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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 89
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI
EASTERN OKLAHOMA
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 225 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF COLUMBIA MISSOURI TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
POTEAU OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
DISCUSSION...TSTMS...INCLUDING A FEW SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS IN
ERN OK/WRN AR...EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/STRENGTH ALONG AND
AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH POTENT...PROGRESSIVE NE OK UPR
VORT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 89 SEVERE TSTM AR MO OK 241925Z - 250300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
10ENE COU/COLUMBIA MO/ - 55SSW RKR/POTEAU OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /9ENE COU - 52SE MLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 38869083 34279384 34279612 38869326
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 89 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 89
VALID 242345Z - 250040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE FLP
TO 35 NNE HRO TO 25 WSW TBN TO 20 ESE VIH.
..DIAL..04/24/14
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SGF...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 89
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC013-061-083-117-119-133-157-163-250040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN GREENE JERSEY
MACOUPIN MADISON MONROE
RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR
$$
MOC055-065-067-071-091-099-105-113-153-161-169-183-186-187-189-
215-219-221-229-510-250040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD DENT DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN HOWELL JEFFERSON
LACLEDE LINCOLN OZARK
PHELPS PULASKI ST. CHARLES
STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS
TEXAS WARREN WASHINGTON
WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 89
VALID 242245Z - 242340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW DEQ
TO 30 E FYV TO 20 E UMN TO 30 NNE SGF TO 15 ESE VIH TO 30 WNW STL.
..DIAL..04/24/14
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SGF...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 89
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC013-061-083-117-119-133-157-163-242340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN GREENE JERSEY
MACOUPIN MADISON MONROE
RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR
$$
MOC043-055-059-065-067-071-077-091-099-105-113-153-161-169-183-
186-187-189-209-213-215-219-221-225-229-510-242340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHRISTIAN CRAWFORD DALLAS
DENT DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
GREENE HOWELL JEFFERSON
LACLEDE LINCOLN OZARK
PHELPS PULASKI ST. CHARLES
STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS
STONE TANEY TEXAS
WARREN WASHINGTON WEBSTER
WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 89
VALID 242130Z - 242240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW DEQ
TO 5 SSW FYV TO 25 N FYV TO 15 WNW UMN TO 40 NNE JLN.
SEVERE THREAT WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH WITH PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.
..LEITMAN..04/24/14
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SGF...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 89
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC015-047-087-131-242240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL FRANKLIN MADISON
SEBASTIAN
$$
MOC009-015-019-027-029-039-043-051-055-057-059-065-067-073-077-
085-091-105-109-125-131-135-139-141-151-153-161-167-169-185-209-
213-215-225-229-242240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BENTON BOONE
CALLAWAY CAMDEN CEDAR
CHRISTIAN COLE CRAWFORD
DADE DALLAS DENT
DOUGLAS GASCONADE GREENE
HICKORY HOWELL LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MARIES MILLER
MONITEAU MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OSAGE OZARK PHELPS
POLK PULASKI ST. CLAIR
STONE TANEY TEXAS
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 89
VALID 242035Z - 242140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 396
..GUYER..04/24/14
ATTN...WFO...TSA...SGF...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 89
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-242140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
MOC009-011-015-019-027-029-039-043-051-055-057-059-065-067-073-
077-085-091-097-105-109-119-125-131-135-139-141-145-151-153-161-
167-169-185-209-213-215-225-229-242140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BENTON
BOONE CALLAWAY CAMDEN
CEDAR CHRISTIAN COLE
CRAWFORD DADE DALLAS
DENT DOUGLAS GASCONADE
GREENE HICKORY HOWELL
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MCDONALD MARIES MILLER
MONITEAU MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NEWTON OSAGE OZARK
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
ST. CLAIR STONE TANEY
TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-023-041-061-077-079-101-115-121-127-135-242140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
DELAWARE HASKELL LATIMER
LE FLORE MUSKOGEE OTTAWA
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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