Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 353
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
215 PM MDT TUE JUN 24 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST COLORADO
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 215 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH OF LA
JUNTA COLORADO TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF CLAYTON NEW MEXICO.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 352...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS THEY MOVE
SOUTHEAST OFF THE HIGH TERRAIN INTO AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS. OTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER WESTERN KANSAS WILL
MOVE INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES THIS EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31020.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 353 SEVERE TSTM CO NM OK TX 242015Z - 250400Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40N LHX/LA JUNTA CO/ - 55SSW CAO/CLAYTON NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /46WNW LAA - 32N TCC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31020.
LAT...LON 38610204 35700209 35700494 38610500
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 353 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 353
VALID 250325Z - 250400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N LHX TO
25 SW SPD TO 30 NE DHT.
PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW COULD BE EXTENDED IN TIME
LOCALLY FOR AN HOUR OR TWO...OTHERWISE A NEW WW DOES NOT APPEAR
NECESSARY AT CURRENTLY SCHEDULED 04Z WATCH EXPIRATION.
..KERR..06/25/14
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 353
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-025-041-055-061-071-089-099-101-250400-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CROWLEY
EL PASO HUERFANO KIOWA
LAS ANIMAS OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
$$
NMC007-021-033-047-059-250400-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX HARDING MORA
SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
OKC007-025-139-250400-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC111-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-393-421-250400-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE ROBERTS
SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 353
VALID 250235Z - 250340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/25/14
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 353
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-025-041-055-061-071-089-099-101-250340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CROWLEY
EL PASO HUERFANO KIOWA
LAS ANIMAS OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
$$
NMC007-021-033-047-059-250340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX HARDING MORA
SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
OKC007-025-139-250340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC111-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-393-421-250340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE ROBERTS
SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 353
VALID 250140Z - 250240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/25/14
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 353
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-025-041-055-061-071-089-099-101-250240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CROWLEY
EL PASO HUERFANO KIOWA
LAS ANIMAS OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
$$
NMC007-021-033-047-059-250240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX HARDING MORA
SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
OKC007-025-139-250240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC111-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-393-421-250240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE ROBERTS
SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 353
VALID 250040Z - 250140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/25/14
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 353
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-025-041-055-061-071-089-099-101-250140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CROWLEY
EL PASO HUERFANO KIOWA
LAS ANIMAS OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
$$
NMC007-021-033-047-059-250140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX HARDING MORA
SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
OKC007-025-139-250140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC111-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-393-421-250140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE ROBERTS
SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 353
VALID 242335Z - 250040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/24/14
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 353
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-025-041-055-061-071-089-099-101-250040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CROWLEY
EL PASO HUERFANO KIOWA
LAS ANIMAS OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
$$
NMC007-021-033-047-059-250040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX HARDING MORA
SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
OKC007-025-139-250040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC111-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-393-421-250040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE ROBERTS
SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 353
VALID 242300Z - 250040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/24/14
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 353
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-025-041-055-061-071-089-099-101-250040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CROWLEY
EL PASO HUERFANO KIOWA
LAS ANIMAS OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
$$
NMC007-021-033-047-059-250040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX HARDING MORA
SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
OKC007-025-139-250040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC111-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-393-421-250040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE ROBERTS
SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 353
VALID 242130Z - 242240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/24/14
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 353
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-025-041-055-061-071-089-099-101-242240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CROWLEY
EL PASO HUERFANO KIOWA
LAS ANIMAS OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
$$
NMC007-021-033-047-059-242240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX HARDING MORA
SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
OKC007-025-139-242240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC111-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-393-421-242240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE ROBERTS
SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.