Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 145
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT SUN MAY 11 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN IOWA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 745 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES EAST OF LAMONI IOWA
TO 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT DODGE IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 142...WW 143...WW 144...
DISCUSSION...ORGANIZED CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS...WILL PROGRESS ACROSS WESTERN INTO
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN IA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY. ADDITIONALLY...TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE
WITH SUPERCELL STRUCTURES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...DARROW
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 145 TORNADO IA 120045Z - 120800Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
10E LWD/LAMONI IA/ - 35NE FOD/FORT DODGE IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /50S DSM - 20WSW MCW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 40599516 42909519 42909223 40599230
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 145 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 145
VALID 120645Z - 120740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N SDA TO
25 SSW DSM TO 40 N OXV TO 30 SE ALO.
..JEWELL..05/12/14
ATTN...WFO...DMX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 145
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC003-007-039-051-053-099-117-123-125-135-157-159-171-173-175-
179-181-185-120740-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS APPANOOSE CLARKE
DAVIS DECATUR JASPER
LUCAS MAHASKA MARION
MONROE POWESHIEK RINGGOLD
TAMA TAYLOR UNION
WAPELLO WARREN WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 145
VALID 120535Z - 120640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE OMA
TO 50 SE DNS TO 25 NW DSM TO 10 SSW MCW.
..JEWELL..05/12/14
ATTN...WFO...DMX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 145
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-013-017-023-039-051-053-069-075-083-099-117-121-
123-125-127-135-153-157-159-169-171-173-175-179-181-185-
120640-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
BLACK HAWK BREMER BUTLER
CLARKE DAVIS DECATUR
FRANKLIN GRUNDY HARDIN
JASPER LUCAS MADISON
MAHASKA MARION MARSHALL
MONROE POLK POWESHIEK
RINGGOLD STORY TAMA
TAYLOR UNION WAPELLO
WARREN WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 145
VALID 120240Z - 120340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 575
..DEAN..05/12/14
ATTN...WFO...DMX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 145
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-009-013-015-017-023-025-027-029-039-047-049-051-
053-069-073-075-077-079-083-091-099-117-121-123-125-127-135-151-
153-157-159-161-169-171-173-175-179-181-185-187-197-120340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
AUDUBON BLACK HAWK BOONE
BREMER BUTLER CALHOUN
CARROLL CASS CLARKE
CRAWFORD DALLAS DAVIS
DECATUR FRANKLIN GREENE
GRUNDY GUTHRIE HAMILTON
HARDIN HUMBOLDT JASPER
LUCAS MADISON MAHASKA
MARION MARSHALL MONROE
POCAHONTAS POLK POWESHIEK
RINGGOLD SAC STORY
TAMA TAYLOR UNION
WAPELLO WARREN WAYNE
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.