Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 324
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
325 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 325 PM
UNTIL 1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES EAST OF
LIBERAL KANSAS TO 65 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILL CITY KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...WW 322...WW 323...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A SOUTHWARD-MOVING COLD
FRONT...DRYLINE...AND POSSIBLY CONFLUENCE ZONE EAST OF THE DRYLINE
AS FORCING FOR ASCENT IS ENHANCED BY AN IMPULSE MOVING INTO THE
CNTRL PLAINS. THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
STRENGTHENING VERTICAL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT MULTICELL AND SOME
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24020.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 324 SEVERE TSTM KS 182025Z - 190300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50E LBL/LIBERAL KS/ - 65NE HLC/HILL CITY KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /43E LBL - 75NE HLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
LAT...LON 37020115 40040009 40049783 37029898
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 324 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 324
VALID 182235Z - 182340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..06/18/14
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GLD...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 324
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-029-033-047-051-053-055-057-063-065-069-071-081-
083-089-097-101-105-109-119-123-135-137-141-143-145-147-151-157-
159-163-165-167-171-175-179-183-185-189-195-199-203-182340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
CLOUD COMANCHE EDWARDS
ELLIS ELLSWORTH FINNEY
FORD GOVE GRAHAM
GRAY GREELEY HASKELL
HODGEMAN JEWELL KIOWA
LANE LINCOLN LOGAN
MEADE MITCHELL NESS
NORTON OSBORNE OTTAWA
PAWNEE PHILLIPS PRATT
REPUBLIC RICE ROOKS
RUSH RUSSELL SCOTT
SEWARD SHERIDAN SMITH
STAFFORD STEVENS TREGO
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.