
WALLER WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.